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Bad Dog
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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby Bad Dog » May 14th, 2022, 6:59 pm

The US of A called Russia asking for a ceasefire. So, if Ukraine is winning the war as all the western media is claiming why is Lloyd Austin seeking a ceasefire instead of allowing Ukraine to finish the job and decimate the Russian forces. Those in the know said thar Russia will not agree to a cease fire unless the West takes back all of the 6,400 sanctions. Some of the issues in Russia's favour:
The economic outlook for Russia is good. It will have a record wheat harvest. Its internal measures to compensate for the results of sanctions are working. Counter sanctions Russia has now initiated against its enemies are starting to become effective.
Hungary has blocked European sanctions against Russian oil.
Turkey is slowing down if not prohibiting the entry of Kurd friendly Sweden and Norway into NATO.
The U.S. weapon deliveries to Ukraine will stop on May 19 unless Congress passes authority for new ones.
Senator Rand Paul has held up the required bill with the quite reasonable demand to have a inspector general scrutinize where the $40 billion 'for Ukraine' will be going. The Democrats will certainly dislike that.
U.S. gasoline prices have hit a record high.
European natural gas prices have also jumped after the Ukraine blocked the flow from Russia through one of the pipelines and while the flow through the Yamal pipeline in Poland has been stopped due to Russian counter sanctions.
Le Monde has verified and published a video that shows a Ukrainian 'volunteer battalion', led by a known criminal, torturing Russian prisoners of war.
Russia has published new material about the U.S. military biological 'research' in Ukraine. Other countries will also have questions about these activities.
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2022/05/i ... .html#more

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby adnj » May 14th, 2022, 7:35 pm

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Energy prices are expected to rise more than 50 percent in 2022 before easing in 2023 and 2024. Non-energy prices, including agriculture and metals, are projected to increase almost 20 percent in 2022 and will also moderate in the following years. Nevertheless, commodity prices are expected to remain well above the most recent five-year average. In the event of a prolonged war, or additional sanctions on Russia, prices could be even higher and more volatile than currently projected.

Because of war-related trade and production disruptions, the price of Brent crude oil is expected to average $100 a barrel in 2022, its highest level since 2013 and an increase of more than 40 percent compared to 2021. Prices are expected to moderate to $92 in 2023—well above the five-year average of $60 a barrel. Natural-gas prices (European) are expected to be twice as high in 2022 as they were in 2021, while coal prices are expected to be 80 percent higher, with both prices at all-time highs.

Ayhan Kose, Director of the World Bank’s Prospects Group made it known that the Commodity markets are experiencing one of the largest supply shocks in decades because of the war in Ukraine which led to the production of the Outlook report. “The resulting increase in food and energy prices is taking a significant human and economic toll—and it will likely stall progress in reducing poverty. Higher commodity prices exacerbate already elevated inflationary pressures around the world.”

Wheat prices are forecast to increase more than 40 percent, reaching an all-time high in nominal terms this year. That will put pressure on developing economies that rely on wheat imports, especially from Russia and Ukraine. Metal prices are projected to increase by 16 percent in 2022 before easing in 2023 but will remain at elevated levels.

John Baffes, Senior Economist in the World Bank’s Prospects Group stated that Commodity markets are under tremendous pressure, with some commodity prices reaching all-time highs in nominal terms adding that this will have lasting knock-on effects and the sharp rise in input prices, such as energy and fertilizers, could lead to a reduction in food production particularly in developing economies.

https://www.globaltrademag.com/the-war- ... =3850&scn=

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby adnj » May 14th, 2022, 7:39 pm

.....

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby Redress10 » May 14th, 2022, 8:56 pm

Bad Dog wrote:The US of A called Russia asking for a ceasefire. So, if Ukraine is winning the war as all the western media is claiming why is Lloyd Austin seeking a ceasefire instead of allowing Ukraine to finish the job and decimate the Russian forces.


Because yt ppl don't like to see images of yt people being killed and blown up etc. Do you see them calling for a ceasefire for the many other non yt conflicts taking place globally?

