The official tropical weather thread 2020

[cornfused]

For those who postulate that the sun causes earthquakes please let us know how this occurs

[aaron17]

Tropics are hot all the time ....so that range suppose to get level quake?

[cornfused]

Also explain how very few earthquakes occur in Africa as compared to South and Central America. China and Japan have many earthquakes.

[matix]

For those who postulate that the sun causes earthquakes please let us know how this occurs

So what happens is that said people, they stand in the sun for a bit too long and their brain overheats. Causing thoughts like that to flow. I’m out in the sun today too. So it’s happening to me as well

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

Atlantic is pretty busy

[shake d livin wake d dead]

Colourful^

They did say above normal season. Lets see how the season ends

[shake d livin wake d dead]

Swing north early?

[Dizzy28]

Atlantic is pretty busy

6297f856-545c-48cd-a828-2477df60b2e6.jpg

Cape Verde Hurricanes have been a bit scarce this season thus far.

[Gladiator]

For those who postulate that the sun causes earthquakes please let us know how this occurs

So what happens is that said people, they stand in the sun for a bit too long and their brain overheats. Causing thoughts like that to flow. I’m out in the sun today too. So it’s happening to me as well

Was never a believer of the sun+earthquake relationship, this topic had me wondering .... and I found this research... interesting...

https://www.researchgate.net/publicatio ... arthquakes

[shake d livin wake d dead]

TS Paulette is out there with another 1 set to follow her

[shake d livin wake d dead]

Something to watch?

[Dizzy28]

^ The forecasted tracks for now doesn't seem to indicate any landfalls for either system
Those hurricane chasers in the US also don't seem to enthused by either system and their potentials

[shake d livin wake d dead]

Wasnt referring to either of the TS. There is an area with a 70% chance of further development, hence the cone coming towards the caribbean and may be scratching us

[Musical Doc]

Yesterday the heat buildup inside my house was so intense even with the windows open. The ac barely was able to cool it down even after an hour and up to this morning going out into the living room it was still hot. I didn't realise it was that hot yesterday an today looks like another hot one

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

Yesterday the heat buildup inside my house was so intense even with the windows open. The ac barely was able to cool it down even after an hour and up to this morning going out into the living room it was still hot. I didn't realise it was that hot yesterday an today looks like another hot one

It’s 10:30am and already the Feels Like temp is 38°C

[Dizzy28]

Wasnt referring to either of the TS. There is an area with a 70% chance of further development, hence the cone coming towards the caribbean and may be scratching us

When I went on NHC just after reading your post the area with the 70% chance wasn't there.
Maybe a lag

[Rovin]

like is another scorcher today , feels like a 34 possibly 35 ...

[maj. tom]

Hot weather in the jungle for Predator to hunt.
"El Demonio. Cazador de trofeos."

[shake d livin wake d dead]

Wasnt referring to either of the TS. There is an area with a 70% chance of further development, hence the cone coming towards the caribbean and may be scratching us

When I went on NHC just after reading your post the area with the 70% chance wasn't there.
Maybe a lag

Look at the 5 day outlook...its not showing up in the 2 day forecast

[Syberfraggle]

So..hot sun with rain...met office covering all angles...



Heat in the place: Hot spells forecast for September-November

If it seems hotter than usual this month, it's not your imagination.

The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service is warning of hot spells and maximum temperatures in its Temperature Outlook for September-November, 2020.

The Met Office forecast a greater than 70 per cent chance of maximum day and night minimum temperatures along with the chance of short duration hot-spells for September and early October.

Hot spells indicate days where the maximum temperature will exceed 33.9 degrees Celsius in Trinidad and 32 degrees Celsius in Tobago. The Met Office said September and October days and nights are forecast to be the warmest during the period.

Urban areas are due to suffer even more as the Met Office warned that concerns for the number of hot days and nights are even higher in cities and urban areas:

‘Usually, September is the hottest month of the wet season and the peak of the local heat season. September 2020 is likely to be just as hot with warmer than average maximum temperatures, especially in the cities and urban-areas.’

The Met Office said some of the population may feel uncomfortable as a result of these high temperatures and high humidity:

'Higher than usual and extreme temperatures can lead to relatively excessive heat during the peak of the local heat season, which can amplify existing health conditions in vulnerable persons and worsen chronic health conditions in others.'

Additionally, the Met Office said there is likely to be a Petite Careme this year, bringing even more dry, hot conditions from mid-September to mid-October.

