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.::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

this is how we do it.......

Moderator: 3ne2nr Mods

Which major party will you be voting for in G.E. 2015?

Poll ended at April 9th, 2014, 7:52 pm

People's National Movement
100
26%
People's Partnership
205
53%
Independent Liberal Party
7
2%
Neither/Abstain
76
20%
 
Total votes: 388

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby rfari » September 17th, 2014, 7:17 am

Same ting I saying. Dem eh wha poor ppl prosper at all. Dem wha we be eating dirt raichu raichu jed. Like we is nuh ppl

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby EFFECTIC DESIGNS » September 17th, 2014, 7:18 am

A number of highly educated people in society has pointed out many times that if not for Kamla the UTT would have remained an institution designed by the PNM to discredit UWI students so they can give out degrees to people who don't believe in things like studying and doing homework etc.

And in fact there are still programs that they offer which is exactly like this as we speak.

It is only thanks to Kamla that many of the issues of UTT has been fixed, such as firing half of the PNM people who were associated with UTT. I remember a caller on the radio a time addressing this he was pointing out that the PNM was actually trying to prevent accreditation of the UTT.

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby rfari » September 17th, 2014, 7:21 am

EFFECTIC DESIGNS wrote:I said it many times if not for Kamla the UTT would have remained an institution designed by the PNM to discredit UWI students so they can give out degrees to people who don't believe in things like studying and doing homework etc.

And in fact there are still programs that they offer which is exactly like this as we speak.

It is only thanks to Kamla that many of the issues of UTT has been fixed, such as firing half of the PNM people who were associated with UTT. I remember a caller on the radio a time addressing this he was pointing out that the PNM was actually trying to prevent accreditation of the UTT.


Questions.
When were the accreditation applications submitted for the engineering programmes?
Typically, how long does accreditation of a tertiary level programme take?

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby zoom rader » September 17th, 2014, 7:34 am

EFFECTIC DESIGNS wrote:A number of highly educated people in society has pointed out many times that if not for Kamla the UTT would have remained an institution designed by the PNM to discredit UWI students so they can give out degrees to people who don't believe in things like studying and doing homework etc.

And in fact there are still programs that they offer which is exactly like this as we speak.

It is only thanks to Kamla that many of the issues of UTT has been fixed, such as firing half of the PNM people who were associated with UTT. I remember a caller on the radio a time addressing this he was pointing out that the PNM was actually trying to prevent accreditation of the UTT.


Since 1962 PNM has filled the public service and armed forces with PNM ppl we have all seen what damage that has done to present day Trini. One only has to think what the damage would have been if UTT was allowed to continue under PNM in years to come.

PNM notion of education is Cepep

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby pioneer » September 17th, 2014, 7:59 am

Can we list some WOFT degrees these people go to do?

I saw one state on a CV he has a B.S.c in DJ Business

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby Crackpot » September 17th, 2014, 8:59 am

pioneer wrote:Can we list some WOFT degrees these people go to do?

I saw one state on a CV he has a B.S.c in DJ Business


And you clearly have a Masters in Trolling :|

But all this " I hear this and I see that" nonsense is rum-talk.

Check the false cv's of some of the ppl in this gov't first before allyuh pelt stone

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby toyolink » September 17th, 2014, 9:03 am

pioneer wrote:Can we list some WOFT degrees these people go to do?

I saw one state on a CV he has a B.S.c in DJ Business

First thing I happened upon this morning.
Pios, remains a one of a kind tuner.

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby pete » September 17th, 2014, 9:24 am

Allyuh really doubting him? He's the one who takes out the HR Manager's trash.

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby Habit7 » September 17th, 2014, 9:42 am

zoom rader wrote:
Habit7 wrote:I would have answered the first part but the second part makes me realize that I would be wasting my time.


Again you are spreading propaganda just like you did with the MV Su.