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby Mmoney607 » May 15th, 2022, 12:21 am

So who organizing the tuners' trip to Ukraine?

Screenshot_20220515_001929.jpg

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby MaxPower » May 15th, 2022, 12:26 am

^ count me out.

Thas between Russia and Ukraine.

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby adnj » May 15th, 2022, 5:52 am

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Main points

Using our Global Econometric Model, NiGEM, we estimate that the conflict in Ukraine could reduce the level of global GDP by 1 per cent by 2023, which is about $1 trillion off global GDP (Figure 1) and add up to 3 per cent to global inflation in 2022 and about 2 percentage points in 2023.

Russia and Ukraine are important suppliers of commodities, including titanium, palladium, wheat, and corn, and we envisage supply chain problems intensifying for users of such commodities, including car, smartphone, and aircraft makers.

Europe is the region affected most, given trade links and reliance on Russian energy and food supplies; emerging markets are affected less than advanced economies.

We expect higher public spending to support a massive inflow of asylum seekers from Ukraine and to bolster military spending, which will limit adverse effects on European GDP, though both are likely to add to pressure on resources and therefore inflation.

The sanctions costs to Russia are partly offset by higher prices for gas and oil exports but the net effect on the economy will be negative with Russian GDP expected to contract by 1.5 per cent this year and more than 2.5 per cent by the end of 2023.

Russian inflation is expected to soar above 20 per cent this year. Western inflation to go still higher with recession risks mounting.

We see the impact on the UK could be to reduce GDP growth by around 0.8 per cent to 4.0 per cent in 2022 and to 0.5 per cent in 2023.

For the UK, we now expect inflation to average 7 per cent in 2022 and 4.4 per cent in 2023, up from 5.3 per cent and 2.7 per cent, respectively, in our February Outlook.

The war intensifies the dilemma facing monetary policy makers since it will add to inflation but weaken growth and damage consumer and business confidence, already undermined by Covid-driven price increases.

Our advice is for central banks to proceed carefully but to use communication to signal that any delays in rate hikes are merely postponements, not cancellations.

https://www.niesr.ac.uk/publications/ec ... icy-papers

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby 88sins » May 15th, 2022, 6:51 am

meanwhile...

https://www.wionews.com/videos/gravitas ... nes-477978

some say xi won't make a move until 2030 at the earliest. I suspect he gonna make that move on taiwan long before that, probably within the next few months. you don't start to practice maneuvers for the world to see 8 years before you ready to attack.

this is a side effect many didn't anticipate. xi seeing the rest of the world is unwilling to get directly involved in that conflict in europe, and realizing now is the perfect time to do what he want.

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby hover11 » May 15th, 2022, 7:34 am

MaxPower wrote:^ count me out.

Thas between Russia and Ukraine.
X3000

Middle East waring for years nobody bats an eye all of a sudden everybody so concerned but at the same time don't want to be involved mostly Amerika. Let the neighbours resolve their issues by themselves

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby Dohplaydat » May 15th, 2022, 7:55 am

88sins wrote:meanwhile...

https://www.wionews.com/videos/gravitas ... nes-477978

some say xi won't make a move until 2030 at the earliest. I suspect he gonna make that move on taiwan long before that, probably within the next few months. you don't start to practice maneuvers for the world to see 8 years before you ready to attack.

this is a side effect many didn't anticipate. xi seeing the rest of the world is unwilling to get directly involved in that conflict in europe, and realizing now is the perfect time to do what he want.


No offense to Ukraine, but Taiwan is a lot more important to the global economy, especially the US's economy.

China does not yet have the ability to take Taiwan if the US, Japan get involved.

Xi isn't irrational like Putin, they will eventually try to invade but not yet.

Unless China has been building tonnes of secret military might (which the CIA would know), then I'd say it's super unlikely for China to do this.

Wait until 2030 what the belt and road is most complete, and a number of countries have fallen to China's debt traps. Then China will be a great position to invade and dictate that war.

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby sMASH » May 15th, 2022, 8:35 am

funding ukraine, just gonna drag this ting on longer, crash global economies, make poor and middle income people poorer,, and thus more susceptible to govt manipulation.

