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Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby Cantmis » December 18th, 2020, 3:32 pm


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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby DreamWeaver » January 3rd, 2021, 12:47 pm

anybody know how long is train 1 turnaround? whole ah 2021? cause i waiting to see where dey get gas

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby Joshie23 » January 3rd, 2021, 3:27 pm

DreamWeaver wrote:anybody know how long is train 1 turnaround? whole ah 2021? cause i waiting to see where dey get gas


Ortoire, perhaps?

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby DreamWeaver » January 3rd, 2021, 7:23 pm

Joshie23 wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:anybody know how long is train 1 turnaround? whole ah 2021? cause i waiting to see where dey get gas


Ortoire, perhaps?


any details on that? like how much mmscf/d could be produced? They keep saying significant but nobody saying how much. plus only some of it coming online in march. the rest is quite end of the year, right?

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby Cantmis » January 3rd, 2021, 9:01 pm

How much do we consume BTW?

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby DreamWeaver » January 3rd, 2021, 9:57 pm

Cantmis wrote:How much do we consume BTW?


was like, over 4,000 mmscf/d (4 billion) back in manning and kamla time but it drop to like below 3,000 mmscf/d last year.

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby Cantmis » January 3rd, 2021, 10:41 pm

Touchstone estimate 1tcf (1000 billion). 1000/4 = 250 days usage ?

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby De Dragon » January 3rd, 2021, 11:17 pm

DreamWeaver wrote:anybody know how long is train 1 turnaround? whole ah 2021? cause i waiting to see where dey get gas

Ask JUHN Scarfy/LFDRFD PNM crew, after all they are bankrolling it :roll:

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby DreamWeaver » January 4th, 2021, 8:16 am

De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:anybody know how long is train 1 turnaround? whole ah 2021? cause i waiting to see where dey get gas

Ask JUHN Scarfy/LFDRFD PNM crew, after all they are bankrolling it :roll:

well for sure they cant let train 1 sit idle after its govt-funded turnaround otherwise govt will be looking rel bad after spending all that money and saying train 1 not shutting down and how they had negotiate an 'alleged' good revenue contract with train 1. I know bp say they have no gas for train 1 in 2021 though. Maybe touchstone gas is for train 1? Of course that all depends on how much they can process. Next thing touchstone find 1 tcf and could only process 100mmscf/d. lol. Train 1 need like 442mmscf/d to run normal

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby Cantmis » January 7th, 2021, 3:14 pm


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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby widdyphuck » January 7th, 2021, 4:59 pm

60 Methanex workers to go home as Titan methanol plant closes indefinitely.
https://newsday.co.tt/2021/01/07/methanex-to-shutter-titan-in-pt-lisas-60-workers-to-go/

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby DreamWeaver » January 7th, 2021, 7:06 pm

wtf wrote:60 Methanex workers to go home as Titan methanol plant closes indefinitely.
https://newsday.co.tt/2021/01/07/methanex-to-shutter-titan-in-pt-lisas-60-workers-to-go/

Kinda expected this though. Methanex already said earlier this year the main reason they close titan was because the ngc gas price was too high. Was only a matter of time before the staff cuts. All that talk about them still believing in a future in Trinidad is just lip service i bet.

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby sMASH » January 8th, 2021, 11:57 am

Like Schultz fed up with the natives.

https://www.guardian.co.tt/news/petroch ... 0.facebook

guardian wrote:
Petrochemical companies accuse NGC of conflict of interest
by

Curtis Williams
12 hours ago
Fri Jan 08 2021

Joint Letter to MEEI-Final Dec 23 2020-1

Curtis Williams

curtis.williams@guardian.co.tt

The major downstream petrochemical companies have accused the National Gas Company (NGC) of a conflict of interest, putting hundreds of millions of dollars and 30,000 jobs at risk.

