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Numb3r4 wrote:Does anyone have a link to Dr. Terrence Farrell's recent article?
Not the newspaper article, but what FITUN said in response:Numb3r4 wrote:^^ The most recent article where the unions called for his apology.
Thanks in advance.
joker wrote:The turmoil this country in.... could see a 1990 again..
Numb3r4 wrote:^^ The most recent article where the unions called for his apology.
Thanks in advance.
OIL AND gas prices will not rebound in the short term. As such, TT will have to bring its expenditure down to match income and face structural adjustments, advised chairman of the Economic Development Advisory Board (EDAB) Dr Terrence Farrell.
At a joint luncheon on Tuesday by the Rotary Clubs of Maraval and Port-of-Spain at Goodwill Industries Ltd, Port- of-Spain, Farrell said the Saudis who pushed down the price of oil and gas will keep them down, “until they have driven the shale producers completely out of the market, because they can withstand it.” Iran, which has now re-entered the market, he said, was ramping up its production from 2.8 million barrels a day to 3.2 and 3.4 million barrels a day. “So, understand something, there will be no rebound in oil and gas prices. So while the previous administration, previous prime minister and the previous minister of finance were waiting for the rebound, there is going to be no rebound,” he said.
Oil and gas prices were going to remain at a low level for some time to come, he said, and TT has to internalise where it stands. Noting the oil and gas sector accounts for 85 percent of export earnings, and that the oil price has plummeted in recent times from US$100 a barrel to US$35 a barrel, he said, “Frankly speaking, it does not matter how far down it has plummeted, we are in trouble.” He said, “Those people who are watching the price of oil every day and praying, hoping that it will rise by some miracle, that the Trinidadian God will put his hand and raise oil prices, it ain’t gonna happen.” The problem, he said, was compounded by falling production. Oil production in 1978 was 228,000 barrels a day and now it was down to 78,000 barrels a day, and falling, while gas production was down from four bcf (billion cubic feet) to 3.8 bcf.
With a sharp decline in income, he said, TT has the option to either use up the savings to maintain expenditure or bring expenditure down to maintain income.
TT was not in a recession, he said, but was undergoing a period of structural adjustment.
“Recession,” he said, refers to a slowing, and maybe contraction, of the growth rate of the economy due to falling demand. That may last for about six months to about two years.
The economy is either self-corrected or stimulated to come out of that situation. “In the circumstances we are facing,” he said, “you cannot stimulate yourself out of this situation.” Noting the EDAB was tasked to work on the diversification of the economy as part of the adjustment process, Farrell said diversification was necessary, but it could only be achieved through a transformation of the mind. He said it also requires soft and hard infrastructure, and higher productivity from society. The population has not benefitted from the waste of billions of taxpayers’ dollars in hard infrastructure, he said, except for “architects, engineers, contractors, workers, politicians, and people in the Panama Papers.” Billions of dollars in investments, he said, were spent in unfinished or finished projects. They include a virtually empty Tamana Intech Park, an unopened Couva Children’s Hospital built with Chinese funding that has to be repaid, unoccupied Government Campus Plaza in Port-of-Spain, an unfinished Tarouba Stadium, Caroni Racing Complex which was stopped in the 1970s after millions of dollars were spent, and the newly- built National Aquatic Centre.
The adjustment was going to be hard, contentious and challenging because the TT society was a rent-seeking society — a society of handouts, he said. When people think about handouts, they think about CEPEP, URP. However, he said, trade unions, the private sector, non-governmental organisations, and religious bodies were all seeking their share.
“Everybody is saying to Government ‘gimme, gimme, gimme’” in a society that functions like “crabs in a barrel”, he said.
De Dragon wrote: Farrell made the politics a central part of his speech and that is different from Rambaran's speech? What, pray tell was the difference, contextually or content wise? Did you even listen to or bother to read Farrell's comments?
eliteauto wrote:Numb3r4 wrote:^^ The most recent article where the unions called for his apology.
Thanks in advance.
it was a speech given to 2 Rotary Clubs who invited him to speak on the economy ( The context that some can't understand) so what you'll get is news clips from various media.
http://news.power102fm.com/economist-sa ... stop-34861
http://ctntworld.com/cnews3/index.php?o ... Itemid=707
http://www.newsday.co.tt/business/0,226819.htmlOIL AND gas prices will not rebound in the short term. As such, TT will have to bring its expenditure down to match income and face structural adjustments, advised chairman of the Economic Development Advisory Board (EDAB) Dr Terrence Farrell.