Where's the proof to back up your claim

"A modern university is one of the most potent weapons of economic readjustment and social and political change. It is particularly necessary to bear this in mind in planning a British West Indian University. In British colonial areas the prestige of Oxford and Cambridge is high. These universities, despite the signal services that they have rendered to education in the past and their adaptation to modern needs, of necessity retain much of the tradition which is the inevitable result of their long centuries of development. Whatever arguments may be made for and against their methods and system, this much is certain: that their function as repositories of the great intellectual traditions of modern Europe is counterbalanced by the existence in Britain of more modern universities better adapted to the needs of our age. Where, however, as in the British West Indies, there is room for only one university, in a social environment fundamentally different from that of Britain, it is to other universities and not to Oxford and Cambridge that it is necessary to look for guidance."

Dr. Eric Eustace Williams, Education in the British West Indies (1946)


Further reading on the role of UWI and UTT in a development view of our country please check out essays by Prof. Emeritus John Spence, former independent senator 1986-2000
http://www.trinidadexpress.com/commenta ... 32384.html
http://www.trinidadexpress.com/commenta ... 42864.html
http://www.trinidadexpress.com/commenta ... 07598.html

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby zoom rader » September 17th, 2014, 11:53 am

Habit7 wrote:
zoom rader wrote:
Habit7 wrote:I would have answered the first part but the second part makes me realize that I would be wasting my time.


Again you are spreading propaganda just like you did with the MV Su.

Where's the proof to back up your claim

"A modern university is one of the most potent weapons of economic readjustment and social and political change. It is particularly necessary to bear this in mind in planning a British West Indian University. In British colonial areas the prestige of Oxford and Cambridge is high. These universities, despite the signal services that they have rendered to education in the past and their adaptation to modern needs, of necessity retain much of the tradition which is the inevitable result of their long centuries of development. Whatever arguments may be made for and against their methods and system, this much is certain: that their function as repositories of the great intellectual traditions of modern Europe is counterbalanced by the existence in Britain of more modern universities better adapted to the needs of our age. Where, however, as in the British West Indies, there is room for only one university, in a social environment fundamentally different from that of Britain, it is to other universities and not to Oxford and Cambridge that it is necessary to look for guidance."

Dr. Eric Eustace Williams, Education in the British West Indies (1946)


Further reading on the role of UWI and UTT in a development view of our country please check out essays by Prof. Emeritus John Spence, former independent senator 1986-2000
http://www.trinidadexpress.com/commenta ... 32384.html
http://www.trinidadexpress.com/commenta ... 42864.html
http://www.trinidadexpress.com/commenta ... 07598.html


UWI was Established 1948, Williams was still at Howard (1939-1948) and had just returned to Trini in that year.

How is this his vision

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby Habit7 » September 17th, 2014, 12:36 pm

I never said he started UWI, I said he had a "vision of a united West Indian university" as he clearly articulated in the quote in the post above.

Besides, University College of the West Indies of Mona, Jamaica was established in 1948 which ended up being the first campus of UWI. Then St. Augustine's Imperial College of Tropical Agriculture was united with UCWI to form UWI in 1960. Then Cave Hill campus was added in 1962.

You see why I knew answering you would be wasting my time?

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby zoom rader » September 17th, 2014, 12:58 pm

Habit7 wrote:I never said he started UWI, I said he had a "vision of a united West Indian university" as he clearly articulated in the quote in the post above.

Besides, University College of the West Indies of Mona, Jamaica was established in 1948 which ended up being the first campus of UWI. Then St. Augustine's Imperial College of Tropical Agriculture was united with UCWI to form UWI in 1960. Then Cave Hill campus was added in 1962.

You see why I knew answering you would be wasting my time?


This what you said right?

Than goodness for Eric Williams vision of a united West Indian university.

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby EFFECTIC DESIGNS » September 17th, 2014, 3:24 pm

zoom rader wrote:
EFFECTIC DESIGNS wrote:A number of highly educated people in society has pointed out many times that if not for Kamla the UTT would have remained an institution designed by the PNM to discredit UWI students so they can give out degrees to people who don't believe in things like studying and doing homework etc.

And in fact there are still programs that they offer which is exactly like this as we speak.