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby adnj » May 15th, 2022, 9:02 am

sMASH wrote:funding ukraine, just gonna drag this ting on longer, crash global economies, make poor and middle income people poorer,, and thus more susceptible to govt manipulation.


Wrong

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby Bad Dog » May 15th, 2022, 9:13 am

If China decides to take Taiwan, they have to follow Russia's tactics. Put their Nukes on high alert and watch how everyone will stand back. China's hypersonic missiles can deliver conventional warheads or nukes that can hit anywhere. US of A and their attack dog NATO prefers to fight those far from US shores who do not have the ability to shoot back.

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby 88sins » May 15th, 2022, 9:19 am

Take what I telling you, that man xi done seeing now is the perfect time to take Taiwan.
This war in Ukraine has shown him, at this point in time, nobody wants to directly engage in other countries conflicts.
Couple that with the fact that practically every single country on the planet being somewhat dependent on Chinese labor, finances and exports, and many countries already under strain sending aid to Ukraine, not to mention that if China takes Taiwan and other countries get involved it has the very real potential for further destabilizing the world economy and cause a global recession.


if China invades Taiwan, tomorrow, nobody gonna lift a pinky to get involved to defend Taiwan.

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby sMASH » May 15th, 2022, 9:30 am

adnj wrote:
sMASH wrote:funding ukraine, just gonna drag this ting on longer, crash global economies, make poor and middle income people poorer,, and thus more susceptible to govt manipulation.


Wrong
says the brick

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby sMASH » May 15th, 2022, 9:35 am

Bad Dog wrote:If China decides to take Taiwan, they have to follow Russia's tactics. Put their Nukes on high alert and watch how everyone will stand back. China's hypersonic missiles can deliver conventional warheads or nukes that can hit anywhere. US of A and their attack dog NATO prefers to fight those far from US shores who do not have the ability to shoot back.

wion said that china has mock ups of taiwan infrastructure, training its military to do precision strikes... so, its on.

US planning on giving 140bn, i think, to taiwan to defend it self, and to host talks with oceana concerning china and taiwan.

more money pelting out to military, less money spent on people, more taxes, higher prices, making people globally less economically stable, and more susceptible to govt opression.

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby adnj » May 15th, 2022, 4:06 pm

sMASH wrote:
adnj wrote:
sMASH wrote:funding ukraine, just gonna drag this ting on longer, crash global economies, make poor and middle income people poorer,, and thus more susceptible to govt manipulation.


Wrong
says the brick
Brick, fuckkup, stupid. Brick beats stupid.

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby sMASH » May 15th, 2022, 7:41 pm

adnj wrote:
sMASH wrote:
adnj wrote:
sMASH wrote:funding ukraine, just gonna drag this ting on longer, crash global economies, make poor and middle income people poorer,, and thus more susceptible to govt manipulation.


Wrong
says the brick
Brick, fuckkup, stupid. Brick beats stupid.

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not when it comes to being an educated fool.
*question nothing, big brother knows best*

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby adnj » May 16th, 2022, 5:53 am

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Why it matters: Sweden's possible reversal of more than 200 years of military non-alignment is the latest historic shift in Europe precipitated by Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

The big picture: The announcement by Sweden's Social Democrats comes days after the leaders of Finland, which shares an 800-mile border with Russia, called for their country to apply for NATO membership "without delay." Finland's President Sauli Niinisto on Sunday confirmed his country would apply for NATO membership.

Support for NATO membership in Finland skyrocketed virtually overnight after Vladimir Putin launched his invasion, as it quickly become clear that Finland could be uniquely vulnerable to Russian aggression in Europe's shattered security environment.

The evolution of public sentiment in Sweden was more modest, but 64% of Swedes in a poll conducted May 4-10 said they would support NATO membership if Finland applied as well.

Between the lines: Sweden, like Finland, has cooperated closely with NATO over the past three decades, but military neutrality has long been a point of pride and culture — especially for the politically dominant Social Democrats.