Average rainfall, four wet spells forecast for September-November 2020

Meanwhile, the Met Office has forecast near-normal rainfall totals in most areas for the period, however it has warned of at least four wet spells.

The Met Office said there is a chance of higher than normal wet days during this period.

As a result, there is still a potential for flash and riverine flooding.

‘Much above-normal rainfall during August would have soaked soils and increased river levels. As such, riverine flood potential increases while flash flooding concerns remain elevated during the forecast period, particularly for flood-prone areas and within watersheds with narrow valleys and steep hill-sides.’

There is also an increased risk for landslides and landslips as a result of these rainfall events.

As a result the public is urged to closely monitor the weather forecasts and strengthen coordination with disaster management units in their municipalities.

The public should also prepare contingency plans for adverse weather events, including high wind events, and people living in flood risk areas should continue or maintain their flood planning and preparedness efforts.

Looking at 2021, the Met Office said December 2020 to February 2021 is likely to be wetter than usual with a greater than 40 per cent chance in most areas across both islands for accumulated rainfall totals to be in the above normal category.

[pugboy]

oppressive heat today

[bluefete]

Good article. When I was a child, the old people always used to talk about this and they were not scientists.

For those who postulate that the sun causes earthquakes please let us know how this occurs

So what happens is that said people, they stand in the sun for a bit too long and their brain overheats. Causing thoughts like that to flow. I’m out in the sun today too. So it’s happening to me as well

Was never a believer of the sun+earthquake relationship, this topic had me wondering .... and I found this research... interesting...

https://www.researchgate.net/publicatio ... arthquakes

[Les Bain]

Piarco.
The unbearable heat of the morning period has given way to dark skies and humidity. Rain just started. Let's see what it brings.

[bluefete]

Orographic rain.

[maj. tom]

I not sure if allyuh actually read the paper. A few pages back I also showed that there is no evidence of such a claim.
Before you go on, consider some common sense please: weather is a local event. How hot it is depends on the local climate. Antarctica is frozen and still has earthquakes all the time. Earthquakes don't happen in winter months in either hemispheres? Japan and Serbia doesn't have earthquakes? Alaska? According to this logic, only in summer right? Did any of you happen to put a single thought into this idea before posting it here?

The paper literally says "Finally, earthquakes do not follow cycles as solar cycles because it depends from the Earth’s structure and in fact, it happens in a sequence determined by the plate and the geological feature of each of them. It is difficult to find out a direct connection Solar Maxima and ground since earthquakes perhaps happening in clusters or related to each other."

Some conclusions are totally erroneous as well such as "There was a clear decrease in earthquakes for the two grand solar minima examined and an increase in the number of earthquakes for the last half of the 20th century. "

First they didn't do a proper statistical analysis, which was done later by other researchers who concluded that there was no relation between the Solar Maxima and earthquakes. They did a comprehensive statistical analysis of all the data and still no relation was found: Geophysical Research Letters: Insignificant solar‐terrestrial triggering of earthquakes.

Second, the "increase" in earthquakes in the last half of the 20th century is due to humans developing technology to accurately and sensitively detect global earthquakes. Much like how now we can detect all hurricanes with satellites, but in 1950s you could only do so by land radar when they got close to shore or by flying an airplane inside the hurricane. They missed all those storms they couldn't detect in the middle of the Atlantic.

The USGS and astronomers have been studying this for decades using much data from solar satellites and the seismic data from equipment all over the globe, and still came to the same conclusion: No link between solar activity and earthquakes

https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/do-solar-flares-or-magnetic-storms-space-weather-cause-earthquakes?qt-news_science_products=0#qt-news_science_products


And lastly, I just can't believe that people always try to make sense out of some nonsense that particular people always post on the forums. If he wrote here that the earth was flat some of you would jump out and agree and say "i remember old people used to say that." Same dotishness with the full moon and rain which i painstakingly delineated with an entire essay with many research links, actually read the entire research papers and discussed them at length, and then showed by posting during every full moon for the rest of the year on observations. But yet science cannot prevail in a population that is supposed to be smarter than the last generation.

[hindian]

Real effing rain in Piarco atm

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

thunder rolling constantly in Chaguanas,
Skies are dark on the east west corridor

[Musical Doc]

Thunder rumbling in sando

[Dizzy28]

Tunapuna - raining between light to heavy intensity for the past 40mins.
Lots of Thunder

[shake d livin wake d dead]

Total opposite on my side