Moderator: 3ne2nr Mods
Redman wrote:Read the Poten doc and the Farrel doc.
Form your own opinions.
Nothing is happening in isolation.
And again...LNG supply is not dictated by NGC.
So shutting down LNG does not garantee increasing supply to PTL
The goal is optimization.
Redman wrote:Read the Poten doc and the Farrel doc.
Form your own opinions.
Nothing is happening in isolation.
And again...LNG supply is not dictated by NGC.
So shutting down LNG does not garantee increasing supply to PTL
The goal is optimization.
Redman wrote:BP and She'll have been directing gas to LNG because they benefit from majority ownership in all 4 trains....since inception
It's been happening back to 2010, curtailments were weighted towards PTL and the train 1, leaving BP/Shell interest operating.
They have little exposure to PTL shut downs...due to the supply agreements.
The whole environment has changed.
pugboy wrote:a ngc fella once told me there was talk of aggregating the lower pressure producing gas wells and running a compressor to squeeze the output from them as once a well which is connected to the supply network starts to decline it becomes a balancing problem with the differential to other wells.
has this ever been done ?
De Dragon wrote:Redman wrote:BP and She'll have been directing gas to LNG because they benefit from majority ownership in all 4 trains....since inception
It's been happening back to 2010, curtailments were weighted towards PTL and the train 1, leaving BP/Shell interest operating.
They have little exposure to PTL shut downs...due to the supply agreements.
The whole environment has changed.
That was widely known,but JUHN Scarfy and Goebbels Young had a chance to do something about that when they engaged in their masterful negotiations whereby they agreed to the increased price for gas demanded by the upstreamers.
Redman wrote:De Dragon wrote:Redman wrote:BP and She'll have been directing gas to LNG because they benefit from majority ownership in all 4 trains....since inception
It's been happening back to 2010, curtailments were weighted towards PTL and the train 1, leaving BP/Shell interest operating.
They have little exposure to PTL shut downs...due to the supply agreements.
The whole environment has changed.
That was widely known,but JUHN Scarfy and Goebbels Young had a chance to do something about that when they engaged in their masterful negotiations whereby they agreed to the increased price for gas demanded by the upstreamers.
Breakdown the consequences of not agreeing...
.
The plant shut downs are results of the user of gas not agreeing to the cost from suppliers.
So you've actually successfully won your argument... against yourself.
De Dragon wrote:pugboy wrote:a ngc fella once told me there was talk of aggregating the lower pressure producing gas wells and running a compressor to squeeze the output from them as once a well which is connected to the supply network starts to decline it becomes a balancing problem with the differential to other wells.
has this ever been done ?
Not sure, but the issue you describe is one of the reasons NGC gives as why curtailments are requested.
If there is extra/spare compression capacity it is possible
De Dragon wrote:Redman wrote:De Dragon wrote:Redman wrote:BP and She'll have been directing gas to LNG because they benefit from majority ownership in all 4 trains....since inception
It's been happening back to 2010, curtailments were weighted towards PTL and the train 1, leaving BP/Shell interest operating.
They have little exposure to PTL shut downs...due to the supply agreements.
The whole environment has changed.
That was widely known,but JUHN Scarfy and Goebbels Young had a chance to do something about that when they engaged in their masterful negotiations whereby they agreed to the increased price for gas demanded by the upstreamers.
Breakdown the consequences of not agreeing...
.
The plant shut downs are results of the user of gas not agreeing to the cost from suppliers.
So you've actually successfully won your argument... against yourself.
Agreeing to pay more must be mutually beneficial to ALL. Does that look like it is happening here?
JUHN and Goebbels agreed to a price, and terms that severely hurt an already hurting energy sector.
Instead of (as usual) capitulating without any additional benefit like supply minimums, gas for Train 1, Atlas, what did we "get" out of the negotiations besides higher, noncompetitive gas prices?
De Dragon wrote:Redman wrote:De Dragon wrote:Redman wrote:BP and She'll have been directing gas to LNG because they benefit from majority ownership in all 4 trains....since inception
It's been happening back to 2010, curtailments were weighted towards PTL and the train 1, leaving BP/Shell interest operating.
They have little exposure to PTL shut downs...due to the supply agreements.
The whole environment has changed.
That was widely known,but JUHN Scarfy and Goebbels Young had a chance to do something about that when they engaged in their masterful negotiations whereby they agreed to the increased price for gas demanded by the upstreamers.
Breakdown the consequences of not agreeing...
.
The plant shut downs are results of the user of gas not agreeing to the cost from suppliers.
So you've actually successfully won your argument... against yourself.
Agreeing to pay more must be mutually beneficial to ALL. Does that look like it is happening here?
JUHN and Goebbels agreed to a price, and terms that severely hurt an already hurting energy sector.
Instead of (as usual) capitulating without any additional benefit like supply minimums, gas for Train 1, Atlas, what did we "get" out of the negotiations besides higher, noncompetitive gas prices?