“Not only is the sector’s significant current contribution to the national economy at risk, in the form of hundreds of millions of dollars per year of direct revenue, over 25 per cent of country Forex, 1,500-plus highly skilled direct employees; not including thousands of other permanent employees, as well as over 30,000; more in the services and support sectors; this decision also imperils the future growth of the sector,” a letter signed by five Chief Executive Officers of Point Lisas Petrochemical companies read.

In a strongly worded letter to the Minister of Energy and Energy Industries Franklin Khan, a copy of which Guardian Media has obtained, the Chief Executive Officers of 24 plants said they are deeply disturbed by the revelation that the NGC is to take over control of the operations of Atlantic LNG’s Train 1.

It referred to two Business Guardian articles of Sunday, December 6 (NGC takes $300million gamble on Train 1) and Thursday 17th December (‘Train 1 or not ... NGC promises to meet contracted gas to

downstream”) and called for an urgent meeting with the Minister of Energy to fix the issue.

The letter read: “We are therefore deeply concerned by the NGC’s reported multimillion-dollar investment to maintain the operability of Train 1. This will substantially deepen the NGC’s role in the LNG industry and could create incentives to prioritize gas supply to its own investments, to the detriment of its clients. In effect, this appears to us as an unambiguous conflict of interest to the NGC’s primary mandate, making the NGC a competitor to its own customers in the Downstream. Furthermore, this decision comes in a period where the supply of economical gas is already under severe strain- and likely to remain so throughout 2021.”

Reached yesterday Energy Minister Franklin Khan said he has a meeting carded with the five CEOs and has promised to say more after.


“The letter was sent to me so I don’t know how you have a copy of it, but that’s the world now, there is nothing that is a secret. But you have the letter and you can see it is the CEOs of the top Petrochemical companies so it’s important and I will be meeting with them at noon today after which I will speak,” Khan told Guardian Media.

Chairman of the NGC Conrad Enill said the company would not be part of the meeting even though it was aware of the letter.

Asked about the NGC getting deeper involved in Atlantic he simply said the NGC has to implement government policy.

Enill, however, insisted that the NGC could not contractually short the downstream companies in favour of its interest in Atlantic since the contracts are binding and have minimum supply clauses with significant penalties for failure to meet those gas commitments.

The CEOs reminded Khan that as leaders of the largest Downstream petrochemical producers in Trinidad and Tobago they represent 24 plants, more than 30,000 direct and indirect employees and invested capital of over US$8billion and had noted with grave concern the recent reports regarding Atlantic’s Train 1 liquefied natural gas (LNG) processing facility.


“We are writing to request urgent clarification on gas supply implications for the National Gas Company’s (NGC) other customers in the Downstream,” the letter read.

According to the leading CEOs, the NGC’s primary role is the aggregation, purchase, sale, transmission and distribution of natural gas to the Downstream industries, alongside its investments in Downstream and Upstream production. In this position, the NGC enjoys a monopoly on gas supply to the Downstream sector, supported by its unique confidential gas pricing and allocation model.

It said while the NGC has committed to fulfilling its existing contractual obligations, this does not address the requirements of Downstream producers already operating with lower contractual volumes following several years of gas curtailments.

“These arrangements were a painful compromise, on the undertaking from the NGC that these producers would receive any additional gas volumes that subsequently became available. Nor does it address the requirements of Downstream producers in the progress of negotiating contract renewals.

The letter continued: “With the additional requirements of Train 1 of at least 250 mmscf/d and below-forecast Upstream production, what does this mean for the adequate supply of affordable gas to the Downstream producers? Also, given, that this volume represents the equivalent of supply to five (5) petrochemical plants employing 5 times the number of people we are concerned about the overall impact on the wider economy. In addition, such a large share of natural gas production allocated to a single commodity could increase the exposure risk for the country in the future.”


It said this is already a critical juncture for the Downstream sector. The impact of the pandemic on global commodity markets, layered on existing high gas prices and diminished global competitiveness, has created an existential threat for Trinidad and Tobago’s Downstream the CEOs noted.

They insisted that the Downstream could once again become an economic powerhouse for the country, with the right conditions and enabling environment and warned this appears to be a move in the opposite direction.

