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Dohplaydat wrote:Duane 3NE 2NR wrote:Analysts: Tight Race for election 2020
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The general election race is going to be a tight one between the People’s National Movement (PNM) and the United National Congress (UNC), according to several analysts.
These analysts are Dr Bishnu Ragoonath, Mukesh Basdeo and Dr Marlene Attz who spoke to the Sunday Express yesterday.
Political analyst Dr Winford James however thinks the PNM will win the election.
The Nigel Henry-led Solution by Simulation (SBS) poll commissioned by the Express puts the PNM five per cent ahead of the UNC.
Attz, an economist, said she doesn’t know there is an economic resonance among the population and people are looking at traditional political alignment.
“I think it comes down to the two major parties really going to be given the opportunity to guide the course of economic activity in Trinidad and Tobago for the next five years,” she said.
“I still don’t think there is any clear front-runner, I think both parties are still kind of taking it down to the wire, so to speak,” she said.
She added that the weather is going to play a part and affect voter turnout tomorrow. In Ragoonath’s opinion, the election will be tight.
He said six constituencies will determine who will be the next Government and it all depends on the voter turnout.
He said his biggest fear at this time is the impact the Covid spike will have on the voter turnout.
Ragoonath said the PNM didn’t come with anything startling in their campaign and they returned with the “blame Kamla, blame the UNC” rhetoric.
He said in Tobago there is two-way race with the PNM and the Watson Duke-led Progressive Democratic Party (PDP) which will play a factor in the election as well.
Basdeo said in some instances the UNC will have a little over a one or two per cent lead, while in some constituencies the PNM will also have a slight lead over the UNC.
He said in some instances it looks like a “dead heat” in a several constituencies.
Basdeo said he is not convinced there will be a large voter turnout and it may be closer to 57 to 60 per cent.
He also said the Covid spike will have an impact.
Basdeo said the PNM’s campaign on its success of the handling of the pandemic will be tested tomorrow.
James said the polls indicate that the PNM is in the lead and we must trust the “science”.
He noted that the polls were a snapshot of a period in time and things could change but he’s going on the science.
He said it comes down to the “swing votes” in the marginals — voters who focus on the issues.
James said that there is also the “mixed category”, the small ethnicities- individuals who do not identify ethnically and far more of them are favouring the PNM.
James said from the facts that he has now “ the PNM is more likely to win than the UNC, but the margins will be small.”
https://trinidadexpress.com/elections/2 ... cd62b.html
I agree with them mostly but I give the edge to UNC mainly because I know far too many PNM voters in 2015 who are either not voting or voting UNC.
Gladiator wrote:That's typical PNM politics.... They just couldn't help it. Shows their despiration at the 11th hourbluefete wrote:Is this the level of nastiness the PNM has reached?
Or is it his own party doing this?
bluefete wrote:David Abdullah said that Kamla thief the UTC/NIB concept from them.
The original plan from his party was to float a bond but Kamla did not understand the intricacies and said they were going to raid the cash funds. LOL.
shake d livin wake d dead wrote:Gladiator wrote:That's typical PNM politics.... They just couldn't help it. Shows their despiration at the 11th hourbluefete wrote:Is this the level of nastiness the PNM has reached?
Or is it his own party doing this?
Actually, if you speak to any TTR member who served under Hunt...they would tell you he is an international C$%×...INTERNATIONAL!!!!!!!!
sMASH wrote:bluefete wrote:David Abdullah said that Kamla thief the UTC/NIB concept from them.