At a joint luncheon on Tuesday by the Rotary Clubs of Maraval and Port-of-Spain at Goodwill Industries Ltd, Port- of-Spain, Farrell said the Saudis who pushed down the price of oil and gas will keep them down, “until they have driven the shale producers completely out of the market, because they can withstand it.” Iran, which has now re-entered the market, he said, was ramping up its production from 2.8 million barrels a day to 3.2 and 3.4 million barrels a day. “So, understand something, there will be no rebound in oil and gas prices. So while the previous administration, previous prime minister and the previous minister of finance were waiting for the rebound, there is going to be no rebound,” he said.
Oil and gas prices were going to remain at a low level for some time to come, he said, and TT has to internalise where it stands. Noting the oil and gas sector accounts for 85 percent of export earnings, and that the oil price has plummeted in recent times from US$100 a barrel to US$35 a barrel, he said, “Frankly speaking, it does not matter how far down it has plummeted, we are in trouble.” He said, “Those people who are watching the price of oil every day and praying, hoping that it will rise by some miracle, that the Trinidadian God will put his hand and raise oil prices, it ain’t gonna happen.” The problem, he said, was compounded by falling production. Oil production in 1978 was 228,000 barrels a day and now it was down to 78,000 barrels a day, and falling, while gas production was down from four bcf (billion cubic feet) to 3.8 bcf.
With a sharp decline in income, he said, TT has the option to either use up the savings to maintain expenditure or bring expenditure down to maintain income.
TT was not in a recession, he said, but was undergoing a period of structural adjustment.
“Recession,” he said, refers to a slowing, and maybe contraction, of the growth rate of the economy due to falling demand. That may last for about six months to about two years.
The economy is either self-corrected or stimulated to come out of that situation. “In the circumstances we are facing,” he said, “you cannot stimulate yourself out of this situation.” Noting the EDAB was tasked to work on the diversification of the economy as part of the adjustment process, Farrell said diversification was necessary, but it could only be achieved through a transformation of the mind. He said it also requires soft and hard infrastructure, and higher productivity from society. The population has not benefitted from the waste of billions of taxpayers’ dollars in hard infrastructure, he said, except for “architects, engineers, contractors, workers, politicians, and people in the Panama Papers.” Billions of dollars in investments, he said, were spent in unfinished or finished projects. They include a virtually empty Tamana Intech Park, an unopened Couva Children’s Hospital built with Chinese funding that has to be repaid, unoccupied Government Campus Plaza in Port-of-Spain, an unfinished Tarouba Stadium, Caroni Racing Complex which was stopped in the 1970s after millions of dollars were spent, and the newly- built National Aquatic Centre.
The adjustment was going to be hard, contentious and challenging because the TT society was a rent-seeking society — a society of handouts, he said. When people think about handouts, they think about CEPEP, URP. However, he said, trade unions, the private sector, non-governmental organisations, and religious bodies were all seeking their share.
“Everybody is saying to Government ‘gimme, gimme, gimme’” in a society that functions like “crabs in a barrel”, he said.
read and form your own opinions.
Perhaps De Dragon can show us the political parts, especially the parts that are patently pro-PNM??De Dragon wrote: Farrell made the politics a central part of his speech and that is different from Rambaran's speech? What, pray tell was the difference, contextually or content wise? Did you even listen to or bother to read Farrell's comments?
De Dragon wrote:eliteauto wrote:Numb3r4 wrote:^^ The most recent article where the unions called for his apology.
Thanks in advance.
it was a speech given to 2 Rotary Clubs who invited him to speak on the economy ( The context that some can't understand) so what you'll get is news clips from various media.
http://news.power102fm.com/economist-sa ... stop-34861
http://ctntworld.com/cnews3/index.php?o ... Itemid=707
http://www.newsday.co.tt/business/0,226819.htmlOIL AND gas prices will not rebound in the short term. As such, TT will have to bring its expenditure down to match income and face structural adjustments, advised chairman of the Economic Development Advisory Board (EDAB) Dr Terrence Farrell.
