.::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

[Bezman]

Yeh ZR... You're right. On the Clarence for Mayaro page a few people ask questions that were opposed to that pages views and instead of enlightening people they became overly defensive. Wrong approach.

Rushton is almost non existent on social media. Clarence have a serious head start on him.

He is a serious fella....he has been doing work on the ground for over a year.....and has a real strong grip on the issues and how to go about finding the best solutions....he has a structure in place to keep the people serviced and be able to deal with his ministerial duties.

The claim is that the ethos coming down from Rowley is that it will NOT be biz as usual....and the activities over the last year ...internal and external to the party gives me some comfort.

So give them a shot...cant be much worse than this band of mis fits...in 2020 re assess and go again.

We have 2 choices..we need one to run the country

This is the same CANADIAN who say if he eh win he leaving allyuh black arse in T&T and going back CANADA????

Say what??

[rfari]

Moment of anger. Poor uml

[Bezman]

did the Canadian say that or is that UML addition?

[rfari]

Uml's addition. Unless she proves me wrong

[zoom rader]

Hope you tuners all know that Rowley plan is to take back Wallerfeild.

Where was this stated?

Colm Imbert on a radio talk show. They plan to bring back the science park.

[Dizzy28]

happening right now

Relevance??

[janfar]

More relevant question... Why does it seem like Paray not even campaigning. He page just there.

[rfari]

I'm beginning to question the guy's allegiance

[janfar]

[megadoc1]

this election is strange ,I drive from Diego martin to POS and can hardly see a PP banner or poster
like they only focusing on campaigning for their "safe" seats ah what

[janfar]

I think they're not wasting their time non PNM safe seats. They're heavy in the marginals.

[janfar]

How bluefete aint post this yet?

http://www.newsday.co.tt/news/0,216300.html

[Redman]

More relevant question... Why does it seem like Paray not even campaigning. He page just there.

I feel Paray know he behind and it might not make sense...
I was told that he admitted to being outclassed by Rambharat on Akash Vani...

regardless of party CR has done the work.

[rfari]

How bluefete aint post this yet?

http://www.newsday.co.tt/news/0,216300.html

Growley the cock-block

[EmilioA]

Competing polls.

http://newsday.co.tt/news/0,216301.html
The latest North American Caribbean Teachers Association (NACTA) tracking poll finds the 2015 General Election still to be going down to the wire with the outcome in a few marginal seats determining who will be the prime minister.

The poll also found that Kamla Persad-Bissessar has been consistently leading her main challenger, Dr Keith Rowley, in voters’ choice for Prime Minister as well as in approval and favourability (likeability) ratings.

With just one week to go before the September 7 general election, the poll found that the United National Congress (UNC) leads 21-20 but several of these seats are within the margin of error in terms of how voters say they plan to vote. Thus, the projected outcome could vary, the poll said.

In terms of national support, the PP leads PNM 45 percent to 40 percent with ILP four percent, the poll said.

http://www.guardian.co.tt/news/2015-08-30/pnm-takes-lead

The People’s National Movement (PNM) is leading the race in voter support with just eight days to go before the September 7 general election.

These were the findings of a national poll, conducted by H.H.B. & Associates Ltd for Guardian Media Ltd, which puts the PNM ahead by seven per cent in voter support.

When asked which party they intended to vote for, 37 per cent of respondents said the PNM, while 30 per cent said the PP/UNC. The undecided respondents accounted for 31 per cent, while two per cent said Independent Liberal Party (ILP).

The poll reflects the opinions and choices of the population as a whole and not individual constituencies.

[Daran]

Nacta is more reliable but those sample sizes are too small to draw definitive answers. In the end it's too close to call.

[bluefete]

How bluefete aint post this yet?

http://www.newsday.co.tt/news/0,216300.html

Well I kinda have a life too nuh!!!

[EmilioA]

Nacta is more reliable but those sample sizes are too small to draw definitive answers. In the end it's too close to call.