Redman wrote:De Dragon wrote:Redman wrote:De Dragon wrote:Redman wrote:BP and She'll have been directing gas to LNG because they benefit from majority ownership in all 4 trains....since inception
It's been happening back to 2010, curtailments were weighted towards PTL and the train 1, leaving BP/Shell interest operating.
They have little exposure to PTL shut downs...due to the supply agreements.
The whole environment has changed.
That was widely known,but JUHN Scarfy and Goebbels Young had a chance to do something about that when they engaged in their masterful negotiations whereby they agreed to the increased price for gas demanded by the upstreamers.
Breakdown the consequences of not agreeing...
.
The plant shut downs are results of the user of gas not agreeing to the cost from suppliers.
So you've actually successfully won your argument... against yourself.
Agreeing to pay more must be mutually beneficial to ALL. Does that look like it is happening here?
JUHN and Goebbels agreed to a price, and terms that severely hurt an already hurting energy sector.
Instead of (as usual) capitulating without any additional benefit like supply minimums, gas for Train 1, Atlas, what did we "get" out of the negotiations besides higher, noncompetitive gas prices?
All the documentation and articles that detail what Poten et al recommended, have been posted online years ago.
The results of the negotiation s have been posted here and in the press years ago.
If you are not aware....it's pointless telling you again.
Breakdown what would have happened if the GORTT ignored the situation and did not come to terms with BP and Shell.
Numb3r4 wrote:In light of what folks are saying that the larger corporations seem to have the advantage, with that in mind was there a path for the government to come out with better terms or given the market conditions this was inevitable?
Numb3r4 wrote:In light of what folks are saying that the larger corporations seem to have the advantage, with that in mind was there a path for the government to come out with better terms or given the market conditions this was inevitable?
De Dragon wrote:Numb3r4 wrote:In light of what folks are saying that the larger corporations seem to have the advantage, with that in mind was there a path for the government to come out with better terms or given the market conditions this was inevitable?
The LFDRFD PNM chose BP and Shell over NGC and Pt. Lisas. Yet, the LFDRFD PNM 2NR crew talking about "optimize" and "Poten Report" like the LFDRFD PNM knows about following recommendations from a report. remember the not one, but two multi-million dollar reports that recommended restructuring the refinery to make it profitable? What happened after?
Redman wrote:De Dragon wrote:Numb3r4 wrote:In light of what folks are saying that the larger corporations seem to have the advantage, with that in mind was there a path for the government to come out with better terms or given the market conditions this was inevitable?
The LFDRFD PNM chose BP and Shell over NGC and Pt. Lisas. Yet, the LFDRFD PNM 2NR crew talking about "optimize" and "Poten Report" like the LFDRFD PNM knows about following recommendations from a report. remember the not one, but two multi-million dollar reports that recommended restructuring the refinery to make it profitable? What happened after?
At least we read....you should try it....you just post bile....
yet another link showing the full picture of the negotiations that were necessary and that you as per normal, say did nothing.
https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news/1914 ... lantic-lng
Trinidad and Tobago agreed with BP and Shell to discuss restructuring Atlantic LNG to try to forestall the shutdown of Train 1, which represents 20pc of capacity.
BP and Shell are the Caribbean country's leading natural gas producers and top shareholders in the 14.8mn t/yr Atlantic liquefaction facility in southwestern Trinidad. The pioneering complex, which was first established in 1999, has been hamstrung by limited domestic feedstock in recent years. And a Shell-led plan to supplement domestic supply with pipeline gas imports from Venezuela starting this year fell apart amid turmoil in the neighboring country.
The decision to restructure Atlantic was reached last week in meetings in the Netherlands and the UK between the Caribbean state's prime minster Keith Rowley and executives of the two companies.
Trinidad and BP have "scheduled the continuation of negotiations … which are expected to begin in the middle of June in furtherance of specific objectives relating to the restructuring of Atlantic, acceleration of field investigation, exploration, production as well as discussions surrounding a large number of exploration and production licenses," the government and BP said.
Rowley formally signed agreements that were first reached with BP and Shell in December 2018 to increase the state's income from Atlantic's 3mn t/yr Train 1, and to extend the life of the train by five years to 2024. Train 1 began operating in 1999. "This agreement features an enhanced revenue package for the sale of LNG," the government said. Shell has not commented on this agreement.
BP said on 11 May it may close Train 1 after 2019 because of a shortage of feedstock. The UK major said its infill drilling program targeted at the train would deliver about 300mn cf/d less output than forecast.
The other three trains of the Atlantic facility will not be affected by the gas deficit, BP said at the time.
The agreement with Shell includes the extension of production-sharing contracts for several blocks operated by the company, "and which could deliver a further 300mn cf/d to help meet the shortfall from BP's infill drilling projects," the energy ministry said.
"These agreements are intended to bring some stability to the country's LNG production, given the uncertainty created by the looming shortfall in natural gas from the BP production units targeted to supply Train 1," the ministry said. The restructuring "will aim at organizing a more flexible system of gas delivery to all four trains to cover any shortfall from any source, and to allow supply arrangement to overcome the differing shareholder structures of each train."