At a joint luncheon on Tuesday by the Rotary Clubs of Maraval and Port-of-Spain at Goodwill Industries Ltd, Port- of-Spain, Farrell said the Saudis who pushed down the price of oil and gas will keep them down, “until they have driven the shale producers completely out of the market, because they can withstand it.” Iran, which has now re-entered the market, he said, was ramping up its production from 2.8 million barrels a day to 3.2 and 3.4 million barrels a day. “So, understand something, there will be no rebound in oil and gas prices. So while the previous administration, previous prime minister and the previous minister of finance were waiting for the rebound, there is going to be no rebound,” he said.
Oil and gas prices were going to remain at a low level for some time to come, he said, and TT has to internalise where it stands. Noting the oil and gas sector accounts for 85 percent of export earnings, and that the oil price has plummeted in recent times from US$100 a barrel to US$35 a barrel, he said, “Frankly speaking, it does not matter how far down it has plummeted, we are in trouble.” He said, “Those people who are watching the price of oil every day and praying, hoping that it will rise by some miracle, that the Trinidadian God will put his hand and raise oil prices, it ain’t gonna happen.” The problem, he said, was compounded by falling production. Oil production in 1978 was 228,000 barrels a day and now it was down to 78,000 barrels a day, and falling, while gas production was down from four bcf (billion cubic feet) to 3.8 bcf.
With a sharp decline in income, he said, TT has the option to either use up the savings to maintain expenditure or bring expenditure down to maintain income.
TT was not in a recession, he said, but was undergoing a period of structural adjustment.
“Recession,” he said, refers to a slowing, and maybe contraction, of the growth rate of the economy due to falling demand. That may last for about six months to about two years.
The economy is either self-corrected or stimulated to come out of that situation. “In the circumstances we are facing,” he said, “you cannot stimulate yourself out of this situation.” Noting the EDAB was tasked to work on the diversification of the economy as part of the adjustment process, Farrell said diversification was necessary, but it could only be achieved through a transformation of the mind. He said it also requires soft and hard infrastructure, and higher productivity from society. The population has not benefitted from the waste of billions of taxpayers’ dollars in hard infrastructure, he said, except for “architects, engineers, contractors, workers, politicians, and people in the Panama Papers.” Billions of dollars in investments, he said, were spent in unfinished or finished projects. They include a virtually empty Tamana Intech Park, an unopened Couva Children’s Hospital built with Chinese funding that has to be repaid, unoccupied Government Campus Plaza in Port-of-Spain, an unfinished Tarouba Stadium, Caroni Racing Complex which was stopped in the 1970s after millions of dollars were spent, and the newly- built National Aquatic Centre.
The adjustment was going to be hard, contentious and challenging because the TT society was a rent-seeking society — a society of handouts, he said. When people think about handouts, they think about CEPEP, URP. However, he said, trade unions, the private sector, non-governmental organisations, and religious bodies were all seeking their share.
“Everybody is saying to Government ‘gimme, gimme, gimme’” in a society that functions like “crabs in a barrel”, he said.
read and form your own opinions.
Perhaps De Dragon can show us the political parts, especially the parts that are patently pro-PNM??De Dragon wrote: Farrell made the politics a central part of his speech and that is different from Rambaran's speech? What, pray tell was the difference, contextually or content wise? Did you even listen to or bother to read Farrell's comments?
What pray tell are those? What part do they play in a speech about the economy. A detached professional would merely state the existing economic landscape with no politics, look at all the economic statements issued by S&P, IMF, World Bank, they are all very dry analyses with no political slant.
S&P also said that there is a recession BTW, I can't see why like his boss, he refuses to simply acknowledge it. I guess he has more experience than the S&P people who merely do this for a living
joker wrote:The turmoil this country in.... could see a 1990 again..
joker wrote:The turmoil this country in.... could see a 1990 again..
Noting the EDAB was tasked to work on the diversification of the economy as part of the adjustment process, Farrell said diversification was necessary, but it could only be achieved through a transformation of the mind. He said it also requires soft and hard infrastructure, and higher productivity from society.