It is only thanks to Kamla that many of the issues of UTT has been fixed, such as firing half of the PNM people who were associated with UTT. I remember a caller on the radio a time addressing this he was pointing out that the PNM was actually trying to prevent accreditation of the UTT.


Since 1962 PNM has filled the public service and armed forces with PNM ppl we have all seen what damage that has done to present day Trini. One only has to think what the damage would have been if UTT was allowed to continue under PNM in years to come.

PNM notion of education is Cepep


Yes I know a lot of people at UTT who are eagerly awaiting the computer engineering bsc degree accreditation from IET UK which is due for arrival this Christmas it is currently the last and final engineering program left to be accredited by an international body. The new president and people that kamla has put in charge is working round the clock to proudly announce this soon.

It could not have been done before because PNM had their people within the UTT that allowed too much corruption.
Accreditation brought the engineering programs at UTT up to 100 times more difficult and challenging level. They have made such drastic improvements. Simply because Kamla fire more than half of the people that the PNM put to run the UTT. And she fired almost all of the PNM people who were holding back the accreditation.
Last edited by EFFECTIC DESIGNS on September 17th, 2014, 3:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby EFFECTIC DESIGNS » September 17th, 2014, 3:38 pm

With that said UTT still has some flaws, for one they need a brand new main campus just like how UWI has it, anyone has info on the campus in wallerfield?

Did the government mention anything about it in the budget? Last I heard of it the UNC said they wanted to make it the technological hub of this side of the world

They also should get rid of these nonsense like bsc degree in carnival etc this Carnival degree was implemented by the PNM.

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby Crackpot » September 17th, 2014, 4:47 pm

Too much governance by spite, the people will not forget the actions of this government and will move to suit.

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby Epicurus » September 17th, 2014, 5:13 pm

What is this strange preoccupation with UTT?? and what does it have to do with how this Government intends to improve this country? Is is that UTT is here to save us from corruption ?

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby RASC » September 17th, 2014, 7:14 pm

UTT=PNM

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby UML » September 17th, 2014, 7:17 pm

AG vs ILP tomorrow :popcorn:

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby abstractface » September 17th, 2014, 9:41 pm

So who and who was fightin in corpse

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby RASC » September 18th, 2014, 5:01 pm

abstractface wrote:So who and who was fightin in corpse


Phillip Alexander apparently got his face dent in!

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby UML » September 19th, 2014, 6:33 am

Again Carolyn Seepersad Bachan proves that she is not fit to be leader and lacks the class and professionalism of being in a partnership and leader as well. Names were not disclosed until Carolyn spoke about it! :roll:

she complaining bout the COP but she fraid to leave the COP :lol: :lol: :lol:

#runoffinyuhmc

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby greggle71 » September 19th, 2014, 7:41 am

All moot, the COP has no disciplinary clauses in their constitution to deal with any eventuality

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby Habit7 » September 19th, 2014, 8:43 am

When the $400 million scandal of LifeSport was revealed, the govt changed the national conversation with the surreptitious constitution amendment with the run-off bill. When that conversation was getting too accusative they change the conversation to budget. When this largest budget ever is being seriously questioned, they are now starting a commission of inquiry into a 5 year project in an attempt discredit Dr. Rowley and Al Wari.

Governing by distraction.

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby j.o.e » September 21st, 2014, 8:06 am

http://www.trinidadexpress.com/news/Pol ... 08701.html

As the race to general elections 2015 heats up, the results of a new poll show that if elections were called today it would be almost a dead heat between the ruling People’s Partnership Government and the Opposition People’s National Movement (PNM).

The poll-commissioned exclusively by the Trinidad Express Newspapers and conducted by data analysis firm Solution by Simulation (SBS)—indicates that political preference in the country are divided in near-equal numbers even though Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar remains popular as a leader.

The run-off factor could make a difference, the poll shows.

When presented with the option to return to vote for the PNM or the Partnership, the generic ballot shifts from a statistical tie to a lead for the Partnership.

But the poll also shows that the PNM has an edge over the Partnership in the marginal seats.