The party became divided on the question of NATO membership as the war in Ukraine broke out, with some factions arguing that joining the alliance would undermine Sweden's commitment to nuclear disarmament and global peace.

The Social Democrats ultimately came to the decision after pressure from Finland, Sweden's closest ally, and a parliamentary analysis that found joining NATO would reduce the risk of a Russian attack.

Sweden does not share a border with Russia, but has long feared the possibility of Moscow invading Gotland — a strategically located island in the Baltic Sea viewed as critical to the defense of the region.

https://www.axios.com/2022/05/15/sweden ... on-finland

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby De Dragon » May 16th, 2022, 5:59 am

So Vladdy run in to Ukraine because according to him, they were getting too cozy with NATO :roll: , and now NATO membership sharing like it going outta style including Finland which also borders Russia? Well played Russia!

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby bluefete » May 16th, 2022, 6:37 am

They say Vlad has blood cancer.

Now they say:

Chinese President Xi Jinping is reportedly suffering from cerebral aneurysm
By - ANIUpdated: May 11, 2022, 17:21 IST
Beijing [China], May 10 (ANI):

Chinese President Xi Jinping is suffering from 'cerebral aneurysm' and had to be hospitalized at the end of 2021, media reports said.

It is learnt that he preferred to be treated with traditional Chinese medicines rather than going for surgery, which softens the blood vessels and shrinks aneurysm.

Of late, there have been speculations about Xi's health as he had avoided meeting the foreign leaders since the outbreak of COVID-19 till the Beijing Winter Olympics.

Earlier in March 2019, during Xi's visit to Italy, his gait was observed to be unusual with a noticeable limp and later also in France during the same tour, he was seen taking support while trying to sit down.

Similarly, during an address to the public in Shenzhen in October 2020, his delay in appearance, slow speech and coughing spree again led to speculation about his ill health.

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/lif ... 494074.cms

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby 88sins » May 16th, 2022, 8:52 am

imma just leave this here

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby sMASH » May 16th, 2022, 9:17 am

ent US want to send 140bn to oceana to rally teh troops to defend taiwan?


US gonna tank every body economy.

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby Dizzy28 » May 16th, 2022, 10:42 am

^^ Russia catching their tail in a country where they could drive across the border from multiple points. China has to sail/fly to a heavily fortified mountain island.
An invasion of Taiwan will be bloody and the Chinese smarter than Russia.

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby adnj » May 16th, 2022, 10:50 am

Dizzy28 wrote:^^ Russia catching their tail in a country where they could drive across the border from multiple points. China has to sail/fly to a heavily fortified mountain island.
An invasion of Taiwan will be bloody and the Chinese smarter than Russia.
Too much analysis for forum free-thinkers to process.

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby bluefete » May 16th, 2022, 11:25 am

adjn: In WW2, there were no satellites and ground penetrating radar. Radar was in its infancy during WW2.

Prior to D_Day in June 1944, the Allies had to build thousands of dummy barges, boats people and so on to fool the Germans into thinking that the invasion was going to happen anywhere but Normandy. It was called Operation Bodyguard

Today, the Western world knew that Putin was going to invade Ukraine long before it started because satellites showed the real time build up of troops close to Ukraine's border.

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby sMASH » May 16th, 2022, 11:28 am

Bombing pro Russian regions in East Ukraine is a good way to goad putin to attack Ukraine. Especially if u keep toying Ukraine about nato membership.

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby sMASH » May 16th, 2022, 11:30 am

At the end of the day, monies going to war, rather than development,
Econimics gonna crash.

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby adnj » May 16th, 2022, 12:18 pm

sMASH wrote:At the end of the day, monies going to war, rather than development,
Econimics gonna crash.
ImageImage

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Re: Ukraine: Russia plans biggest war in Europe since 1945 - Boris Johnson

Postby sMASH » May 16th, 2022, 3:32 pm

is always 'ambiguity' when they dont want to say it makes the civilians poorer. people can get rich, GDP can go up, but its not a measure of how well the average citizen benefits... the beneficiaries of wars are those that sells the guns and bombs, and those that authorize it.
but i expect nothing less from a authoritarian brick.

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