THE OFFICIAL TROPICAL WEATHER THREAD 2025

[MaxPower]

Have we seen any significant improvement in flood control?

[DMan7]

So the yellow alert has officially ended its 6PM Sunday. Whew we got thru this!

[alfa]

So the yellow alert has officially ended its 6PM Sunday. Whew we got thru this!

Met office says it's extended until Monday evening

[goalpost]

Looking like we reach the back end of those ITCZ clouds, based on Zoom Earth

[The_Honourable]

Adverse Weather Alert #3 - Yellow Level

Description: There is a medium chance (60%) of intermittent rainfall of varying intensities and isolated thunderstorms over Trinidad and to a lesser extent Tobago. The Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) is gradually migrating northward and is expected to trigger rainfall and thunderstorm activity later tonight into tomorrow.

More: https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1Ft38xXbaK/

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

Adverse Weather Alert #4 - Yellow Level
Adverse Weather
Sat, May 17, 2025 6:00 PM to Mon, May 19, 2025 6:00 PM

Over the last 12 hours, the atmosphere has remained in a fairly stable state aided by the influence of Saharan dust, so additional rainfall was limited across both islands. This gave some time for runoff processes to occur, however some rivers remain at or near critical level, namely the Caroni river at EL Carmen, which has breached onto the banks of the river. Further extensive riverine flooding is not anticipated at this time. Runoff from earlier rainfall would have already reached the main watercourses and river levels are expected to gradually recede after high tide. However, slow runoff may maintain localized ponding in low-lying or poorly drained areas for some time. Additional rainfall is expected later today, but the duration and intensity is not expected to be as significant as yesterday’s event. With that being said, with the close proximity of the ITCZ, there is enough moisture and instability to cause isolated street/flash flooding, therefore caution is still advised. Note that run-off will be slower at high tide which will be at 07:58am (Mon. 19th) and 09:39pm (Mon 19th).

[sMASH]

Very overcast but only drizzle every so often

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

[redmanjp]

rainy season start

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

[bluefete]

Been watching that tropical wave since it came off the coast heading just below us.

Let's hope we do not have to bear the brunt of it.

[MaxPower]

Been watching that tropical wave since it came off the coast heading just below us.

Let's hope we do not have to bear the brunt of it.

blues,

If ever Guyana collect it, or even just North of it the track is…..start to worry.

[bluefete]

Been watching that tropical wave since it came off the coast heading just below us.

Let's hope we do not have to bear the brunt of it.

blues,

If ever Guyana collect it, or even just North of it the track is…..start to worry.

I was waiting for the MET tuners to say it was going "north" but it is too far south.

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

The ITCZ is far south currently and there is sahara dust

[bluefete]

Well the Saharan Dust might mitigate.

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

[PariaMan]

Lots of mitigated showers where i am atm

[redmanjp]

Is that the tropical wave that came off Africa last week?

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

Is that the tropical wave that came off Africa last week?

yup and there is another one behind it in the mid Atlantic

[alfa]

Least the reservoirs will be full this year

[bluefete]

Well the Saharan Dust might mitigate.

Lots of mitigated showers where i am atm

I saw what you did there

[bluefete]

Least the reservoirs will be full this year

NOAA’s outlook for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which goes from June 1 to November 30, predicts a 30% chance of a near-normal season, a 60% chance of an above-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.

The agency is forecasting a range of 13 to 19 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 6-10 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3-5 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA has a 70% confidence in these ranges.

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa- ... ane-season

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

TROPICAL UPDATE - Saharan dust is expected to keep the Atlantic quiet for the next week.

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

MET Office: Yellow Alert
Thu, May 29, 2025 5:00 AM to Thu, May 29, 2025 4:00 PM

There is a medium chance (60%) of isolated heavy showers and thunderstorms associated with the passage of a Tropical Wave from early morning. The most impactful weather is expected to favour southern Trinidad as the morning progresses. **Impacts** Gusty winds may occur near heavy showers and thunderstorms. Street flooding and localized ponding are likely in areas of heavy downpours.

[The_Honourable]

Adverse Weather Alert #1 - YELLOW Level

Adverse Weather - Tue, Jun 10, 2025 2:00 AM to Wed, Jun 11, 2025 4:00 PM

There is a medium chance (60%) of isolated heavy showers and thunderstorm activity associated with atmospheric instability expected from early morning. The most impactful weather is expected mainly over southern and eastern offshore areas tomorrow morning slowly extending across Trinidad and Tobago. Gusty winds with varying intensities are expected in the vicinity of heavy downpours. Impacts include temporary traffic disruptions, street flooding and localised ponding, displacement of objects by gusts and difficulty anchoring marine craft. These conditions and impacts are expected in intervals over the period.

https://www.metoffice.gov.tt/early_warning

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

An Adverse Weather Alert goes into effect for Trinidad and its surrounding waters, and to a lesser extent, Tobago, from 2:00 AM Tuesday.

Tropical Wave 04 is forecast to move across the country overnight, bringing showers and thunderstorms. Tropical Wave 05 will then bring additional activity on Wednesday.

Gusty winds and street/flash flooding are likely in heavy showers and thunderstorms.

The Alert is in effect until 4 PM Wednesday.

Details: https://ttweathercenter.com/2025/06/09/ ... 4-nears-2/

[redmanjp]

Heavy rain in Arima the past half hour

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

10:00 AM - Another line of moderate to heavy rainfall is approaching eastern Trinidad within the hour, with localized pockets of heavy to violent rainfall rates.

This activity is forecast to spread across Trinidad, interrupting cloudy skies, while rainfall activity across Tobago has temporarily subsided, where mostly cloudy conditions now persist.

In heavy rainfall, street and flash flooding are likely, particularly in northeastern Trinidad, and accompanied by gusty winds between 45 km/h and 60 km/h.

As soils become increasingly saturated, fallen trees and landslides will also become possible through today and the remainder of this week.

Live updates continue: https://ttweathercenter.com/live-update ... e_vignette

[redmanjp]

just reach POS b4 it reach

[goalpost]

Arima getting a beat out right now. Take allyuh time...