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby zoom rader » January 8th, 2021, 1:04 pm

sMASH wrote:Like Schultz fed up with the natives.

https://www.guardian.co.tt/news/petroch ... 0.facebook

guardian wrote:
Petrochemical companies accuse NGC of conflict of interest
by

Curtis Williams
12 hours ago
Fri Jan 08 2021

Joint Letter to MEEI-Final Dec 23 2020-1

Curtis Williams

curtis.williams@guardian.co.tt

The major downstream petrochemical companies have accused the National Gas Company (NGC) of a conflict of interest, putting hundreds of millions of dollars and 30,000 jobs at risk.

“Not only is the sector’s significant current contribution to the national economy at risk, in the form of hundreds of millions of dollars per year of direct revenue, over 25 per cent of country Forex, 1,500-plus highly skilled direct employees; not including thousands of other permanent employees, as well as over 30,000; more in the services and support sectors; this decision also imperils the future growth of the sector,” a letter signed by five Chief Executive Officers of Point Lisas Petrochemical companies read.

In a strongly worded letter to the Minister of Energy and Energy Industries Franklin Khan, a copy of which Guardian Media has obtained, the Chief Executive Officers of 24 plants said they are deeply disturbed by the revelation that the NGC is to take over control of the operations of Atlantic LNG’s Train 1.

It referred to two Business Guardian articles of Sunday, December 6 (NGC takes $300million gamble on Train 1) and Thursday 17th December (‘Train 1 or not ... NGC promises to meet contracted gas to

downstream”) and called for an urgent meeting with the Minister of Energy to fix the issue.

The letter read: “We are therefore deeply concerned by the NGC’s reported multimillion-dollar investment to maintain the operability of Train 1. This will substantially deepen the NGC’s role in the LNG industry and could create incentives to prioritize gas supply to its own investments, to the detriment of its clients. In effect, this appears to us as an unambiguous conflict of interest to the NGC’s primary mandate, making the NGC a competitor to its own customers in the Downstream. Furthermore, this decision comes in a period where the supply of economical gas is already under severe strain- and likely to remain so throughout 2021.”

Reached yesterday Energy Minister Franklin Khan said he has a meeting carded with the five CEOs and has promised to say more after.


“The letter was sent to me so I don’t know how you have a copy of it, but that’s the world now, there is nothing that is a secret. But you have the letter and you can see it is the CEOs of the top Petrochemical companies so it’s important and I will be meeting with them at noon today after which I will speak,” Khan told Guardian Media.

Chairman of the NGC Conrad Enill said the company would not be part of the meeting even though it was aware of the letter.

Asked about the NGC getting deeper involved in Atlantic he simply said the NGC has to implement government policy.

Enill, however, insisted that the NGC could not contractually short the downstream companies in favour of its interest in Atlantic since the contracts are binding and have minimum supply clauses with significant penalties for failure to meet those gas commitments.

The CEOs reminded Khan that as leaders of the largest Downstream petrochemical producers in Trinidad and Tobago they represent 24 plants, more than 30,000 direct and indirect employees and invested capital of over US$8billion and had noted with grave concern the recent reports regarding Atlantic’s Train 1 liquefied natural gas (LNG) processing facility.


“We are writing to request urgent clarification on gas supply implications for the National Gas Company’s (NGC) other customers in the Downstream,” the letter read.

According to the leading CEOs, the NGC’s primary role is the aggregation, purchase, sale, transmission and distribution of natural gas to the Downstream industries, alongside its investments in Downstream and Upstream production. In this position, the NGC enjoys a monopoly on gas supply to the Downstream sector, supported by its unique confidential gas pricing and allocation model.

It said while the NGC has committed to fulfilling its existing contractual obligations, this does not address the requirements of Downstream producers already operating with lower contractual volumes following several years of gas curtailments.

“These arrangements were a painful compromise, on the undertaking from the NGC that these producers would receive any additional gas volumes that subsequently became available. Nor does it address the requirements of Downstream producers in the progress of negotiating contract renewals.