Following is the analysis of the poll by SBS:


SUMMARY

While the countdown to the next general election has begun, the political preferences of the country remain deeply divided in near-equal numbers. A national poll of 678 adults who are eligible to vote revealed at least three main facts:

l Nationwide preference between the People’s National Movement (PNM) and the People’s Partnership (PP) remains statistically tied

l However, the PNM has more support in the key groups that decide elections: the marginal constituencies, voters of mixed ethnicity, and those who are unaligned or typically are not sufficiently motivated to vote for any party.

l The Prime Minister remains widely popular with a favourability rating of 46% and a job approval rating of 49%. The Opposition leader’s net favourability rating is +2%, returning to its 2012 level.


METHODOLOGY

Solution by Simulation interviewed 678 adults in Trinidad and Tobago via a combination of live telephone calls and interactive voice response (IVR) from September 15th to September 18th. Telephone calls were placed to listed TSTT and Flow landlines in which at least one household member is registered to vote. Results collected through each mode were practically identical. The margin of error for the overall sample is +/- 3.8% and about 6% for the named subsamples. The poll was commissioned as exclusive research for the Express.


WHICH PARTY/COALITION LEADS NATIONALLY? …IT’S A TIE

When voters are asked who they would support if a general election were held today (the so-called “generic ballot”), the result is a statistical tie. Of all respondents, 33.9% selected the People’s Partnership, and 31.9% selected the PNM. The Independent Liberal Party (ILP) and other parties combined for 8%, and 26% did not have a preference.

A statistical tie is a result that is so close that it is not possible to know which party is leading among the entire electorate of one million voters, from the survey of 678 voters. In this case the difference of 2% between the two major parties is well within the poll’s margin of error of 3.8%.


WHICH PARTY/COALITION IS WINNING?

…PROBABLY THE PNM

The national picture of a close election is more complicated when seat allocation is taken into consideration. While the PNM has a 17-point lead over the Partnership in its “safe” seats, and the Partnership is polling 23-points ahead over the PNM in its “safe” seats, the PNM enjoys a convincing 8-point edge over the PP in the marginal seats.

For the purpose of this analysis, the marginal constituencies are defined as the seats that changed hands between the 2007 and 2010 general elections; namely: Arima, Barataria/San Juan, D’Abadie/O’Meara, La Horquetta/Talparo, Lopinot/Bon Air West, San Fernando West, St Joseph, Tobago East, Tobago West, Toco/Sangre Grande and Tunapuna. The PNM’s lead of 8% in the marginal constituencies is above the margin of error for the sub-sample, meaning that we can say with statistical confidence that the PNM is leading in the composite of these seats.

Although the PNM enjoys this lead in these critical constituencies, the Partnership needs only to retain three of these 11 constituencies to maintain a 21-seat majority. Therefore, a precise estimate of the state of the election race requires further research into the marginal constituencies.


THE “RUN-OFF” FACTOR

…MAY MAKE THE DIFFERENCE

Currently, the ILP and other parties are polling at a combined total of 8% of all voters, which represents 10% of all voters who expressed some preference. If this level of support is maintained, several “run-off” elections may be triggered in the closest marginal constituencies assuming that the proposed constitutional amendments are passed and acceded to by the President.

When presented with the option to return to vote for the Partnership or for the PNM in a hypothetical run-off only in the respondents’ constituency, the generic ballot shifts from a statistical tie, to a clear 5-point lead for the People’s Partnership.

Currently, the PNM is the preferred second-choice of third-party supporters: about one in three would return to vote for the PNM on the second ballot, about one in six for the Partnership, and the rest would not return to vote. However, this effect is neutralised by the number of PNM supporters declaring that they would not return to vote a second time. While 84% of Partnership voters say that they would return to vote in a run-off election, only 71% of PNM voters would.

In all, 38% of voters say that they would not return to vote in a run-off election—the majority of these persons are those who have no preference on the first ballot.

