THE OFFICIAL TROPICAL WEATHER THREAD 2025

[goalpost]

Rain like a mc in Arima right now

[fokhan_96]

Mora see ah lil rain and done start warning people about the apocalypse yes ...

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

Rain later today and into tonight

[dredman1]

In a very late-notice move, the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service has issued an Adverse Weather Alert for both Trinidad and Tobago as heavy showers and thunderstorms are forecast to affect the country today (Tuesday).

https://ttweathercenter.com/2023/11/07/ ... rt-for-tt/

[aaron17]

LOL

[dredman1]

Who show TTMS the post?

Please be advised that the Adverse Weather Alert that has been circulating on external platforms this morning was not officially disseminated by the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS).

The TTMS is currently conducting investigations.

We kindly request that you obtain all official weather forecasts and alerts for Trinidad and Tobago from the official TTMS website, mobile application, and authorized social media platforms.

https://x.com/ttmetoffice/status/172190 ... ClI3gOyH1w

[dredman1]

Replacing the erroneously issued Adverse Weather Alert by the TTMS, a Localized Flood Alert has been issued and is now in effect for the country as periods of heavy rainfall are likely across both islands.

https://ttweathercenter.com/2023/11/07/ ... nd-tobago/

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

MET OFFICE: The outlook for the next three months, November -December-January shows that at the end of January 2024, there will be little to no concern for dryness.

In August 2023, Trinidad received below-normal rainfall amounts whereas Tobago received above-normal rainfall amounts. Below-normal rainfall amounts fell over Trinidad and Tobago during the ensuing months of September to October.

Piarco’s monthly totals for August-September-October rainfall range from 134.4 mm, 88.8 mm, and 116.5 mm respectively, while Crown Point, Tobago's monthly totals for August-September-October rainfall range from 224.9 mm, 96.5 mm and 44.9 mm respectively.

Near-normal rainfall is expected during the month of November, and moderate to heavy rainfall events are expected to occur. Frequent rainfall events are expected to continue in December and January 2024.

The latest Dryness/Dry Spell/Drought Indicator, Monitor and Outlook is now available at: https://www.metoffice.gov.tt/dry_wet_spell

[redmanjp]

Weather nice. Going and take a bathe up Tyrico Bay

[redmanjp]

[paid_influencer]

hoss dawg bai you know how long I want to see water like that bai

[K74T]

ADVERSE WEATHER ALERT #1 - YELLOW LEVEL

Start date (local time) Sat, Nov 11, 2023 12:00 PM
End date (local time) Sun, Nov 12, 2023 4:00 PM
Issuance time (local time) Sat, Nov 11, 2023 9:47 AM

Description: Low-level convergence as well as the passage of a low-level trough is expected to produce intermittent showers and rainfall of varying intensities throughout the day and overnight, mainly over Tobago, Northern and Central Trinidad. There is a medium to high (60% to 70%) chance of accompanying thunderstorm activity and gusty winds in excess of 55km/h. IMPACTS: Isolated flash floods, street flooding and localized ponding can cause temporary traffic disruptions. Landslips are possible in areas so prone. Gusty winds can lead to broken tree branches and loose/unsecured items being displaced. Seas can also become agitated due to strong winds.

Instructions: Monitor weather conditions and the condition of your surroundings. Do not wade or drive through flood waters. More information: http://www.metoffice.gov.tt; http://www.odpm.gov.tt.

Area description : Trinidad and Tobago and surrounding marine areas.

The attachment FB_IMG_1699710965395.jpg is no longer available

[aaron17]

Typical diwali weather.

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

[Dizzy28]

Yunno is Divali when rain falling and taps are dry!!!!

[st7]

Yunno is Divali when rain falling and taps are dry!!!!

[DMan7]

Yunno is Divali when rain falling and taps are dry!!!!

People still spell Diwali as Divali? I used to the same thing as well as I grew up spelling it that way but in reality its pronounced by Indian people with their english accents as Divali as they pronounce things with W as if it sounds like a V in english.

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

heavy showers in Chaguanas currently

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

Weather app saying rain until 6pm

[computercentral]

Long overdue

[brickman]

Heavy wind & rain in pos right now,been raining on & off since 5 a.m.

[redmanjp]

i like how they issuing tropical storm watches/warnings for even potentials instead of waiting for even a depression to form like what used to be the case.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/171740.shtml

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Twenty-Two
Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL222023
100 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2023

...FLOODING RAINS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS JAMAICA, HISPANIOLA,
AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 78.5W
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SW OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SW OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Jamaica
* Haiti
* Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, Holguin, Granma,
and Las Tunas
* Southeastern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM EST (1800 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
18.0 North, longitude 78.5 West. The system is moving faster
toward the northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h), and an additional
acceleration toward the northeast is expected through the weekend.
On the forecast track, the system is expected to move across Jamaica
this afternoon, southeastern Cuba by early Saturday, and the
southeastern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible during the next couple
of days, but the system's chance of becoming a tropical cyclone
appears to be decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours... medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Twenty-Two can be found
in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and
WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the web at
hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible, especially in areas
of heavy rain, on Jamaica today, southeastern Cuba and Haiti
tonight, and the southeastern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands
on Saturday.

RAINFALL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Twenty-Two is expected to
produce additional total rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with maximum
amounts of 16 inches across portions of Jamaica, southeast Cuba, and
southern Hispaniola through Sunday. These rains are likely to
produce flash flooding, along with mudslides in areas of higher
terrain.

The system is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rainfall across
the southeastern Bahamas as well as the Turks and Caicos Islands.
This rainfall may lead to flash flooding in urban areas.

STORM SURGE: Minor coastal flooding is possible in areas of
onshore winds along the southeastern coast of Cuba, the southeastern
Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands.

SURF: Swells generated by the disturbance are expected to affect
portions of Jamaica, Haiti, and southeastern Cuba during the next
day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM EST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

[DMan7]

The weather hot today boi, like a furnace outside.

[maj. tom]

NHC doing that since 2010. They changed the definition too of watch and warnings to fit into the policy to allow more prep time for affected areas.

[redmanjp]

^yeah, and i think the PTC advisories started with a storm that directly impacted us at the time - otherwise it would have hi us without any watch/warning issued.

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

Potential long periods of rain next week

[FrankChag]

Looks pretty scary atm

[redmanjp]

my weather app saying 100% chance of rain each day for the next week

judging from that image we might get another flood like that october that shut down all highways and had we on red alert!

[goalpost]

Umm...overreacting much tho?

[wing]

Umm...overreacting much tho?

He's not alone, there's another forum user that forgets that in a tropical climate, there will be hot days, he always braying about high temps.