Ukraine Russia War

[adnj]

Anyway, looks like HIMARs might be useless (or less than ideal) in Ukraine.

That fix didn't seem to take long.

Pentagon to equip JDAM bombs for Ukraine with new seekers

The U.S. Air Force is taking decisive steps to counter the growing threat of Russian GPS jamming, which has severely impacted the effectiveness of Western-supplied GPS-guided munitions, including Joint Direct Attack Munition-Extended Range (JDAM-ER) precision-guided bombs provided to Ukraine.

In response to these challenges, the U.S. Air Force Life Cycle Management Center (AFLCMC) has awarded a contract to Scientific Applications and Research Associates Inc. for the acquisition and integration of add-on seekers designed to enable JDAM-ER bombs to counter GPS jamming. Valued at $23.5 million, this contract underscores the urgent need to enhance the resilience of precision-guided munitions in contested environments.

The addition of these seekers will equip JDAM-ER bombs with the capability to home in on GPS jammers, effectively turning one of the weapons most impacted by this countermeasure into a direct tool to combat it. This innovative approach demonstrates the adaptability and agility of U.S. defense capabilities in response to evolving threats.

https://defence-blog.com/pentagon-to-eq ... w-seekers/

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

Russian plot to kill Volodymyr Zelensky foiled, Kyiv says

The Ukrainian security service (SBU) says it has foiled a Russian plot to assassinate President Volodymyr Zelensky and other high-ranking Ukrainian officials.

Two Ukrainian government protection unit colonels have been arrested.

The SBU said they were part of a network of agents belonging to the Russian state security service (FSB).

Ever since Russian paratroopers attempted to land in Kyiv and assassinate President Zelensky in the early hours and days of the full-scale invasion, plots to assassinate him have been commonplace.

The Ukrainian leader said at the start of the invasion he was Russia's "number one target".

[Dohplaydat]

Russian plot to kill Volodymyr Zelensky foiled, Kyiv says

The Ukrainian security service (SBU) says it has foiled a Russian plot to assassinate President Volodymyr Zelensky and other high-ranking Ukrainian officials.

Two Ukrainian government protection unit colonels have been arrested.

The SBU said they were part of a network of agents belonging to the Russian state security service (FSB).

Ever since Russian paratroopers attempted to land in Kyiv and assassinate President Zelensky in the early hours and days of the full-scale invasion, plots to assassinate him have been commonplace.

The Ukrainian leader said at the start of the invasion he was Russia's "number one target".

I wonder how many plots have been foiled so far, really impressive with by Ukraine and the CIA intelligence.

[Dohplaydat]

Day 2 update for the Russian offensive into Kharkov.

Thus far Russian troops have advanced into Ukraine to a depth of approximately five kilometers over a fifty-kilometer strip of the border northeast of Kharkov, seizing a dozen villages. By way of comparison, this is more tactical success in 48 hours than Ukraine saw in their entire 2023 offensive, achieved with trivial loss to the Russian Army.

Currently Russian troops are attacking south towards Kharkov via Liptsy (marked in purple on the map), with reports that scouts have already penetrated to the town. There's another identifiable attack to seize the town of Volchansk, presumably en route to Velyki Berluki and Kupyansk; Russian troops are reported to have entered the town already.

It's likely we're still looking at shaping operations thus far - the Russians have not yet moved to attack west of Kharkov (marked out on the map) nor have they pushed over the border east of Volchansk. Looking at the map it's apparent that the engaged sector thus far is relatively undeveloped, suggesting the Russian command would like to draw the AFU into battle and fix them in the more open countryside between Kharkov and the Seversky Donets reservoir to the east.

The Russian force engaged thus far is by all reports relatively small and focused on feeling out the Ukrainian defenses. It occurs to me that we could in fact be looking at the Russian equivalent to an Armored Cavalry Regiment in action, probing ahead of what is presumably a corps-sized element uncoiling out of assembly areas in Belgorod Oblast. In any event the Russians seem to be in no hurry to develop the battle too quickly - the big arrows will come when they come. The Russians have an extraordinary level of drone surveillance and "fire control" over the battlefield right now, and Ukrainian forces caught under their gaze will wither quickly.

