Moderator: 3ne2nr Mods
UML wrote:ABA Trading LTD wrote:PEOPLE’S National Movement (PNM) supporters reserved some of their loudest cheers yesterday during the party’s sports and family day for young women all dressed in the bright yellow of the party’s rival — the United National Congress (UNC) — who staggered, stumbled and fell while tightly clutching a bottle of vodka during the march past segment of the event.
These skits plus the carrying of a stuffed tiger on a pole, which represented the killing of the cat, were some of the colours of the event held at Nelson Mandela Park where the featured speaker was Opposition and PNM political leader Dr Keith Rowley.
The march past kicked off just after Rowley’s arrival at the park, at about 11 am. The 27 teams, each representing different constituencies competed for the title of March Past champions, with displays of coordination and choreography. Several skits portraying a drunk woman drew loud cheers and then jeers from the very large crowd of PNMites.
As the march past team from Arouca/Maloney constituency marched portraying traffic wardens, a young woman dressed in bright yellow with wig and shades, staggered in front of the marchers as she held a bottle of vodka in her hand. She appeared dazed and uncoordinated, but never once did the bottle of vodka fall from her hand.
As the woman fell, during the skit, one of the marchers stood over and remonstrated her conduct. Dressed in orange blue and white, marchers of Diego Martin West were interrupted by an uncoordinated woman, again clad in bright yellow and carrying a bottle of rum. The master of ceremonies/announcer shouted at the woman, “Who said you could come in this constituency where Dr Rowley has been for years?”
The woman lurched as she held her bottle of rum while the announcer shouted abuse as the PNM crowd roared in delight. “What you drinking there, eh? No wonder you always feeling so sick!”
The skit continued with the La Horquetta constituency marchers where once again, a woman dressed in yellow and clutching a bottle of rum staggered alongside the marchers.
“Why is it every time we see a woman in yellow, she always has some kind of bottle or glass in her hand,” the announcer asked. In the three skits, the women in yellow and clutching alcohol were eventually chased away by well dressed men waving balisier flowers — the PNM’s symbol.
Earlier, PNM supporters came in their thousands to take part in the sports day. It was an opportunity to support their various constituencies, their party and their political leader.
As the crowd awaited Rowley’s arrival, a playing calypsonian De Lamo’s ditty, “Take Deh Money and Vote Them Out”
Rowley arrived accompanied by PNM chairman Franklyn Khan, deputy leader Rohan Sinanan, and THA chief secretary and deputy PNM leader Orville London. As Machel Montano’s road march hit ‘Like ah Boss’, blared from music trucks, Rowley hugged and shook hands with supporters.
The sports day saw not only the march past but also tug o’war, all fours card games, children’s games and others as the crowd enjoyed themselves as they awaited the feature address from their leader.
well at least they had a STATUTORY RAPIST ON STAGE!!! (no acting necessary)
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PM, Rowley gap widens
Latest Nigel Henry poll
Published on May 25, 2015, 9:28 am AST
Updated on May 25, 2015, 9:32 am AST
18 CommentsArticle
Share:FacebookTwitter
PM Kamla Persad Bissessar at People's Partnership fifth anniversary rally at Constantine Park and Opposition Leader Dr. Keith Rowley at Nelson Mandela Park during PNM Sports and Family Day Photos: Anisto Alves and Curtis Chase
The Prime Minister's favourability rating has improved to 54% nationally, equal to her job approval rating. Only 36% of voters have an unfavourable opinion of her, and 10% not sure. Dr Rowley's favourability rating trails by 10 percentage points at 44%.
This latest 2015 election tracking poll done on the fifth anniversary of the People's Partnership in government by Nigel Henry's Solution by Simulation also finds that crime remains the number one concern of citizens and confidence in national institutions has risen.
The poll was commissioned by the Trinidad Express Newspapers.
Following is the conclusion:
Read Part One of the Trinidad Express commissioned/ Nigel Henry poll
Favourability of the Party Leaders
The Prime Minister continues to enjoy very high favourability. Her favourability rating has improved to 54% nationally, equal to her job approval rating. With only 36% of voters having an unfavourable opinion of her, and 10% not sure. Dr Rowley's favourability rating trails by 10 percentage points at 44%. With just about as many voters having an unfavourable opinion of him, his net favourability is +2%.
The two leaders are tied in favourability among undecided voters at 45%. The difference comes mainly from PNM supporters. While 93% of People's Partnership supporters have a favourable opinion of their leader, only 82% of PNM supporters have a favourable opinion of Dr Rowley. Similarly, more PNM supporters have a favourable opinion of Mrs Persad-Bissessar than Partnership supporters who have a favourable opinion of Dr Rowley.
