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Who will win?

Poll ended at November 4th, 2020, 11:15 am

BIden
16
41%
Trump
23
59%
 
Total votes: 39

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De Dragon
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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby De Dragon » November 4th, 2020, 7:22 pm

sMASH wrote:the highest voter turn out in their history and trump is giving him a run for his money. that means real people eh buy what the dems was sellin.

It could mean that the overt race/discrimination/xenophobia/white supremacy/bigotry/nativism/Covid-19 hoaxism was enabled to the point where people weren't afraid to openly vote for it to continue

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby Miktay » November 4th, 2020, 7:27 pm

De Dragon wrote:
sMASH wrote:the highest voter turn out in their history and trump is giving him a run for his money. that means real people eh buy what the dems was sellin.

It could mean that the overt race/discrimination/xenophobia/white supremacy/bigotry/nativism/Covid-19 hoaxism was enabled to the point where people weren't afraid to openly vote for it to continue


The largest mistakes made were by the pollsters.

Then fellas lorse they reputation amongst the common folks.

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby MaxPower » November 4th, 2020, 7:30 pm

Dohplaydat wrote:
sMASH wrote:the highest voter turn out in their history and trump is giving him a run for his money. that means real people eh buy what the dems was sellin.


Dems need to stop being whiny hypocrites with their overreactions, supporting or aligning with SJWs and their leniency with BLM.....


Well said my good man

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st7
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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby st7 » November 4th, 2020, 7:54 pm

Dohplaydat wrote:Apparently, Trump still has a possible way in through Arizona. It's a long shot though but Arizona will be under dispute I'm sure.


Nevada right now is the deal breaker... i can't wait to see trump's tantrums.

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Duane 3NE 2NR
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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby Duane 3NE 2NR » November 4th, 2020, 7:58 pm

Screenshot 2020-11-04 at 7.58.07 PM.jpg

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby Dohplaydat » November 4th, 2020, 8:01 pm

Duane 3NE 2NR wrote:Screenshot 2020-11-04 at 7.58.07 PM.jpg


The AP has called Arizona, and while likely to go Biden, it's not a certainty just yet.

FiveThirtyEight Report from about an hour ago:

Arizona. We may need to do a longer post on Arizona later. What’s left to count is mostly mail votes that were returned late in the process — on Monday or Tuesday. There’s some ambiguity about how many ballots this actually is; Edison Research seems to think around 450,000. If so, Trump would need to win those votes by 21 points to overtake Biden’s current 93,000-vote lead. They’re distributed fairly evenly throughout the state.

Wait — outstanding mail votes? Shouldn’t those be good for Biden, as they are in other states? Well, not necessarily, because Republicans have a fairly strong mail voting program in Arizona and — this is the key part — the mail ballots that were returned later in the process (the ones yet to be counted) were significantly redder than the ones that came in earlier on, as Democrats sent their votes in early. For instance, the party registration breakdown of the votes that came in Monday and Tuesday was: 23 percent Democratic, 44 percent Republican, and 33 percent independent or other parties. That is to say, a 21-point GOP edge, which would put Trump on track to tie things up.

But … here’s the bad news for Trump. Party registration may be a misleading indicator in Arizona. The state has a lot of ancestral Republicans who have now turned into swing voters. Biden also had a big lead among independents in polls. And earlier batches of mail ballots were considerably stronger for Biden than party registration alone would suggest. So probably these ballots are going to come in more for Trump than for Biden, but not as strongly as he needs.

There’s also the fact that two other news organizations, the Associated Press and Fox News, have called the state for Biden. I’d assume they’ve looked into this more than I have, so that shifts my priors a bit, but you never know and you do get incorrect calls occasionally. Overall, I’d say this is Likely Biden, but I don’t think the state should have been called yet.

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby Duane 3NE 2NR » November 4th, 2020, 8:08 pm

Check this!


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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby Dohplaydat » November 4th, 2020, 8:15 pm

Duane 3NE 2NR wrote:Check this!



lol this ain't over yet is it...

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby The_Honourable » November 4th, 2020, 8:40 pm

Unless Arizona changes, Trump must win: Pennsylvania + Georgia + North Carolina + Nevada

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby MaxPower » November 4th, 2020, 8:43 pm

Soooooo Trump still have a chance??

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby sMASH » November 4th, 2020, 8:45 pm

Dohplaydat wrote:
Duane 3NE 2NR wrote:Check this!



lol this ain't over yet is it...

imburt and dem gonna hold a press breifing to demonize the recounts in a while... oh wait, wrong red party.

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby The_Honourable » November 4th, 2020, 9:19 pm

MaxPower wrote:Soooooo Trump still have a chance??


He has a chance but it depends on Nevada. If Arizona stays blue and Nevada goes red, Biden is stuck at 264. If all the other outstanding states goes red which is possible, Trump wins.

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby Dohplaydat » November 4th, 2020, 9:40 pm

The_Honourable wrote:
MaxPower wrote:Soooooo Trump still have a chance??


He has a chance but it depends on Nevada. If Arizona stays blue and Nevada goes red, Biden is stuck at 264. If all the other outstanding states goes red which is possible, Trump wins.


Arizona is more likely to go red than Nevada right now (though both may most likely stay blue).

If either NV or AZ goes red and there is no change in Penn, George and NC then Trump wins.

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby MaxPower » November 4th, 2020, 9:45 pm

The_Honourable wrote:
MaxPower wrote:Soooooo Trump still have a chance??


He has a chance but it depends on Nevada. If Arizona stays blue and Nevada goes red, Biden is stuck at 264. If all the other outstanding states goes red which is possible, Trump wins.