The different ownership structure of each of the four trains has complicated feedstock allocation since Trinidad's gas production started falling around 2010. In the case of Train 1, Shell owns 46pc and BP 34pc. Trinidad's state-owned gas company NGC and China's sovereign wealth fund CIC unit Summer Soca hold 10pc apiece.
BP said it remains committed to expanding its operations in Trinidad, upstream chief executive Bernard Looney said after meeting Rowley.
"We have been the largest investor in the country's upstream sector – investing over $6bn in the last five years," he said. "In the past two years we've started up three new major upstream projects in Trinidad and recently approved the development of another two."
Trinidad's gas production has been recovering since November 2017 following a long slide from a peak of 4.3 Bcf/d in 2010, and which suppressed output of LNG, ammonia and methanol.
Gas output in February 2019 averaged 3.956 Bcf/d, up by 8.6pc from January. Production in January-February averaged 3.798 Bcf/d, 0.7pc more than a year earlier.
The increased availability of gas led the Atlantic consortium to produce 4.96mn m³ of LNG in January-February 2019, up 2pc on a year earlier, according to the energy ministry.
Redman wrote:You're speculating, in as you've confirmed total ignorance of the details.
As usual.
Redman wrote:Really....?
Funny non of the commercial terms were disclosed.
Yet you've rendered a blanket judgement on a yet to be completed series of negotiation s.
Surprisingly you had the same opinion when you thought that the only way GORTT is compensated from LNG is shareholding.
Blather on.
Redman wrote:Nice to see that you started reading..but you need to do more.
The real issue is the transfer pricing and the rules that enable BP and Shell to avoid sharing revenue based on related parties sales etc.
This is you below.
Also splits are still going to be based on shareholdings, so a unitary position would only get us the gas to run Train 1, [b]not "increase our take" The GORTT of T&T has historically placed us in the bottom feeder positions of any industries that have come here.[/b]
De Dragon wrote:Redman wrote:Nice to see that you started reading..but you need to do more.
The real issue is the transfer pricing and the rules that enable BP and Shell to avoid sharing revenue based on related parties sales etc.
This is you below.
Also splits are still going to be based on shareholdings, so a unitary position would only get us the gas to run Train 1, [b]not "increase our take" The GORTT of T&T has historically placed us in the bottom feeder positions of any industries that have come here.[/b]
Our shareholding is not going to get us more revenue/increase our take if there is:
1) No gas for Train 1, yet to be addressed
2) Train 1 runs at lower capacity, which is also yet to be addressed.
3) A $300M albatross of a fully funded TAR around our necks.
Keep trying though, the deeper you go, the more amused I get, especially when you're trying to be condescending but talking stuff that belongs in a septic tank.
Redman wrote:De Dragon wrote:Redman wrote:Nice to see that you started reading..but you need to do more.
The real issue is the transfer pricing and the rules that enable BP and Shell to avoid sharing revenue based on related parties sales etc.
This is you below.
Also splits are still going to be based on shareholdings, so a unitary position would only get us the gas to run Train 1, [b]not "increase our take" The GORTT of T&T has historically placed us in the bottom feeder positions of any industries that have come here.[/b]
Our shareholding is not going to get us more revenue/increase our take if there is:
1) No gas for Train 1, yet to be addressed
2) Train 1 runs at lower capacity, which is also yet to be addressed.
3) A $300M albatross of a fully funded TAR around our necks.
Keep trying though, the deeper you go, the more amused I get, especially when you're trying to be condescending but talking stuff that belongs in a septic tank.
You asked.me to show you where you made the stupid shareholding point...I did...yuh still vex.
I see you move the goalposts on that one.Normel.
Articles and Poten and Farrel detail why and how thing are and a structured way forward....that the GORTT seems to be following...you eh studying that, PNM don't follow reports....like the WFO you gloss over the summary without going any further.
Trains 2,3 and 4 come off contract in the next few years starting next year...all of the commercial structures being renegotiated....you still sure that it wrong.
But having train 1 run up and running while the others come off and gas frees up for renegotiation certainly is still a bad thing in your mind having already decided the TAR should wait until you ready.
You have zero knowledge about the return of the 300M...what it brings us back in return for making the commitment..yet it's an albatross....theonly certainty here is that you remain ignorant of the details to make a real judgement on the prudence and benefits of the 300M.
The simple fact that BP and Shell stated recently that gas supplies will improve 2022 ish means that things can and probably will improve gas wise...
All of this has to be taken in the context of an entire restructuring of the way TnT monetizes it's NG resources..is there risk?...of course...but that's the nature of it.We feeling the hurt from previous admins doing nothing.
BP/Shell have committed to this process...the GORTT is involved since 2015.....unlike your party who just saw money and spent it despite having knowledge of the issues.
And you still blathering.
Return to “Ole talk and more Ole talk”
Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot], Google [Bot] and 73 guests