The parties are roughly tied in support, while a large and increasing gap exists in favourability between the leaders. Much of this gap is explained by those who have already made up their minds. As the election is drawing closer, voters are making up their minds about the leaders. Two months ago, those who had no opinions about the leaders were at 23% and 17% for Dr Rowley and Mrs Persad-Bissessar, respectively. In this poll they are at 14% and 10%.
Issues of National Concern
The national population remains almost unanimously concerned about crime, with 96% expressing concern. Corruption is a close second at 89%. Voters are also concerned about the economy, unemployment and national infrastructure such as transportation, utilities, and telecommunications systems.
Overall concern about these issues are at roughly the same levels as this time last year, although some voters have moderated from being "very concerned" to "somewhat concerned".
Among undecided voters, 82% are very concerned about corruption, 67% are very concerned about unemployment, and 47% about infrastructure. Even among those who approve of the job that the Prime Minister is doing, 70% are very concerned about corruption, 44% about the economy, 41% about national infrastructure.
This year, we asked voters "How concerned are you about the economic situation following the recent Moody's downgrade of the government bond rating?" This attracted a partisan response, with 72% of PNM supporters being "very concerned", compared to 37% of Partnership supporters and 58% of undecided voters.
Younger voters are more likely to be concerned about unemployment, while voters of all ages express concern about the other issues.
Confidence in our National Institutions
Overall confidence in our national institutions has ticked up from last year, but remains dismally low. Confidence in the Parliament, Judiciary, and healthcare sectors rank among the lowest. Confidence in the Police Service has seen the most dramatic gain, rising from a low of 11% in 2012 to 30% this year. The education system stands out among the institutions with 61% of the population expressing confidence - the only one of the national institutions polled that crossed or even came close to 50%.
Confidence in these institutions follow political and racial lines. On average, Indo-Trinidadians are about 17 percentage points more likely to express confidence in the state institutions (education, health, judicial, police) than Afro-Trinidadians. Confidence in the government itself differs by 46 percentage points along racial lines. On the contrary, Afro-Trinidadians are 11 percentage points more likely to have confidence in the media than Indo-Trinidadians. Confidence in our national institutions among mixed-race voters is at about the national average.
Dynamics of the Election Race
The country continues to be polarised by race. The dip in support for the People's Partnership in the March 2015 poll has returned, and even increased slightly. This comes from a consolidation of political support along ethnic lines. The PNM continues to have a slight edge among the decisive group of mixed-race voters.
Consistent with recent opinion polls, there is also a stark polarisation of the electorate by age. Younger voters prefer the PNM at much higher rates than older voters, while the PP has a clear advantage among older voters.
This election may come down to who turns out to vote. Partnership supporters are 4 percentage points more likely to vote than PNM supporters. This is mostly driven by differences among age groups. While 73% of those over 40 years old say that they are very likely to vote, only 62% of the PNM-leaning 18-24 year old age group plan to vote in 2015.
Methodology
Solution by Simulation interviewed 1,035 adults in Trinidad and Tobago via live telephone calls from May 11th to May 21st. The poll was commissioned by the Express Newspapers. The respondents were sampled from households of registered voters in the 354 polling divisions in Trinidad and 30 polling divisions in Tobago, whose election results best predict the national election results in past elections, and an additional oversample from Chaguanas West. There are a total of 1,547 polling divisions in Trinidad and Tobago. The margin of error is +/- 3%.
The responses were appropriately reweighted to match historical voting patterns. The method is similar to the uniform national swing (UNS) system used in the United Kingdom which compares opinion polling to past election results at the constituency level. The difference is that (1) a non-linear statistical projection is applied, and (2) it is applied at the polling division level.
A technical description of the formula can be found at http://politicalsimulations.com/electio ... ll201505.R
About Solution by Simulation
Solution by Simulation Limited (SBS) is a data analysis firm which uses computer modelling to probe and provide insight into human behaviour. SBS provides market research and data analysis services for a number of commercial, academic, and civil society clients. SBS was founded by Nigel AR Henry, BS (Yale) MA (GWU), following Mr Henry's service as the lead numerical analyst for the Southeast US for Obama for America campaign. SBS debuted in Trinidad and Tobago producing the only published poll to forecast the 12-0 victory of the PNM in the 2013 THA Elections. Over five elections in 2013 and 2014, Solution by Simulation has proven to be consistently accurate in its pre-election polling.
http://www.trinidadexpress.com/20150525 ... gap-widens
UML wrote:
MASSIVE PNM CROWD!!!