What sample sizes ?

Nacta didnt give theirs while, HHB 's 1000 is HUGE for a poll.

Most US polls are between 300-500 persons.

[Allergic2BunnyEars]

lol@Daran saying 1000 sample size is too small. Stats is clearly not his strong point.

[hustla_ambition101]

lol@Daran saying 1000 sample size is too small. Stats is clearly not his strong point.

BLASPHEMY

[EmilioA]

Exactly. Now you can criticize the HHB poll on the basis that we dont actually have a single National Election. We have 41 Constituency elections. So a poll that doesn't account for constituencies is kinda useless for determining the winner of a parliamentary election.

But sample size ? I doubt Daran even read the article since Nacta didnt even post their sample size.

[j.o.e]

Daran came to lead not read. He's too smart for reading before making opinions

[hustla_ambition101]

How bluefete aint post this yet?

http://www.newsday.co.tt/news/0,216300.html

Rowley could instruct SB officers?

https://www.facebook.com/PNMTT/posts/10156003188310472

MEDIA RELEASE
The letter authored by Mr. Peter Taylor, and referred to on the front page of today’s edition of the Newsday newspaper, was received by the Political Leader of the People’s National Movement some time ago, and alleged in the main that Mr. Taylor’s emails, telephone calls and SMS messages were being monitored by a state security agency over which the Political Leader has no control.
The letter then went on to suggest that text messages originating from Mr. Taylor’s mobile telephone are being contrived and crafted, by one can only assume the state security agency, into ‘suggestive conversations’ between a woman (who is not Mr. Taylor’s girlfriend/fiancée) and Mr. Taylor. These ‘suggestive conversations’ are then being sent to the mobile telephone of Mr. Taylor’s girlfriend/fiancée in an attempt to sow seeds of discord.
The letter then alleges that the Political Leader attempted to caution Mr. Taylor’s girlfriend/fiancée about Mr. Taylor’s purported indiscretions. This allegation is simply ridiculous and is denied. The Political Leader does not have the time nor the will to get involved in the personal relationships of others, especially those he does not know.
The letter was immediately passed to the Political Leader’s attorneys for advice, which was to deposit the letter into the file which contains the many letters received just prior to an election, the contents of which are absolutely unbelievable, would not be taken seriously by the public, would simply be a waste of precious resources if it were to be addressed any further, and would run the risk of giving the author attention which he does not warrant.
Consideration was also given to the fact that:
(i) Mr. Taylor was not selected to contest the Moruga/Tableland seat in the 2010 General Election;
(ii) Mr. Taylor left the People’s National Movement in 2011;
(iii) Mr. Taylor formed the United Free Movement, a political party in 2012; and
(iiii) Mr. Taylor was again not selected to contest the Moruga/Tableland seat for the PNM for the 2015 General Election.
What was also of great assistance in consigning the letter to the aforementioned file, and which was quite interestingly omitted from the article in the Newsday is that the letter was also copied to Mr. Chuck Hagel, Former Secretary of Defence of the United States of America in the Obama administration and Mrs. Madeline Albight, Former Secretary of State of the United States of America in the Clinton Administration.
This letter was authored and widely circulated some two (2) weeks ago, with respect to matters which allegedly occurred in the year 2014 and early 2015. No other media house has chosen to even raise the letter with the Political Leader, one would suspect as a consequence of the contents being so quite obviously unbelievable. It is regrettable that the Newsday, which would have covered events attended by the Political Leader up to Friday of last week, did not see it fit to raise the proposed article with him, so that he could have brought the aforementioned matters to their attention.
An impending election is no basis for a media house to discard its responsibilities, and the proper exercise of discretion, as to what is in fact a credible and newsworthy story.
Ashton Ford
General Secretary
People’s National Movement
August 30th 2015

[EmilioA]

What was also of great assistance in consigning the letter to the aforementioned file, and which was quite interestingly omitted from the article in the Newsday is that the letter was also copied to Mr. Chuck Hagel, Former Secretary of Defence of the United States of America in the Obama administration and Mrs. Madeline Albight, Former Secretary of State of the United States of America in the Clinton Administration.