De Dragon wrote:I like to gadfly the PNM bunch on this forum, but even they have to admit that the communication regarding our economic circumstances are disastrous. Bimbert says tough measures or the IMF, and then returns with said IMF.
eliteauto wrote:[quote="De Dragon"]I like to gadfly the PNM bunch on this forum, but even they have to admit that the communication regarding our economic circumstances are disastrous. Bimbert says tough measures or the IMF, and then returns with said IMF. Farrell says there is no recession, Standard's and Poor's says economic recession.
I think that they underestimate Trinbagonians ability to gripe and then simmer down, so by not telling people the truth, and being consistent, they are losing credibility with the brighter more well read crowd.
De Dragon wrote:I like to gadfly the PNM bunch on this forum, but even they have to admit that the communication regarding our economic circumstances are disastrous. Bimbert says tough measures or the IMF, and then returns with said IMF. Farrell says there is no recession, Standard's and Poor's says economic recession.
I think that they underestimate Trinbagonians ability to gripe and then simmer down, so by not telling people the truth, and being consistent, they are losing credibility with the brighter more well read crowd.
As for the unbolded part you're correct you have to understand that economists speak differently to say the same thing, most are out of touch with the human side of an equation it's just how they are
Now Clown Bimbert says to drive smaller more fuel efficient cars, while driving an SUV, and hot on the heels of a 4.5+ V8 PM official vehicle.
De Dragon wrote:In spite of your best attempts to look erudite, and connected to the power brokers, you're nothing but a jumped up PNM apologist. If you can seriously defend that kind of slant, whether it is two lines or ten from a supposed professional, then you will defend anything. Note how you ran full tilt into Jwala Rambaran for his speech (which I agree was unprofessional), but failed to even acknowledge that Farrell's speech contained political bias. This old boys club of PNM, and this ridiculous recycling of them by every single PNM administration in spite of decades of failed policies, or lack thereof, plainly indicate that this Government has no clue. Farrell has been in a various capacities and roles in the CB for years and what has he achieved? Only now thanks to cronyism and recycling is he, Ewart Williams and Malcolm Jones worming their way back into national life. These people in any other country wouldn't be given a parlour to manage after their disastrous track record, yet here they sit on the most economically sensitive advisory committees of energy and finance.
drchaos wrote:"Which in general makes sense-cuz again the point of a TAX is to gain revenue, not stop the activity."
Not really eh hoss ... Increase in taxes does slow the said activity being taxed ESPECIALLY in a recession when there is less demand due to lack of capital and when interest rates are rising. This is all counter intuitive when you try to raise income on taxes and the product you tax is falling in demand. You end up with less tax revenue and less money in the gov coffers ... effectively shooting yourself in the proverbial "scrotum"
If you want to recover money from the automotive industry ... Put VAT on gas and diesel ... don't increase the cost to buy the vehicle.
Redman wrote:drchaos wrote:"Which in general makes sense-cuz again the point of a TAX is to gain revenue, not stop the activity."
Not really eh hoss ... Increase in taxes does slow the said activity being taxed ESPECIALLY in a recession when there is less demand due to lack of capital and when interest rates are rising. This is all counter intuitive when you try to raise income on taxes and the product you tax is falling in demand. You end up with less tax revenue and less money in the gov coffers ... effectively shooting yourself in the proverbial "scrotum"
If you want to recover money from the automotive industry ... Put VAT on gas and diesel ... don't increase the cost to buy the vehicle.
You are applying a generally correct statement to a specific context.
I dont think that if Mr Rich-who decided to buy a Porche Cayenne is worried about
a) Money
b)Cost of the Vehicle
c) Taxes.
He not financially sensitive and therefore will likely buy it or one like it regardless of this new tax.
He eh downgrading to a Navarra cuz of the price.
The people who buying these cars WANT THE CAR, and are not sensitive to cost...
I just paid 3000 TTD for a camera system bought from Amazon-still 40% below anything comparable here.
40USD for a cable that was 1000 in the bamboo.
The new tax could be 20%....it still isnt sufficient to alter my equation in terms of cost effectiveness...
Cost effectiveness being MY priority.
The man buying the higher end vehicles dont have cost as THE main priority.
it might be flams, it might be fuh de outside woman, it might be a bribe.
So I dont think it will change anything other than the revenue capture from this segment of the car market.
Is only poor people think that people higher up in the financial food chain does spend without caring about cost first. Cost is the most important factor when purchasing big ticket items, even to the rich.
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