The Ukrainian command seems to be bizarrely fixated with the battle ongoing at Chasov Yar (an operational sideshow for weeks now) and paralyzed as to how to respond to this attack, although rumors have emerged that they're stripping units out of Kherson to redeploy to Kharkov. Given recent Russian moves to consolidate their control of the Dniper delta and threaten a push back onto the right bank this may be a critical blunder.

We shall have to await further developments as usual.

[sMASH]

Has the spring offensive started yet?

[Dizzy28]

Day 2 update for the Russian offensive into Kharkov.

Thus far Russian troops have advanced into Ukraine to a depth of approximately five kilometers over a fifty-kilometer strip of the border northeast of Kharkov, seizing a dozen villages. By way of comparison, this is more tactical success in 48 hours than Ukraine saw in their entire 2023 offensive, achieved with trivial loss to the Russian Army.

Currently Russian troops are attacking south towards Kharkov via Liptsy (marked in purple on the map), with reports that scouts have already penetrated to the town. There's another identifiable attack to seize the town of Volchansk, presumably en route to Velyki Berluki and Kupyansk; Russian troops are reported to have entered the town already.

It's likely we're still looking at shaping operations thus far - the Russians have not yet moved to attack west of Kharkov (marked out on the map) nor have they pushed over the border east of Volchansk. Looking at the map it's apparent that the engaged sector thus far is relatively undeveloped, suggesting the Russian command would like to draw the AFU into battle and fix them in the more open countryside between Kharkov and the Seversky Donets reservoir to the east.

The Russian force engaged thus far is by all reports relatively small and focused on feeling out the Ukrainian defenses. It occurs to me that we could in fact be looking at the Russian equivalent to an Armored Cavalry Regiment in action, probing ahead of what is presumably a corps-sized element uncoiling out of assembly areas in Belgorod Oblast. In any event the Russians seem to be in no hurry to develop the battle too quickly - the big arrows will come when they come. The Russians have an extraordinary level of drone surveillance and "fire control" over the battlefield right now, and Ukrainian forces caught under their gaze will wither quickly.

The Ukrainian command seems to be bizarrely fixated with the battle ongoing at Chasov Yar (an operational sideshow for weeks now) and paralyzed as to how to respond to this attack, although rumors have emerged that they're stripping units out of Kherson to redeploy to Kharkov. Given recent Russian moves to consolidate their control of the Dniper delta and threaten a push back onto the right bank this may be a critical blunder.

We shall have to await further developments as usual.

Offense is harder than defense.

Sent from my Pixel 7 using TriniTuner mobile app

[sMASH]

Can't let your guard down...

The attachment IMG_20240515_095814.jpg is no longer available

[sMASH]

When taking these positions

[Dizzy28]

When taking these positions IMG_20240515_095747.jpg

But if you are told Palestinian needs to give up territory to Israel to make peace you will become Yasser Arafat
You are essentially Tuner's biggest hypocrite

[sMASH]

When taking these positions IMG_20240515_095747.jpg

But if you are told Palestinian needs to give up territory to Israel to make peace you will become Yasser Arafat
You are essentially Tuner's biggest hypocrite

Israel is an invention of European colonizers imposed on an indigenous population .

Ukraine was a puppet of European imperialism encroaching on its perceived enemy.

Simpletons equate the two scenarios

[Dizzy28]

When taking these positions IMG_20240515_095747.jpg

But if you are told Palestinian needs to give up territory to Israel to make peace you will become Yasser Arafat
You are essentially Tuner's biggest hypocrite

Israel is an invention of European colonizers imposed on an indigenous population .

Ukraine was a puppet of European imperialism encroaching on its perceived enemy.