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PM, Rowley gap widens
Latest Nigel Henry poll
Published on May 25, 2015, 9:28 am AST
Updated on May 25, 2015, 9:32 am AST
18 CommentsArticle
Share:FacebookTwitter
PM Kamla Persad Bissessar at People's Partnership fifth anniversary rally at Constantine Park and Opposition Leader Dr. Keith Rowley at Nelson Mandela Park during PNM Sports and Family Day Photos: Anisto Alves and Curtis Chase
The Prime Minister's favourability rating has improved to 54% nationally, equal to her job approval rating. Only 36% of voters have an unfavourable opinion of her, and 10% not sure. Dr Rowley's favourability rating trails by 10 percentage points at 44%.
This latest 2015 election tracking poll done on the fifth anniversary of the People's Partnership in government by Nigel Henry's Solution by Simulation also finds that crime remains the number one concern of citizens and confidence in national institutions has risen.
The poll was commissioned by the Trinidad Express Newspapers.
Following is the conclusion:
Read Part One of the Trinidad Express commissioned/ Nigel Henry poll
Favourability of the Party Leaders
The Prime Minister continues to enjoy very high favourability. Her favourability rating has improved to 54% nationally, equal to her job approval rating. With only 36% of voters having an unfavourable opinion of her, and 10% not sure. Dr Rowley's favourability rating trails by 10 percentage points at 44%. With just about as many voters having an unfavourable opinion of him, his net favourability is +2%.
The two leaders are tied in favourability among undecided voters at 45%. The difference comes mainly from PNM supporters. While 93% of People's Partnership supporters have a favourable opinion of their leader, only 82% of PNM supporters have a favourable opinion of Dr Rowley. Similarly, more PNM supporters have a favourable opinion of Mrs Persad-Bissessar than Partnership supporters who have a favourable opinion of Dr Rowley.
The parties are roughly tied in support, while a large and increasing gap exists in favourability between the leaders. Much of this gap is explained by those who have already made up their minds. As the election is drawing closer, voters are making up their minds about the leaders. Two months ago, those who had no opinions about the leaders were at 23% and 17% for Dr Rowley and Mrs Persad-Bissessar, respectively. In this poll they are at 14% and 10%.
Issues of National Concern
The national population remains almost unanimously concerned about crime, with 96% expressing concern. Corruption is a close second at 89%. Voters are also concerned about the economy, unemployment and national infrastructure such as transportation, utilities, and telecommunications systems.
Overall concern about these issues are at roughly the same levels as this time last year, although some voters have moderated from being "very concerned" to "somewhat concerned".
Among undecided voters, 82% are very concerned about corruption, 67% are very concerned about unemployment, and 47% about infrastructure. Even among those who approve of the job that the Prime Minister is doing, 70% are very concerned about corruption, 44% about the economy, 41% about national infrastructure.
This year, we asked voters "How concerned are you about the economic situation following the recent Moody's downgrade of the government bond rating?" This attracted a partisan response, with 72% of PNM supporters being "very concerned", compared to 37% of Partnership supporters and 58% of undecided voters.
Younger voters are more likely to be concerned about unemployment, while voters of all ages express concern about the other issues.
Confidence in our National Institutions
Overall confidence in our national institutions has ticked up from last year, but remains dismally low. Confidence in the Parliament, Judiciary, and healthcare sectors rank among the lowest. Confidence in the Police Service has seen the most dramatic gain, rising from a low of 11% in 2012 to 30% this year. The education system stands out among the institutions with 61% of the population expressing confidence - the only one of the national institutions polled that crossed or even came close to 50%.
Confidence in these institutions follow political and racial lines. On average, Indo-Trinidadians are about 17 percentage points more likely to express confidence in the state institutions (education, health, judicial, police) than Afro-Trinidadians. Confidence in the government itself differs by 46 percentage points along racial lines. On the contrary, Afro-Trinidadians are 11 percentage points more likely to have confidence in the media than Indo-Trinidadians. Confidence in our national institutions among mixed-race voters is at about the national average.
Dynamics of the Election Race
The country continues to be polarised by race. The dip in support for the People's Partnership in the March 2015 poll has returned, and even increased slightly. This comes from a consolidation of political support along ethnic lines. The PNM continues to have a slight edge among the decisive group of mixed-race voters.
Consistent with recent opinion polls, there is also a stark polarisation of the electorate by age. Younger voters prefer the PNM at much higher rates than older voters, while the PP has a clear advantage among older voters.
