The official tropical weather thread - 2012

[teems1]

If we get a serious hurricane we in serious trouble . 4 meters of rain fall did so much damage imagine what 8-10 meters go do.

boss, u have any idea what 1 meter of rainfall is...

to put things into perspective the entire annual rainfall in the Amazon rainforest is around 2-3 meters.

[MISHI]

Um... Sig.

[searchingone]

unless him d meaning to say 0.4m hence the point (.) floating around before the 4

but ah doubt it..

[pioneer]

firstchoice is not a very literate fella, yuh hadda low him

[nervewrecker]

I think he meant inches though.

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

yuh know things real bad when even yuh ceiling gets a inch or 2 of water

hahahaha - I real for this one!

[Hook]

To say an area of disturbed weather showed an increase in rotation, suggests an intensification of the winds, which is indicative of deeper troughing and grounds for an upgrade.

I'd sooner say it's becoming more organized. I don't like that 50% prob they put on it earlier tho. That's like saying "it may, but it may not intensify".

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

the computer models are putting 96L north and out to sea



Looking at TD7 though, it has a closed isobar at 1012mb (which isn't really that low) that sinks as far south as T&T.



TD7 still seems to have a good bit of convection south of it

[MISHI]

To say an area of disturbed weather showed an increase in rotation, suggests an intensification of the winds, which is indicative of deeper troughing and grounds for an upgrade.

I'd sooner say it's becoming more organized. I don't like that 50% prob they put on it earlier tho. That's like saying "it may, but it may not intensify".

60% now... but yeah agreed regarding my previous statement.

[MISHI]

Interesting:

[Mr. Red Sleeper]

Quite interesting!!!

[Habit7]

either that or just delineates converging weather cells

[xtech]

Excellent Video showing all stages of hurricane development a overview of the inner mechanics and external forces that control its movements, strengths an death

[wagonrunner]

Soooooooooooooo I should avoid wrightson road and chaguaramus on thursday?

[MISHI]

Dude I'm pretty sure you're gonna get some rain Tomorrow.

[Hook]

TS ISAAC

Note well that TS Isaac poses no direct threat to T&T, Grenada and it's dependencies. The necessary warnings/watches for the Eastern Caribbean will be determined by their respective governments.

What we need to be mindful of, are those feeder bands and the system pulling the ITCZ over us as it continues along its path.








http://www.metoffice.gov.tt/cyclone-bulletin

Bulletin#2

Date: Tuesday 21st of August 2012
ISSUED AT:05:15PM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION #9 HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO
TTROPICAL STORM ISAAC

At 5:00 p.m. today, Tuesday 21st August 2012,
Tropical Storm Isaac was located near Latitude
15.4 North and Longitude 53.9 West or about 810
km east of Guadeloupe. Isaac is moving toward the
West near 28 km/h and this general motion is
expected to continue during the next 48 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 km/h with
higher gusts.



On the forecast track and forward speed, Isaac
should move through the Central Lesser Antilles
Wednesday evening and emerge in the Caribbean Sea
by Thursday morning. Isaac poses NO immediate
threat to Trinidad and Tobago, Grenada and its
dependencies. However, associated cloudiness with
showers and thundershowers will extend over the
southern Windwards including Trinidad and Tobago,
as the system tracks across the Lesser Antilles.


Numerical Weather Prediction models have also
indicated that as early as tomorrow morning,
surface winds will be out of the west as the
system approaches the island chain and as such,
seas in sheltered areas can become choppy. The
general public is advised to monitor the movement
of Tropical Storm Isaac through media reports as
the storm moves closer to the Northern Windward
and Leeward Islands.


Repeating the present position of Tropical Storm
Isaac: Latitude 15.4 North and Longitude 53.9
West or about 810 km east of the Guadeloupe.

WE WISH TO UNDERSCORE THAT TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
AND GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES ARE NOT UNDER
ANY TROPICAL STORM THREAT, WATCH OR WARNING.



The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service is
monitoring this system and will issue an update
at 6:00 a.m. tomorrow or earlier if the situation
warrants.

Bagwandeen Ramdatt
Meteorologist

[Hook]

[pioneer]

Oh well, I'm seeing some fb feeds where people saying "a storm is gonna hit us"....

It begins

[sMASH]

i realll glad i not on that bbm thing.

trinis like to rely on the authority of 'they say...' and always pointing me to that as their source (mostly my family). i get vex and tell them to find out more about the situation from the 'they' they had heard it from in the first place.

sad thing is, the authority of 'they' now work via bbm and fassbook.

[firstchoicett]

That's one big storm yes.

[pioneer]

By tomorrow around 2pm the bulletin hook posted there would be altered and fwded all over the electronic media creating mass chaos amongst the jackasses.

Jus wait for it

[brams112]

the latest storm missing us by miles,the leeward islands or so about is where it will pass together with the rest of the caribbean,along the lines of puerto rico or so,this is what the news channels in the us of a is saying.

[Hook]

By tomorrow around 2pm the bulletin hook posted there would be altered and fwded all over the electronic media creating mass chaos amongst the jackasses.

Jus wait for it

I feel you're right

[MISHI]

SHHHH! I in Trini for the day tomorrow... don't need no jackassity overload while there

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

I see they made sure to use the term "thundershowers" and not "thunderstorms"
good move!

[Hook]

dey trying hard not to feed a possible scare

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

^ the BBM panic mongering is what causes the problems!

For people wondering how far Isaac is going to be from us
check out http://stormcarib.com/closest.cgi

Results for Trinidad (10.62N, 61.35W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 16.0N, 60.7W or about 373.0 miles (600.3 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 22 hours and 9 minutes from now (Wednesday, August 22 at 8:12PM AST).

Now PLEASE understand that the above statement means that in 22 hours (8:15pm on Wednesday 22nd August) the center of the storm will be 600km away and to the north of us and that is the closest it will ever be to Trinidad (estimated).

[MISHI]

That won't stop them mate: if the clouds look black and the satellite pic looks red wherever on the map near trinidad and tobago, it's level storm coming and go head for the hills!


check that the hills may slide...

[pioneer]

Ah well I could make a pricesmart run tomorrow, guess the idiots gonna cause false panic again.

[Hook]

Here ya go, guys. Official time of issuance is 6am. Have a safe day.