Simpletons equate the two scenarios

sImPleToNs

The two countries’ shared heritage goes back more than a thousand years to a time when Kyiv, now Ukraine’s capital, was at the center of the first Slavic state, Kyivan Rus, the birthplace of both Ukraine and Russia. In A.D. 988 Volodymyr the Great, the pagan prince of Novgorod and grand prince of Kyiv, accepted the Orthodox Christian faith and was baptized in the Crimean city of Chersonesus. From that moment on, Russian leader Vladimir Putin recently declared, “Russians and Ukrainians are one people, a single whole.
et over the past 10 centuries, Ukraine has repeatedly been carved up by competing powers. Mongol warriors from the east conquered Kyivan Rus in the 13th century. In the 16th century Polish and Lithuanian armies invaded from the west. In the 17th century, war between the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth and the Tsardom of Russia brought lands to the east of the Dnieper River under Russian imperial control. The east became known as "Left Bank" Ukraine; lands to the west of the Dnieper, or "Right Bank," were ruled by Poland.
More than a century later, in 1793, right bank (western) Ukraine was annexed by the Russian Empire. Over the years that followed, a policy known as Russification banned the use and study of the Ukrainian language, and people were pressured to convert to the Russian Orthodox faith.
Ukraine suffered some of its greatest traumas during the 20th century. After the communist revolution of 1917, Ukraine was one of the many countries to fight a brutal civil war before being fully absorbed into the Soviet Union in 1922. In the early 1930s, to force peasants to join collective farms, Soviet leader Joseph Stalin orchestrated a famine that resulted in the starvation and death of millions of Ukrainians. Afterward, Stalin imported large numbers of Russians and other Soviet citizens—many with no ability to speak Ukrainian and with few ties to the region—to help repopulate the east.
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/hist ... vides-them

Ukraine is 378 years younger than Islam but it is older than the Russian Empire
And the only encroaching has been by Russia.

[sMASH]

1000 years my foot. Ukraine is not even 50 years a state.

Ukraine was only a STATE in the modern sense of the term, after the desolution of the ussr.

Before thst the powers in that regions saw portions belonging it differnt powers at different times.
With the precession of the ussr seeing the eastern sections controlled by the now Russian and powers and the western sections by the now polish powers.
Lower sections were controlled by the ottoman empire even.


The ussr consolidated the territory of Ukraine, so as to be an industrial region, so thst the ussr would have various economic centers to spread activity.


The shared history is with the eastern sections.

Hence why putin had warned Poland to not attempt to occupy the western sections of Ukraine under any reason. As those sections were usually polish.

[Dizzy28]

1000 years my foot. Ukraine is not even 50 years a state.

Ukraine was only a STATE in the modern sense of the term, after the desolution of the ussr.

Before thst the powers in that regions saw portions belonging it differnt powers at different times.
With the precession of the ussr seeing the eastern sections controlled by the now Russian and powers and the western sections by the now polish powers.
Lower sections were controlled by the ottoman empire even.

The Ukraine SSR signed the charter that founded the UN in 1945. They were one of the first 51 countries that joined the UN at its inception. They have been on the UNSC several times since 1948

Yunno who has never been a state in any sense though - Palestine.

[sMASH]

1000 years my foot. Ukraine is not even 50 years a state.

Ukraine was only a STATE in the modern sense of the term, after the desolution of the ussr.

Before thst the powers in that regions saw portions belonging it differnt powers at different times.
With the precession of the ussr seeing the eastern sections controlled by the now Russian and powers and the western sections by the now polish powers.
Lower sections were controlled by the ottoman empire even.

The Ukraine SSR signed the charter that founded the UN in 1945. They were one of the first 51 countries that joined the UN at its inception. They have been on the UNSC several times since 1948

Yunno who has never been a state in any sense though - Palestine.

Falestini In sha allah...

Wrt Ukraine being a "state". Befure the USSR, the UkSSR was as much a state as an American state is a state.

[Dohplaydat]

Looks like European leaders are seeing the inevitable loss for Ukraine. So many freaking lives lost for what? This should have happened in march 2022

[sMASH]

Blinken went to reaffirm support.
But that might be fiction.
To funnel money to weapons cause Russia , then send it to Taiwan.



Bloggers saying that Russians blowing through Ukraine villages and towns with little resistance.
Meaning that the fortifications that elenski said he spent the money on, isn't there.