This election may come down to who turns out to vote. Partnership supporters are 4 percentage points more likely to vote than PNM supporters. This is mostly driven by differences among age groups. While 73% of those over 40 years old say that they are very likely to vote, only 62% of the PNM-leaning 18-24 year old age group plan to vote in 2015.
Methodology
Solution by Simulation interviewed 1,035 adults in Trinidad and Tobago via live telephone calls from May 11th to May 21st. The poll was commissioned by the Express Newspapers. The respondents were sampled from households of registered voters in the 354 polling divisions in Trinidad and 30 polling divisions in Tobago, whose election results best predict the national election results in past elections, and an additional oversample from Chaguanas West. There are a total of 1,547 polling divisions in Trinidad and Tobago. The margin of error is +/- 3%.
The responses were appropriately reweighted to match historical voting patterns. The method is similar to the uniform national swing (UNS) system used in the United Kingdom which compares opinion polling to past election results at the constituency level. The difference is that (1) a non-linear statistical projection is applied, and (2) it is applied at the polling division level.
A technical description of the formula can be found at http://politicalsimulations.com/electio ... ll201505.R
About Solution by Simulation
Solution by Simulation Limited (SBS) is a data analysis firm which uses computer modelling to probe and provide insight into human behaviour. SBS provides market research and data analysis services for a number of commercial, academic, and civil society clients. SBS was founded by Nigel AR Henry, BS (Yale) MA (GWU), following Mr Henry's service as the lead numerical analyst for the Southeast US for Obama for America campaign. SBS debuted in Trinidad and Tobago producing the only published poll to forecast the 12-0 victory of the PNM in the 2013 THA Elections. Over five elections in 2013 and 2014, Solution by Simulation has proven to be consistently accurate in its pre-election polling.
http://www.trinidadexpress.com/20150525 ... gap-widens
As we can see from yesterdays turnout at Constantine Park..............this poll is still inaccurate and its credibility is wavering. I can expect him to get accurate by election day. It will be too late for the Express, Guardian, Rowley, Roget, Martin Daly, Ramesh, Panday, Archbishop Harris, Reginald Dumas, Father Harvey, David aBullah, Dr Winford James, etc. to say or do anything
Country_Bookie wrote:The debt situation of TT should not be viewed thru political lenses. The CLICO collapse of 2009 meant that GOTT had to issue $20Bn in debt to repay their investors. This applies to whichever party was in power, it was not an option as to not issue additional debt would have had catastrophic consequences for our financial system.
Daran wrote:Another I can think of is PPG seems to be more inclined to adopt more first world liberal type legislation such as Banning corporal punishment and other UN Human rights policies.
Daran wrote:Habit7,
Are they still imprisoned? But relevant point none the less.
As for banning corporal punishment, that was certainly not a negative in any sense. I and many others were abused in school, especially in secondary school. So much so that I started faking sick for to miss classes.
I was so glad when that law was passed. I know you prescribe to the biblical view that beating children is ok, but all research shows has many negative repercussions.
Habit7 wrote:So what if they still not in prison? You want to spend a night a jail with no reason other than fitting a profile?
I am sorry you were abused. But regulated corporal punishment and physical abuse are two different things. The environment both teachers and students now have to live in makes them more subject to physical abuse now that cp is gone.
I was in 3rd form in an all boys college when Kamla removed cp, and I can distinguish my high school life before and after that. The very guys who tried their best to be marginal from school where they possibly got the only solid instruction in their life....were now punished with exactly what they wanted, being set home from school
Thanks Kamla.
PariaMan wrote:Fiscal Balance . Positive before 2010 negative after. Clear proof of reckless spending with no increased revenue stream
Daran wrote:Habit7, again it was not just me who was abused it was the entire class.
Secondly no first world country has corporal punishment allowed in schools and your assertion of having a backup plan is a bit odd? For me , the majority of teachers never beat and most controlled the class quite well. Beating or instiling fear is not the way to get kids to behave. Do you have a child?
Also crowds don't win elections, but they do have the effect of swaying the undecided.
Look at UNC in 2007, before their rally everyone count them out and said COP would be the one competing against PNM. That huge mid center rally changed everything and UNC under Panday, got 200k votes.
So crowds, like polls, do have influence.
ABA Trading LTD wrote:You have to admit that they've done more for trinidad than the pnm did.
eliteauto wrote:ABA Trading LTD wrote:You have to admit that they've done more for trinidad than the pnm did.
delusion level 11
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