Okkkaaaayyy

[Kewell35]

NACTA: PP leads PNM
Sunday, August 30 2015

The latest North American Caribbean Teachers Association (NACTA) tracking poll finds the 2015 General Election still to be going down to the wire with the outcome in a few marginal seats determining who will be the prime minister.

The poll also found that Kamla Persad-Bissessar has been consistently leading her main challenger, Dr Keith Rowley, in voters’ choice for Prime Minister as well as in approval and favourability (likeability) ratings.

With just one week to go before the September 7 general election, the poll found that the United National Congress (UNC) leads 21-20 but several of these seats are within the margin of error in terms of how voters say they plan to vote. Thus, the projected outcome could vary, the poll said.

http://www.newsday.co.tt/news/0,216301.html

[EmilioA]

NACTA: PP leads PNM
Sunday, August 30 2015

The latest North American Caribbean Teachers Association (NACTA) tracking poll finds the 2015 General Election still to be going down to the wire with the outcome in a few marginal seats determining who will be the prime minister.

The poll also found that Kamla Persad-Bissessar has been consistently leading her main challenger, Dr Keith Rowley, in voters’ choice for Prime Minister as well as in approval and favourability (likeability) ratings.

With just one week to go before the September 7 general election, the poll found that the United National Congress (UNC) leads 21-20 but several of these seats are within the margin of error in terms of how voters say they plan to vote. Thus, the projected outcome could vary, the poll said.

http://www.newsday.co.tt/news/0,216301.html

Late to the party. Already posted.

[Kewell35]

I think they're not wasting their time non PNM safe seats. They're heavy in the marginals.

They sure as hell not putting in much effort in San Fdo West.

[Daran]

lol@Daran saying 1000 sample size is too small. Stats is clearly not his strong point.

BLASPHEMY

lol@Daran saying 1000 sample size is too small. Stats is clearly not his strong point.

Nacta is more reliable but those sample sizes are too small to draw definitive answers. In the end it's too close to call.

What sample sizes ?

Nacta didnt give theirs while, HHB 's 1000 is HUGE for a poll.

Most US polls are between 300-500 persons.

LFMAO at the pseudo stats experts here.

Sample size matters significantly here. Are we sampling from the same data set? Every constituency has a different distribution. Hence, 1000 for the entire country equates to roughly 25 per constituency (assuming they sampled uniform random draws).....leaves high error low confidence intervals. For safe seats this is may be fine, but for marginals, you need at least 250 to draw a meaningful conclusion. However, some marginals are within 1% of the each other and no poll can give an answer at high confidence there.

Secondly, polling methodology is flawed in the HBB poll. Asking whom do you support as prime minister is different to asking who will you be voting for.

Thirdly, EmilioA, the reason i give more credit to NACTA is purely based on the fact that it was a constituency poll and not national, which is what determines the election outcome. In retrospect sample size had nothing to do with HBB being inaccurate. I just thought people may extrapolate HBB to a constituency level which is clearly flawed.

[zoom rader]

I think they're not wasting their time non PNM safe seats. They're heavy in the marginals.

They sure as hell not putting in much effort in San Fdo West.

Ppl in Sando west need to decide if they want to live in another crime infested PNM dump. PNM constitutes are always stagnated with little improvements been made.
Under PNM New local government expect less improvements, as government will remove itself from the care of constituencies. Local govt will be in the hands of local reps who will lack the care and attention to serve ppl. Don't say Zoom rader did warn u all.

[Kewell35]

Thirdly, EmilioA, the reason i give more credit to NACTA is purely based on the fact that it was a constituency poll and not national, which is what determines the election outcome.

Exactly. I remember UNC had gotten a larger overall voter share in 2001 and/or 2002 and they still tied and lost.