The marginal constituencies show a similar shift towards the Partnership in a run-off election. Within the marginal constituencies, the PNM’s eight-point lead in the first ballot drops to a statistical dead heat in a run-off. Counter-intuitively, the marginal constituencies reported the highest share of persons who will not return to vote a second time, with 42% saying that they would stay at home.



PARTY LEADER FAVOURABILITY

Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar is polling strongly with a 46% favourability rating, while 38% rated her unfavourably. This gives her a +8% net favourabiliy rating. Opposition leader Dr Keith Rowley now has a 42% favourability rating, with 40% of persons rating him unfavourably; giving him a +2% net favourability rating.

However, the situation is reversed in the marginal constituencies, where the Opposition leader enjoys a +10% net favourability rating, and the Prime Minister a -2% net favourability rating.

This represents a decline from the +12% net favourability rating reported in the Express exclusive poll published on May 25-27, 2014. The Opposition Leader’s near-equal favourable/unfavourable numbers is a return to the situation found in the Express exclusive poll in May 2013.



PM APPROVAL RATING …STILL STRONG

The Prime Minister’s approval rating has remained steady from the May Express exclusive poll. Currently 49% approve of the job that she is doing as Prime Minister, with just 41% disapproval. Her approval rating is slightly higher than her favourability with the net approval and net favourability rating being equal.


HOW VOTERS EXPLAIN THEIR CHOICES

Most respondents explained their preferences in one of four ways: assessment of a party’s record of performance, consideration of ethics and corruption, implementation of social programmes, and loyalty or tradition, in that order.

Most persons who cited performance as the deciding factor prefer the Government, while those who are most concerned about corruption or establishing ethical and transparent government prefer the opposition. Some of those who were interested in performance said that they would support any party who performed for the benefit of the country.

A significant number of persons want to support a party that implements policies to help them or vulnerable sectors of society, such as employment opportunities, pensions, healthcare, etc.

The largest group however were voters who could not or chose not to explain their choice, which accounted for about half of all respondents.


ABOUT SOLUTION BY SIMULATION

Solution by Simulation (SBS) is a data analysis firm which uses computer modeling to probe and provide insight into human behavior. SBS provides market research and data analysis services for a number of commercial, academic, and civil society clients. SBS was founded by Nigel AR Henry, BS (Yale) MA (GWU), following Mr Henry’s service as the lead numerical analyst for the Southeast US for Obama for America campaign. It began in the United States, providing data analysis for political candidates; and debuted in Trinidad and Tobago producing the only published poll to forecast the 12-0 victory of the PNM in the 2013 THA Elections. Over five elections in 2013 and 2014, Solution by Simulation has proven to be consistently accurate in its pre-election polling.

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby desifemlove » September 21st, 2014, 8:35 am

pioneer wrote:And look how arima drag burn down, is dem do that.



Which Afro PNM owning big ting in Arima? Even now, some PNMs have self-hate and say "dey ent got de brain for business..." iz afro and run business..any afro who say dat should get publicly flogged.

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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby desifemlove » September 21st, 2014, 8:41 am

j.o.e wrote:http://www.trinidadexpress.com/news/Poll-Run-off-favours-Government-275908701.html

As the race to general elections 2015 heats up, the results of a new poll show that if elections were called today it would be almost a dead heat between the ruling People’s Partnership Government and the Opposition People’s National Movement (PNM).

The poll-commissioned exclusively by the Trinidad Express Newspapers and conducted by data analysis firm Solution by Simulation (SBS)—indicates that political preference in the country are divided in near-equal numbers even though Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar remains popular as a leader.

The run-off factor could make a difference, the poll shows.

When presented with the option to return to vote for the PNM or the Partnership, the generic ballot shifts from a statistical tie to a lead for the Partnership.

But the poll also shows that the PNM has an edge over the Partnership in the marginal seats.

