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Dizzy28 wrote:^
Putin: Russia cannot tolerate NATO at its doorsteps
Also Putin: let me takeover a country bordering four NATO countries
Just a question you don't consider Kim Jung Un a leader?VII wrote:Putin seems to be prepared to forego any operational deficit in this conflict with the threat of nuclear aggression if ultimately cornered.
He's playing his cards hard .
Never have I seen in my life or in modern history a leader play the nuke threat game as directly as Putin has been over the last couple weeks.
When weighed out properly Ukraine will have to be left alone to negotiate with their big brother . The US/NATO/West isn't going to risk it all for an Eastern European country bordering Russia, no matter how much common global consumerism and social media makes them seem alike .
It would take much more than that for the West to engage Russia directly in an all out war after Russia has laid their cards out on the table .
hover11 wrote:Just a question you don't consider Kim Jung Un a leader?VII wrote:Putin seems to be prepared to forego any operational deficit in this conflict with the threat of nuclear aggression if ultimately cornered.
He's playing his cards hard .
Never have I seen in my life or in modern history a leader play the nuke threat game as directly as Putin has been over the last couple weeks.
When weighed out properly Ukraine will have to be left alone to negotiate with their big brother . The US/NATO/West isn't going to risk it all for an Eastern European country bordering Russia, no matter how much common global consumerism and social media makes them seem alike .
It would take much more than that for the West to engage Russia directly in an all out war after Russia has laid their cards out on the table .
matr1x wrote:Let's not forget that Russia has sleeper cells scattered across the world
De Dragon wrote:Contrary to what many seem to think here, NO ONE wants a shooting war between Russia and the US. Only an muffler bearing like Trump felt that because of his "charisma" that Russia was laying low. They merely had an ally in the White House who could be counted on not to rock the boat.
88sins wrote:God help Ukraine
cuz it looks like nobody else will
Dizzy28 wrote:So Putin waited until his ally in the WH left to initiate war with a potentially unfriendly President there?
Would it not make sense to strike when your ally in power?De Dragon wrote:Contrary to what many seem to think here, NO ONE wants a shooting war between Russia and the US. Only an muffler bearing like Trump felt that because of his "charisma" that Russia was laying low. They merely had an ally in the White House who could be counted on not to rock the boat.
Using the Moab wasn't Trump's order iirc.The_Honourable wrote:Dizzy28 wrote:So Putin waited until his ally in the WH left to initiate war with a potentially unfriendly President there?
Would it not make sense to strike when your ally in power?De Dragon wrote:Contrary to what many seem to think here, NO ONE wants a shooting war between Russia and the US. Only an muffler bearing like Trump felt that because of his "charisma" that Russia was laying low. They merely had an ally in the White House who could be counted on not to rock the boat.
I think the real reason Putin, Jinping and others of the like didn't try anything under Trump's tenure is because Trump himself had no qualms in wiping them out, collateral damage and all. He used MOAB against ISIS.
Trump is the kinda guy will drop a MOAB or even a nuke on moscow, tweet "bye bye Putin" , hold a rally and say how he stopped a potential war while CNN and MSNBC makes Putin into a saint and Trump the devil himself.
boxy wrote:Using the Moab wasn't Trump's order iirc.The_Honourable wrote:Dizzy28 wrote:So Putin waited until his ally in the WH left to initiate war with a potentially unfriendly President there?
Would it not make sense to strike when your ally in power?De Dragon wrote:Contrary to what many seem to think here, NO ONE wants a shooting war between Russia and the US. Only an muffler bearing like Trump felt that because of his "charisma" that Russia was laying low. They merely had an ally in the White House who could be counted on not to rock the boat.
I think the real reason Putin, Jinping and others of the like didn't try anything under Trump's tenure is because Trump himself had no qualms in wiping them out, collateral damage and all. He used MOAB against ISIS.
Trump is the kinda guy will drop a MOAB or even a nuke on moscow, tweet "bye bye Putin" , hold a rally and say how he stopped a potential war while CNN and MSNBC makes Putin into a saint and Trump the devil himself.
Also Putin literally rocked back and watched as Trump berated and divided NATO politically with his America First rhetoric he was hoping by Teump's second term to have completely caused discord and fractures within NATO. Remember at one point Angela Merkel was seen as the new DeFacto leader of the alliance due to the deep Divisions that were there.
Which is why Putin draw for the Nuke card less than 4 days in the war he did not expect NATO and the EU to fall in line instantaneously and basically kneecap his economy in one fell swoop.
Dizzy28 wrote:So Putin waited until his ally in the WH left to initiate war with a potentially unfriendly President there?
Would it not make sense to strike when your ally in power?De Dragon wrote:Contrary to what many seem to think here, NO ONE wants a shooting war between Russia and the US. Only an muffler bearing like Trump felt that because of his "charisma" that Russia was laying low. They merely had an ally in the White House who could be counted on not to rock the boat.
De Dragon wrote:Dizzy28 wrote:So Putin waited until his ally in the WH left to initiate war with a potentially unfriendly President there?
Would it not make sense to strike when your ally in power?De Dragon wrote:Contrary to what many seem to think here, NO ONE wants a shooting war between Russia and the US. Only an muffler bearing like Trump felt that because of his "charisma" that Russia was laying low. They merely had an ally in the White House who could be counted on not to rock the boat.
Putin was waiting for Trump's second term, where he would remove the US from NATO.
Unfriendly? maybe, but who knows the full cost of a war in Europe would mean to the world, not some pseudo tough guy, who bowed to Putin/Kim. Remember Helsinki? Remember "fire and fury?"
Redman wrote:All commodity prices were already at the high end of their all time ranges.
It's also changing supply chain s as companies look to avoid this risk in the future, like they did with Covid.
I think at the other side of this we will have very different supply lines and pricing points.
And a weaker USD.
ETA I see she'll has just purchased a shipment of Russian crude.
About 30 usd discount to market.
Which is still a good price under normal conditions.
adnj wrote:
Country_Bookie wrote:
Ever notice that Israel has been annexing land that isn't theirs, bombing civilians etc for years, but no western governments have responded with any kind of sanctions or condemnation the same way they did to Russia? Amnesty International and the UN have released many reports about their war crimes, but the US always blocks any action toward Israel.
Is it that Palestinian lives don't matter?
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