The original plan from his party was to float a bond but Kamla did not understand the intricacies and said they were going to raid the cash funds. LOL.
jawala rambaran explained it on some podium and the vid floating around. basically the same thing, creating a fund that utc and nib can buy into. the gist i got, its like the NIF that pnm created.
not so crazy sounding.
abdullah dem crack, cause how ever the ting kamla say will work, pnm full speed ahead pushing that kamala raiding UTC and NIB. and without any understanding, the talk in the town is kamla raiding UTC and NIB. abdullah now want to take credit for the poorly understood evil plan.
pugboy wrote:boy those are some heavy allegations
Really though, if this happens what next? Would it be the same as the 18-18 years ago? Strictly speaking, what's the procedure for such a scenario?The_Honourable wrote:Let's make it interesting... 20-20-1 (PNM-UNC-PDP)
Redress10 wrote:shake d livin wake d dead wrote:Gladiator wrote:That's typical PNM politics.... They just couldn't help it. Shows their despiration at the 11th hourbluefete wrote:Is this the level of nastiness the PNM has reached?
Or is it his own party doing this?
Actually, if you speak to any TTR member who served under Hunt...they would tell you he is an international C$%×...INTERNATIONAL!!!!!!!!
They does talk but they doesn't know.
Is like UNC does look for the absolute worst people to put up. Plenty people familiar with Lt Hunt. Plenty
redmanjp wrote:if dat happen would PDP join with UNC?
maj. tom wrote:The President will choose PNM for their "moral and spiritual values."
Recorded history: https://www.guardian.co.tt/article-6.2. ... 6df08cac56
matr1x wrote:I know at least 3 groups that's mobilizing to see if they could lift me up so i vote come Monday
st7 wrote:so PEA not a candidate anymore?
(EBC published this in today's newspapers)
killercow wrote:Really though, if this happens what next? Would it be the same as the 18-18 years ago? Strictly speaking, what's the procedure for such a scenario?The_Honourable wrote:Let's make it interesting... 20-20-1 (PNM-UNC-PDP)
mero wrote:matr1x wrote:I know at least 3 groups that's mobilizing to see if they could lift me up so i vote come Monday
Way more believable.
bluefete wrote:NICE!
The_Honourable wrote:Time to be facetious...
19-19-2-1 (PNM-UNC-PDP-PEP)
Duke takes the tobago two while Phillip does the upset for 2020... outs Imbert.
bluefete wrote:Ah hear, Terrible Terry real make the rounds in his St. Joseph constituency. Some areas saw him 4-5 times in the past month alone.
Hunt NEVER went around to a lot of the areas that make up St. Joseph. It looks like he only campaigned in the UNC strongholds in St. Joseph.Redress10 wrote:shake d livin wake d dead wrote:Gladiator wrote:That's typical PNM politics.... They just couldn't help it. Shows their despiration at the 11th hourbluefete wrote:Is this the level of nastiness the PNM has reached?
Or is it his own party doing this?
Actually, if you speak to any TTR member who served under Hunt...they would tell you he is an international C$%×...INTERNATIONAL!!!!!!!!
They does talk but they doesn't know.
Is like UNC does look for the absolute worst people to put up. Plenty people familiar with Lt Hunt. Plenty
shake d livin wake d dead wrote:bluefete wrote:Ah hear, Terrible Terry real make the rounds in his St. Joseph constituency. Some areas saw him 4-5 times in the past month alone.
Hunt NEVER went around to a lot of the areas that make up St. Joseph. It looks like he only campaigned in the UNC strongholds in St. Joseph.Redress10 wrote:shake d livin wake d dead wrote:Gladiator wrote:That's typical PNM politics.... They just couldn't help it. Shows their despiration at the 11th hourbluefete wrote:Is this the level of nastiness the PNM has reached?
Or is it his own party doing this?
Actually, if you speak to any TTR member who served under Hunt...they would tell you he is an international C$%×...INTERNATIONAL!!!!!!!!
They does talk but they doesn't know.
Is like UNC does look for the absolute worst people to put up. Plenty people familiar with Lt Hunt. Plenty
I kinda want Hunt to loss that seat...cuz I cant see him as a Nat Sec minister. The man is ah total Jackass...unc couldnt get someone better than him. Long watery steupse
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