The official tropical weather thread 2017

[matr1x]

Well let me clarify, it's not that I want anyone harmed. It's to see what trinis really made of. We have seen government assistance fail in south Trinidad. I know of people personally in rock road and debe who had horrible flooding who applied and never got aid. Constantly checking but runaround.

Now if the disaster affected other areas would the assistance come quicker?

Let's talk about the religious folk who have gotten filthy rich. Would they equally assist people?

I am bored of the illusion that people fool themselves that trinis will get through because of hope.

I don't care if they find my views problematic. I don't believe we can continue down the current state of poor environment care without consequences

[brainchild]

T&T is still a third world country...keep that in mind. We have only been seeing after our own affairs for 55yrs. We have plenty to figure out before we start expecting more of organisations like the odpm.

[matr1x]

So did Singapore, and it's got itself in order.

Problem is, we keep making excuses for the lack of performance in our services. The political elite love this. They can keep dishing excuses

[Dizzy28]

T&T is still a third world country...keep that in mind. We have only been seeing after our own affairs for 55yrs. We have plenty to figure out before we start expecting more of organisations like the odpm.

Weakest excuse for non performance!!!

[ron_28]

Latest update

[shake d livin wake d dead]

Hmmm...in the red zone...still looks to be going north

[matr1x]

Irma could be a first catagory 6 hurricane. Possibly

[maj. tom]

Wind speed is one thing, but rainfall of a hurricane is a release of much, much more energy than its winds. Take Harvey for example. The amount of rainfall was astounding (51 inches) and tells us about the real energy of the hurricane that it picked up in the days prior in the Gulf, compared to to wind speeds. And Irma there right now as a Cat 3 for a while, suckng up that energy from the warm ocean in terms of rainfall.

NOAA did calculations on energy of a hurricane:

Total energy released through cloud/rain formation:
5.2 x 10e19 Joules/day
or 6.0 x 10e14 Watts.

while

Total kinetic energy (wind energy) generated:
1.3 x 10e17 Joules/day
1.5 x 10e12 Watts.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/D7.html

That's a vast difference of energy released - more than a hundred times more as rain! I think that this is something we should be more aware of in terms of flooding and related water destruction, rather than just the emphasis of wind speeds.

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

National Hurricane Center

1. A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms that are currently displaced well to the west of the
wave axis. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual
development during the next few days, and a tropical depression
could form by the end of the week while the system moves westward
to west-northwestward at about 10 mph over the tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

[shake d livin wake d dead]

As suspected...second system went north...irma is proving to be troublesome..hopefully she does not touch down

[X_Factor]

irma givin thay irie feeling

[redmanjp]

I wonder if the 2nd system could merge with Irma and form a huge Cat 5 hurricane

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

As suspected...second system went north...irma is proving to be troublesome..hopefully she does not touch down

[redmanjp]

Look like it aiming for Florida where my brother just flew to, ironically from Houston.

[eekipoo]

I wonder if the 2nd system could merge with Irma and form a huge Cat 5 hurricane

Was also wondering this..is it possible?

[maj. tom]

yes. It's called the Fujiwhara effect. It happened in the past.

[redmanjp]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/032050.shtml?

BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 PM AST Sun Sep 03 2017

...HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE TO IRMA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 49.8W
ABOUT 790 MI...1275 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Antigua has issued a Hurricane Watch for the
islands of Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and
Nevis.

The government of the Netherlands has issued a Hurricane Watch for
the islands of Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten.

The government of France has issued a Hurricane Watch for St.
Martin and Saint Barthelemy.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis
* Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten
* Saint Martin and Saint Barthelemy

Interests in the remainder of the Leeward Islands, the British and
U.S. Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of
Irma. Additional Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches may be
required for portions of this area on Monday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 49.8 West. Irma is moving toward
the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A westward to west-southwestward
motion with some reduction in forward speed is expected through
Monday night. On the forecast track, the center of Irma is
forecast to approach the northern Leeward Islands late Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area by
Tuesday night, with tropical storm conditions possible by late
Tuesday.

[shake d livin wake d dead]

As suspected...second system went north...irma is proving to be troublesome..hopefully she does not touch down

145723_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

Miami doh...

[Numb3r4]

Some rain and cool weather in Fyzabad, currently experiencing lightening.

[shake d livin wake d dead]

Irma going to fork up them countries...DR, Cuba, Bahamas and environs

[racedriverpro]

Find she taking long to cum tho

[ron_28]

Lets hope there isnt a repeat of 1995, where Hurricane Luis passed and then Marilyn was close on its heels. the system behind seems to be following Irma path

[matr1x]

Question: with our treasury the state it in, will we be sending aid?

[info-maniac]

Question: with our treasury the state it in, will we be sending aid?

Of course! With one figure given locally and a much smaller figure reaching the destination.

Come on man! Another avenue to gang rape the treasury even more!

[infinite_RPM]

Meh I find Irma way lower than the projections

[hydroep]

^^^Of course, right after the "administrators" take their cut.

Interesting how the foretasted tracks keep shifting westward. The current spaghetti models have the Florida Pan Handle collecting it right up the wazoo.

[mahsingh]

Thunder storm sheit in Grande..

[redmanjp]

The US like it in for a double dose of catastrophic hurricanes this year

[matr1x]

Well this is going to be very interesting. I wonder if it will follow that path?

[Chimera]

Thunder storm sheit in Grande..

yuh eat a doubles with roast pepper and drink a supligen?