Following is the analysis of the poll by SBS:


SUMMARY

While the countdown to the next general election has begun, the political preferences of the country remain deeply divided in near-equal numbers. A national poll of 678 adults who are eligible to vote revealed at least three main facts:

l Nationwide preference between the People’s National Movement (PNM) and the People’s Partnership (PP) remains statistically tied

l However, the PNM has more support in the key groups that decide elections: the marginal constituencies, voters of mixed ethnicity, and those who are unaligned or typically are not sufficiently motivated to vote for any party.

l The Prime Minister remains widely popular with a favourability rating of 46% and a job approval rating of 49%. The Opposition leader’s net favourability rating is +2%, returning to its 2012 level.


METHODOLOGY

Solution by Simulation interviewed 678 adults in Trinidad and Tobago via a combination of live telephone calls and interactive voice response (IVR) from September 15th to September 18th. Telephone calls were placed to listed TSTT and Flow landlines in which at least one household member is registered to vote. Results collected through each mode were practically identical. The margin of error for the overall sample is +/- 3.8% and about 6% for the named subsamples. The poll was commissioned as exclusive research for the Express.


WHICH PARTY/COALITION LEADS NATIONALLY? …IT’S A TIE

When voters are asked who they would support if a general election were held today (the so-called “generic ballot”), the result is a statistical tie. Of all respondents, 33.9% selected the People’s Partnership, and 31.9% selected the PNM. The Independent Liberal Party (ILP) and other parties combined for 8%, and 26% did not have a preference.

A statistical tie is a result that is so close that it is not possible to know which party is leading among the entire electorate of one million voters, from the survey of 678 voters. In this case the difference of 2% between the two major parties is well within the poll’s margin of error of 3.8%.


WHICH PARTY/COALITION IS WINNING?

…PROBABLY THE PNM

The national picture of a close election is more complicated when seat allocation is taken into consideration. While the PNM has a 17-point lead over the Partnership in its “safe” seats, and the Partnership is polling 23-points ahead over the PNM in its “safe” seats, the PNM enjoys a convincing 8-point edge over the PP in the marginal seats.

For the purpose of this analysis, the marginal constituencies are defined as the seats that changed hands between the 2007 and 2010 general elections; namely: Arima, Barataria/San Juan, D’Abadie/O’Meara, La Horquetta/Talparo, Lopinot/Bon Air West, San Fernando West, St Joseph, Tobago East, Tobago West, Toco/Sangre Grande and Tunapuna. The PNM’s lead of 8% in the marginal constituencies is above the margin of error for the sub-sample, meaning that we can say with statistical confidence that the PNM is leading in the composite of these seats.

Although the PNM enjoys this lead in these critical constituencies, the Partnership needs only to retain three of these 11 constituencies to maintain a 21-seat majority. Therefore, a precise estimate of the state of the election race requires further research into the marginal constituencies.


THE “RUN-OFF” FACTOR

…MAY MAKE THE DIFFERENCE

Currently, the ILP and other parties are polling at a combined total of 8% of all voters, which represents 10% of all voters who expressed some preference. If this level of support is maintained, several “run-off” elections may be triggered in the closest marginal constituencies assuming that the proposed constitutional amendments are passed and acceded to by the President.

When presented with the option to return to vote for the Partnership or for the PNM in a hypothetical run-off only in the respondents’ constituency, the generic ballot shifts from a statistical tie, to a clear 5-point lead for the People’s Partnership.

Currently, the PNM is the preferred second-choice of third-party supporters: about one in three would return to vote for the PNM on the second ballot, about one in six for the Partnership, and the rest would not return to vote. However, this effect is neutralised by the number of PNM supporters declaring that they would not return to vote a second time. While 84% of Partnership voters say that they would return to vote in a run-off election, only 71% of PNM voters would.

In all, 38% of voters say that they would not return to vote in a run-off election—the majority of these persons are those who have no preference on the first ballot.

The marginal constituencies show a similar shift towards the Partnership in a run-off election. Within the marginal constituencies, the PNM’s eight-point lead in the first ballot drops to a statistical dead heat in a run-off. Counter-intuitively, the marginal constituencies reported the highest share of persons who will not return to vote a second time, with 42% saying that they would stay at home.