Wow

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby MaxPower » November 4th, 2020, 9:45 pm

Dohplaydat wrote:
The_Honourable wrote:
MaxPower wrote:Soooooo Trump still have a chance??


He has a chance but it depends on Nevada. If Arizona stays blue and Nevada goes red, Biden is stuck at 264. If all the other outstanding states goes red which is possible, Trump wins.


Arizona is more likely to go red than Nevada right now (though both may most likely stay blue).

If either NV or AZ goes red and there is no change in Penn, George and NC then Trump wins.


Wow

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby MaxPower » November 4th, 2020, 9:46 pm

Anyone has butterflies?

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby The_Honourable » November 4th, 2020, 10:00 pm

Dohplaydat wrote:
The_Honourable wrote:
MaxPower wrote:Soooooo Trump still have a chance??


He has a chance but it depends on Nevada. If Arizona stays blue and Nevada goes red, Biden is stuck at 264. If all the other outstanding states goes red which is possible, Trump wins.


Arizona is more likely to go red than Nevada right now (though both may most likely stay blue).

If either NV or AZ goes red and there is no change in Penn, George and NC then Trump wins.


If Arizona flips red at this point that would be a shock. Fox was the 1st network to call Arizona for Biden which caused a stir in the Trump camp last night.

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby Hwells » November 4th, 2020, 10:10 pm

i expect trump to call for recount in michigan and wisconsin

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Dohplaydat
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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby Dohplaydat » November 4th, 2020, 10:15 pm

I believe that Trump will go to the Supreme Court to get mail-in ballots thrown out in some states.

The reason (it's actually a legit reason) is that there is no proof that the person voting my mail made that choice willingly. Imagine a wife who is controlled her by husband, or a gang forcing or bribing persons to vote one way.

Imagine if we had mail-in votes in Trinidad, is then you seeing both parties literally buying your mail-in vote with $300 rollup in t-shirt.

This is the exact reason he urged his supporters not to vote by mail, man this election is like an episode of House of Cards.

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Miktay
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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby Miktay » November 4th, 2020, 11:39 pm

Yes .it iz likely there will be more lawsuits in PA, MI and WI US states.

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby Duane 3NE 2NR » November 4th, 2020, 11:47 pm

Trump’s team launches legal fights in Michigan, Pennsylvania


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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby MaxPower » November 5th, 2020, 12:13 am

Trump is going to fight hard.

Pedo Joe need to man up.

His bottom lip doing the trembling thing again.

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby RedVEVO » November 5th, 2020, 2:11 am

MaxPower wrote:Soooooo Trump still have a chance??


No :wink:

Biden 264 :lol:

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby bluefete » November 5th, 2020, 6:48 am

Edit: - Honourable: Sorry. I just saw you post on Nevada after I did mine below. You are spot on.

This whole election now hinges on whoever wins Nevada. Ha. Who would have thought it would come down to this?

Both Trump and Biden CANNOT win without Nevada. But not a soul is saying that anywhere on tv.


bluefete wrote:Biden takes Michigan. That will call in a few minutes. If he does he might go to 264 electoral votes. If my math is right.


Yesterday at 3:12 p.m. I called this. LOL.

But I do not understand CNN's math.

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Miktay
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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby Miktay » November 5th, 2020, 8:53 am

No matter what ppl say about Trump he iza fighter.

Always has been. Always will be.

Maybe iz cuz he’s born and bred in Queens NY. I dunno.

But he will fight tooth and nail in thiz election.

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MaxPower
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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby MaxPower » November 5th, 2020, 8:56 am

Miktay wrote:No matter what ppl say about Trump he iza fighter.

Always has been. Always will be.

Maybe iz cuz he’s born and bred in Queens NY. I dunno.

But he will fight tooth and nail in thiz election.


Cawwwwwrec

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st7
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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby st7 » November 5th, 2020, 9:04 am

Miktay wrote:No matter what ppl say about Trump he iza fighter.

Always has been. Always will be.

Maybe iz cuz he’s born and bred in Queens NY. I dunno.

But he will fight tooth and nail in thiz election.


fighter or spoil child who needs to get what he wants? i can't wait to see more of his tantrums :lol: :lol:

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Miktay
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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby Miktay » November 5th, 2020, 9:16 am

st7 wrote:
Miktay wrote:No matter what ppl say about Trump he iza fighter.

Always has been. Always will be.

Maybe iz cuz he’s born and bred in Queens NY. I dunno.

But he will fight tooth and nail in thiz election.


fighter or spoil child who needs to get what he wants? i can't wait to see more of his tantrums :lol: :lol:


No matter what it iz Trump iza scrapper.

Remember he was never the establishment candidate (Democrat or Republican) favorite. The news media consistently lambasted him long before he won in 2016.

Anything he gets he will need to fight.

He’s the perfect candidate for hiz supporters.

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sMASH
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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby sMASH » November 5th, 2020, 9:35 am

i remember the reps had a more democratic process that allowed the strongest candidate to take the front, and got them the win. and putting up a damn strong fight in the second attempt even with so many blunders in the record. dems should take pattern and let the PEOPLE CHOSE who they want.

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Re: US election 2020 prediction

Postby Dizzy28 » November 5th, 2020, 9:37 am

As either AP or BBC stated last night, if Biden wins the most influential man in Washington will be Mitch McConnell.
Given the inability of the the Dems to gain the Senate majority and also the loss of seats in the HoR Biden will have to be playing catch up with McConnell and possibly deal with Senate blocks and filibusters like Obama did in his last few years.

That system of Governance is so weird

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