Everything is gojng great until it's not and the end will be as swift as the American pull out of Afghanistan.

[maj. tom]

This whole incident feels to me like the Italian job in Ethiopia in 1936.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Italo-Ethiopian_War
Which was all just a prelude to WW2. It was all just another war of colonial grabbing and the League of Nations watched with the 1930s Appeasement attitude. And it was fine for the world powers of the time. It was completely acceptable and fine until 1st September 1939 when Germany crossed into Poland. In the 4 years before those countries (and Japan) were waging minor territorial or proxy wars while building up their forces gradually until they tipped the World Powers balance.

And I just have a bad feeling that's exactly how the next one will start. Cross that Poland border one day and NATO activates unconditionally.

Who ever watched the UK film Threads from 1984? Such fears can be real in our lifetime.

[sMASH]

Japan either joined nato or is in talks to join nato.
Us is chaining up Philippines, Australia increasing arms as part of aukus.
China incrssed deals with Iran, North Korea, yemen, and inside Africa. India just spoke to Iran which is surprising.
Saudi Arabia is leveraging the Palestinian situation to get more weapons from us, as turkiye did.

Hungary came here to look for energy deals Egypt came to talk about Palestinians, butore about global support for the future




The pieces are being set up....

[adnj]

Looks like European leaders are seeing the inevitable loss for Ukraine. So many freaking lives lost for what? This should have happened in march 2022

Since after more than two years, you continue to espouse ignorance as to the "why it happened", here's another primer to help you to get up to speed.

By the way, most of the lives lost are/were Russian soldiers.

---------------

“We know that Putin views the collapse of the Soviet Union as a disaster,” Bowman says. “We know he resents the success of NATO. We know that he genuinely reviles the expansion of NATO eastward. We know that he has an eye on history, he's getting older, he is mindful of how he's going to look in history books and he sees himself as kind of a neo-czar who would like to reconstitute as much of the Soviet Union as possible.”

Ukraine, in particular, is a “critical element” of this ambition, Bowman adds. Putin has a history of invading and occupying countries that approach NATO membership. Russian armies invaded the former Soviet state of Georgia in 2008 as that country was pursuing membership in the alliance. They briefly pressured the capital Tbilisi before withdrawing to separatist regions they still occupy today. The 2014 Crimea annexation is another example, Bowman notes, and Putin said on Feb. 22, 2022, that he wants the world to recognize that territory as rightfully Russian. He rationalized in a 2021 essay that a common history and culture – which Ukrainians dispute – entitled Russia to exert its influence there.

“I think Ukraine has always been a sore spot for Vladimir Putin,” Pomeranz says. “He does not recognize its independence and its right to be a country, as he noted in his long article on Ukraine, where he said that, basically, Ukraine and Russia are one people in one country. There is this long-felt resentment about Ukrainian independence and the fact that the Soviet Union just let Ukraine go away, as it were. So I think he wants to end that independence.”

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-countr ... de-ukraine

[Dohplaydat]

This whole incident feels to me like the Italian job in Ethiopia in 1936.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Italo-Ethiopian_War
Which was all just a prelude to WW2. It was all just another war of colonial grabbing and the League of Nations watched with the 1930s Appeasement attitude. And it was fine for the world powers of the time. It was completely acceptable and fine until 1st September 1939 when Germany crossed into Poland. In the 4 years before those countries (and Japan) were waging minor territorial or proxy wars while building up their forces gradually until they tipped the World Powers balance.

And I just have a bad feeling that's exactly how the next one will start. Cross that Poland border one day and NATO activates unconditionally.

Who ever watched the UK film Threads from 1984? Such fears can be real in our lifetime.

I don't think Russia is stupid enough to attack NATO, say least not yet.

[maj. tom]

No it wouldn't happen as the way it is right now.

Plenty more things will have to happen in the world to upset the scale of power, but I'm saying that this is just another one of those skirmishes that preludes a big war. The rest of the world can only watch and make empty lies and promises with a Phoney War declaration. Just like Poland 1939. The real war only started 10 May 1940.

