COVID-19 in Trinidad & Tobago (Local Updates & Discussions Only)

[ST Auto]

Marabella

[Gem_in_i]

Could the deaths be because people are being home to quarantine too? Like they at home and start getting worse and by time they go to hospital, things get really bad and they die.

[Dohplaydat]

Appears to be leveling off, but tests are at an all-time high. So the backlog could be temporarily keeping the numbers from spiking to their true values.

Expect the next couple of days to be very high.

Overall for this week we have 147 more cases than the same period last week.

CleanShot 2021-05-28 at 4.38.49.png

633 new cases and 18 deaths is higher than yesterday

I was looking at the rolling average of cases which is dipping slowly.

But testing is still extremely high so unless the positivity rate dropped significantly, the next few days will continue to be high.

My best guess is that we'll have another two weeks of 500+ average cases daily., then it should start dipping.

[daring dragoon]

Appears to be leveling off, but tests are at an all-time high. So the backlog could be temporarily keeping the numbers from spiking to their true values.

Expect the next couple of days to be very high.

Overall for this week we have 147 more cases than the same period last week.

CleanShot 2021-05-28 at 4.38.49.png

Numbers will keep increasing as long as people are being sent home to home quarantine.
They spreading it. We need field hospitals for them.

nah, send all the positive fuqers tobago for the 21 days. let them chill and relax on the beach, eat crab and dumplin and curry goat and bake and shark incase they die they can die happy while boosting tobago economy like what they did during easter.

[widdyphuck]

This country gone to the phu cking dogs because someone told everyone to go Tobago.
It looks like we gonna be on lockdown for the month of June.

[aaron17]

This country gone to the phu cking dogs because someone told everyone to go Tobago.
It looks like we gonna be on lockdown for the month of June.

I thought is until august...
Anyways we not under 'lockdown'

[Dohplaydat]

This country gone to the phu cking dogs because someone told everyone to go Tobago.
It looks like we gonna be on lockdown for the month of June.

I thought is until august...
Anyways we not under 'lockdown'

These restrictions needed at least till mid-July.

I don't expect indoor dining, gyms etc to open up till Sept/Oct.......so 4 more months of little socializing

[adnj]

Appears to be leveling off, but tests are at an all-time high. So the backlog could be temporarily keeping the numbers from spiking to their true values.

Expect the next couple of days to be very high.

Overall for this week we have 147 more cases than the same period last week.

CleanShot 2021-05-28 at 4.38.49.png

633 new cases and 18 deaths is higher than yesterday

I was looking at the rolling average of cases which is dipping slowly.

CleanShot 2021-05-28 at 4.45.49.png

But testing is still extremely high so unless the positivity rate dropped significantly, the next few days will continue to be high.

CleanShot 2021-05-28 at 4.47.12.png

My best guess is that we'll have another two weeks of 500+ average cases daily., then it should start dipping.

TTO is testing about 0.15% of the population, and never at random, so there is very little that can be gleaned from positivity rates or even the number of cases.

Deaths are another matter. Deaths due to Covid-19 can be correlated to infection prevalence with a 14 to 21 day lag. The average number of deaths per day has hovered in the 15 to 20 range for about the past 10 days which means that we likely passed through the real, untested peak number of infections more than 10 days ago.

[Dohplaydat]

Appears to be leveling off, but tests are at an all-time high. So the backlog could be temporarily keeping the numbers from spiking to their true values.

Expect the next couple of days to be very high.

Overall for this week we have 147 more cases than the same period last week.

CleanShot 2021-05-28 at 4.38.49.png

633 new cases and 18 deaths is higher than yesterday

I was looking at the rolling average of cases which is dipping slowly.
CleanShot 2021-05-28 at 4.45.49.png

But testing is still extremely high so unless the positivity rate dropped significantly, the next few days will continue to be high.

CleanShot 2021-05-28 at 4.47.12.png

My best guess is that we'll have another two weeks of 500+ average cases daily., then it should start dipping.

TTO is testing about 0.15% of the population, and never at random, so there is very little that can be gleaned from positivity rates or even the number of cases.

Deaths are another matter. Deaths due to Covid-19 can be correlated to infection prevalence with a 14 to 21 day lag. The average number of deaths per day has hovered in the 15 to 20 range for about the past 10 days which means that we likely passed through the real, untested peak number of infections more than 10 days ago.

Yea that makes sense, however, I'm basing these data forecasts on what generally the public and MoH will use to justify decisions.

[sMASH]

problems. knowing that the indian variant is in the north of brazil, and brazil north is venezuala, and venezuelans thing tnt is their vacation home to come and go as they please...

our borders are NOT closed.

[redmanjp]

the P1 strain already twice as contagious. so if the indian one comes it will spread just as fast although P1 will remain dominant as it got here first.