PARTY LEADER FAVOURABILITY

Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar is polling strongly with a 46% favourability rating, while 38% rated her unfavourably. This gives her a +8% net favourabiliy rating. Opposition leader Dr Keith Rowley now has a 42% favourability rating, with 40% of persons rating him unfavourably; giving him a +2% net favourability rating.

However, the situation is reversed in the marginal constituencies, where the Opposition leader enjoys a +10% net favourability rating, and the Prime Minister a -2% net favourability rating.

This represents a decline from the +12% net favourability rating reported in the Express exclusive poll published on May 25-27, 2014. The Opposition Leader’s near-equal favourable/unfavourable numbers is a return to the situation found in the Express exclusive poll in May 2013.



PM APPROVAL RATING …STILL STRONG

The Prime Minister’s approval rating has remained steady from the May Express exclusive poll. Currently 49% approve of the job that she is doing as Prime Minister, with just 41% disapproval. Her approval rating is slightly higher than her favourability with the net approval and net favourability rating being equal.


HOW VOTERS EXPLAIN THEIR CHOICES

Most respondents explained their preferences in one of four ways: assessment of a party’s record of performance, consideration of ethics and corruption, implementation of social programmes, and loyalty or tradition, in that order.

Most persons who cited performance as the deciding factor prefer the Government, while those who are most concerned about corruption or establishing ethical and transparent government prefer the opposition. Some of those who were interested in performance said that they would support any party who performed for the benefit of the country.

A significant number of persons want to support a party that implements policies to help them or vulnerable sectors of society, such as employment opportunities, pensions, healthcare, etc.

The largest group however were voters who could not or chose not to explain their choice, which accounted for about half of all respondents.


ABOUT SOLUTION BY SIMULATION

Solution by Simulation (SBS) is a data analysis firm which uses computer modeling to probe and provide insight into human behavior. SBS provides market research and data analysis services for a number of commercial, academic, and civil society clients. SBS was founded by Nigel AR Henry, BS (Yale) MA (GWU), following Mr Henry’s service as the lead numerical analyst for the Southeast US for Obama for America campaign. It began in the United States, providing data analysis for political candidates; and debuted in Trinidad and Tobago producing the only published poll to forecast the 12-0 victory of the PNM in the 2013 THA Elections. Over five elections in 2013 and 2014, Solution by Simulation has proven to be consistently accurate in its pre-election polling.


So some survey to show what most people know....it will be close......

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UML
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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby UML » September 21st, 2014, 9:15 am

the result is a statistical tie. Of all respondents, 33.9% selected the People’s Partnership, and 31.9% selected the PNM.


My maths eh so good but how could that be a tie? Ent one vote does win an election? I think the pnm papers express try to skew the interpretation to appear as a tie to save face because they say it was a tie to an outright PPG win!


Added to the ambiguity is the failure to define the population distribution of the survey participants :roll:

Were they all from the north, south, east or west? Was selection random or determined by the express :|

Licks is still licks :wink:
Last edited by UML on September 21st, 2014, 9:23 am, edited 1 time in total.

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j.o.e
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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby j.o.e » September 21st, 2014, 9:20 am

UML you understand the concept of polls and margins of error? Think more, post less and you will contribute less drivel to the forum.

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zoom rader
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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby zoom rader » September 21st, 2014, 9:55 am

Trini Media polls are not credible . This poll is a joke.
what areas where these poll conducted.


METHODOLOGY

Solution by Simulation interviewed 678 adults in Trinidad and Tobago via a combination of live telephone calls and interactive voice response (IVR) from September 15th to September 18th. Telephone calls were placed to listed TSTT and Flow landlines in which at least one household member is registered to vote. Results collected through each mode were practically identical. The margin of error for the overall sample is +/- 3.8% and about 6% for the named subsamples. The poll was commissioned as exclusive research for the Express.


Tuner have more PNM members and still is more credible than the express

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pioneer
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Re: .::The Official General Election 2015 Thread::.

Postby pioneer » September 21st, 2014, 10:33 am

And yet still eh winnin de chuna poll.

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