[Dohplaydat]

No it wouldn't happen as the way it is right now.

Plenty more things will have to happen in the world to upset the scale of power, but I'm saying that this is just another one of those skirmishes that preludes a big war. The rest of the world can only watch and make empty lies and promises with a Phoney War declaration. Just like Poland 1939. The real war only started 10 May 1940.

It's quite possible, but Russia only attacks NATO if China invades taiwan and maybe Iran attacks Israel or something happening in the ME.

Europe and NATO have already shown how they've struggled to come together in a meaningful way to stop Russia in Ukraine.

So the pieces are falling into place for them. But again, who knows......war is unpredictable and China and Russia haven't been fully tested or pushed yet.

[Dizzy28]

People really believe a 17million km2 country just happened to exist but everybody else around them are fake.

Anyhows throwback to when the Russians last seized Crimea

Sent from my Pixel 7 using TriniTuner mobile app

[maj. tom]

US says Russia likely launched anti-satellite weapon

The US says Russia launched a satellite last week which it believes may be capable of attacking other such probes.

"Russia launched a satellite into low Earth orbit that we assess is likely a counter space weapon," said Pentagon spokesman Brig Gen Pat Ryder on Tuesday evening.

It was on the "same orbit" as a US government satellite, he said, adding that Washington would continue to monitor the situation and had to be ready to protect its interests.

Russia has not publicly commented on the issue.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cq55ww5j7e2o

[Dohplaydat]

Russia has already won this war, I dono why Ukraine wasting time and lives, just negotiate and give them the Donbass

[Dizzy28]

Russia has already won this war, I dono why Ukraine wasting time and lives, just negotiate and give them the Donbass

Russia is losing a thousand troops a day in this current offensive of thiers.
Why wouldn't Ukraine let them continue to take such losses?
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-suffers ... ed-1899692

Two days ago another Black Sea fleet missile carrier was taken out, supposedly the last one. Things may not be going Ukraine's way but Russia is certainly having a hard and expensive time as well.
https://armyrecognition.com/news/navy-n ... s-missiles

[Dohplaydat]

Russia has already won this war, I dono why Ukraine wasting time and lives, just negotiate and give them the Donbass

Russia is losing a thousand troops a day in this current offensive of thiers.
Why wouldn't Ukraine let them continue to take such losses?
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-suffers ... ed-1899692

Two days ago another Black Sea fleet missile carrier was taken out, supposedly the last one. Things may not be going Ukraine's way but Russia is certainly having a hard and expensive time as well.
https://armyrecognition.com/news/navy-n ... s-missiles

Does it matter? Russia has far more troops available for this war than Ukraine has, they can easily sustain these losses if the lead to more gains. Ukraine is struggling right now and there are plenty internal rifts erupting and corruption being exposed.

Many of them are beginning to feel abandoned by the west as Russia out supplies them easily.

It's not going to end well for Ukraine.

[sMASH]

Russia has already won this war, I dono why Ukraine wasting time and lives, just negotiate and give them the Donbass

Russia is losing a thousand troops a day in this current offensive of thiers.
Why wouldn't Ukraine let them continue to take such losses?
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-suffers ... ed-1899692

Two days ago another Black Sea fleet missile carrier was taken out, supposedly the last one. Things may not be going Ukraine's way but Russia is certainly having a hard and expensive time as well.
https://armyrecognition.com/news/navy-n ... s-missiles

Ukraine is losing up to a thousand troops a day. Russia gets a 1000 recruits a month.
They are sending in more troops to the establish a clear line.

They are setting up a proper staging area before they progress to the larger assault.


Think of this as the boa constricter tightening the last signs of life to make sure there is little movement before it starts to devour.


The collective west kinda hoping it happens sooner, so it can have an easier explanation as to why it would re route the arms to Taipei instead. Sending weapons to Ukraine now is wasting economy uselessly

[sMASH]

Very few Ukraine soldiers to use it.
Will the French step in to fill the void?

[Dohplaydat]

Too little too late to make any real difference