[hover11]

The fact that the figure for new cases represent a period of days, frightens me more.. because when you examine the periods being reported on, the figure of new positive cases is still quite high.... it limits how we can interpret the data presented due to the overlapping time periods.. multiple updates cover similar periods with maybe a day more or day less covered....

I don't understand how yall can actually determine whether we peaked or not

[Dohplaydat]

The fact that the figure for new cases represent a period of days, frightens me more.. because when you examine the periods being reported on, the figure of new positive cases is still quite high.... it limits how we can interpret the data presented due to the overlapping time periods.. multiple updates cover similar periods with maybe a day more or day less covered....

I don't understand how yall can actually determine whether we peaked or not

guesstimating really.....if you assume the lag is evenly distributed across the last 5 days then you can interpret today's number as a reflection of the cases 5 days ago. But that would still be wrong, so basically we guessing.

What I do is use the moving average and assume it's a 3-5 lag.

[MaxPower]

Numbers will keep increasing as long as people are being sent home to home quarantine.
They spreading it. We need field hospitals for them.

Yep, has always been the case.

[toyolink]

I have given up on trying to analyse the numbers.
Presently all the stats just seem to say that we are in the firm grip of a serious surge and based on other countries experiences when they were in a similar situation, this is going to take us a long time to start seeing some light.

[widdyphuck]

This year is basically down the drain.

[adnj]

problems. knowing that the indian variant is in the north of brazil, and brazil north is venezuala, and venezuelans thing tnt is their vacation home to come and go as they please...

our borders are NOT closed.

There is no reason to believe that it isn't in Trinidad already.

[redmanjp]

im not seeing it in south america except for a small region so hardly likely it would have reached here. when it reach venezuela time to worry.

is it worst than P1?

[sMASH]

way more contagious, they still not sure if its due to it naturally being able to cause infection or it creates more virus particles so the person is shedding more. but at the end of they day, it creating a lot more cases.

the problem is our system is undersized to handle the amount of cases we have now. our borders are so not closed, either to illegal entry of 1% flying in and out. when it reach here we in our third or forth wave.

and maybe even, the vaccinated might not be as resistant to it as the previous strains.

[redmanjp]

the vid said twice as contagious as the original. P1 is already twice as contagious

[widdyphuck]

Seriously though how does one get a haircut this time around..

[neilsingh100]

T&T daily deaths / million is more than Italy, USA, Brazil at the peak.

[Dohplaydat]

the vid said twice as contagious as the original. P1 is already twice as contagious

With respect to B1 vs P1.

The more viral the strain the more dominant it becomes.

But assuming they're both equally viral, then the more dangerous one is the one that can beat vaccines. As it stands, it seems like the P1 is the more dangerous of the two (if the table below is accurate).

[redakkmooz60]

how d contry lockdoiwn mre dan 2 week n stil hav 600 nw case tday? hw d virus spredin?

[widdyphuck]

how d contry lockdoiwn mre dan 2 week n stil hav 600 nw case tday? hw d virus spredin?

People who in home quarantine spreading it bro. Idiot CMO decided the best decision was to send trinis home to save hospital beds.
Now he open a bigger can of worms for the country.

[paid_influencer]

Seriously though how does one get a haircut this time around..

i have one of them wahl 'home cut' machines. just put in the comb guide, cut how it cut, and leave it so because nobody seeing my head anytime soon

[aaron17]

The only light is the correct vaccine. That will bring it down. Soe and lockdown may hold it at bay only.

[j.o.e]

how d contry lockdoiwn mre dan 2 week n stil hav 600 nw case tday? hw d virus spredin?

People who in home quarantine spreading it bro. Idiot CMO decided the best decision was to send trinis home to save hospital beds.
Now he open a bigger can of worms for the country.

Can’t please Trinis. Know how much resources to quarantine all those people? Then Trinis were avoiding testing because they didn’t want to get state quarantined. It’s a fluid situation and adjustments have to be made. CMO don’t deserve to be attacked. That’s a very stressful situation to be in for almost two years and he’s performers commendably.

[redmanjp]

how d contry lockdoiwn mre dan 2 week n stil hav 600 nw case tday? hw d virus spredin?

People who in home quarantine spreading it bro. Idiot CMO decided the best decision was to send trinis home to save hospital beds.
Now he open a bigger can of worms for the country.

so where these 8000 covid+ ppl will go? some should be placed in state quarantine which is what they doing now if they can't isolate at home especially where there are vulnerable ppl in the house but we really have no place to put them.

3-4 months ago we could have done that with 3-4 cases a day. although that was probably the wuhan strain and the brazil variant would of still come in and jackarse d scene.

[paid_influencer]

how d contry lockdoiwn mre dan 2 week n stil hav 600 nw case tday? hw d virus spredin?

p1 new reality horse