The letter continued: “With the additional requirements of Train 1 of at least 250 mmscf/d and below-forecast Upstream production, what does this mean for the adequate supply of affordable gas to the Downstream producers? Also, given, that this volume represents the equivalent of supply to five (5) petrochemical plants employing 5 times the number of people we are concerned about the overall impact on the wider economy. In addition, such a large share of natural gas production allocated to a single commodity could increase the exposure risk for the country in the future.”


It said this is already a critical juncture for the Downstream sector. The impact of the pandemic on global commodity markets, layered on existing high gas prices and diminished global competitiveness, has created an existential threat for Trinidad and Tobago’s Downstream the CEOs noted.

They insisted that the Downstream could once again become an economic powerhouse for the country, with the right conditions and enabling environment and warned this appears to be a move in the opposite direction.
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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby De Dragon » January 9th, 2021, 11:34 am

DreamWeaver wrote:
De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:anybody know how long is train 1 turnaround? whole ah 2021? cause i waiting to see where dey get gas

Ask JUHN Scarfy/LFDRFD PNM crew, after all they are bankrolling it :roll:

well for sure they cant let train 1 sit idle after its govt-funded turnaround otherwise govt will be looking rel bad after spending all that money and saying train 1 not shutting down and how they had negotiate an 'alleged' good revenue contract with train 1. I know bp say they have no gas for train 1 in 2021 though. Maybe touchstone gas is for train 1? Of course that all depends on how much they can process. Next thing touchstone find 1 tcf and could only process 100mmscf/d. lol. Train 1 need like 442mmscf/d to run normal

Agreed, but who negotiates to fund 100% of something that you own 10% of? It's like buying a new engine for a taxi that you work for someone, just to keep you in the taxi game :roll:

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby DreamWeaver » January 9th, 2021, 12:32 pm

De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:
De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:anybody know how long is train 1 turnaround? whole ah 2021? cause i waiting to see where dey get gas

Ask JUHN Scarfy/LFDRFD PNM crew, after all they are bankrolling it :roll:

well for sure they cant let train 1 sit idle after its govt-funded turnaround otherwise govt will be looking rel bad after spending all that money and saying train 1 not shutting down and how they had negotiate an 'alleged' good revenue contract with train 1. I know bp say they have no gas for train 1 in 2021 though. Maybe touchstone gas is for train 1? Of course that all depends on how much they can process. Next thing touchstone find 1 tcf and could only process 100mmscf/d. lol. Train 1 need like 442mmscf/d to run normal

Agreed, but who negotiates to fund 100% of something that you own 10% of? It's like buying a new engine for a taxi that you work for someone, just to keep you in the taxi game :roll:

Yes it does sound like quite the gamble tbh. But let's not forget that even though they have 10% shareholding, they supply 100% of the gas. And just like ammonia and methanol, a sliding scale method would be used to tie the monthly price of lng to the cost train 1 pays per mmbtu of natgas from ngc. If the new contract allows ngc a greater margin of profitability between upstream and downstream, then ngc can make back that turnaround cost and also collect shareholding returns at the same time.

There are a lot of moving parts that need to come together perfectly for the ngc to be successful. Personally, I dont see the ngc's strategy working.

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby De Dragon » January 9th, 2021, 4:08 pm

DreamWeaver wrote:
De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:
De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:anybody know how long is train 1 turnaround? whole ah 2021? cause i waiting to see where dey get gas

Ask JUHN Scarfy/LFDRFD PNM crew, after all they are bankrolling it :roll:

well for sure they cant let train 1 sit idle after its govt-funded turnaround otherwise govt will be looking rel bad after spending all that money and saying train 1 not shutting down and how they had negotiate an 'alleged' good revenue contract with train 1. I know bp say they have no gas for train 1 in 2021 though. Maybe touchstone gas is for train 1? Of course that all depends on how much they can process. Next thing touchstone find 1 tcf and could only process 100mmscf/d. lol. Train 1 need like 442mmscf/d to run normal

Agreed, but who negotiates to fund 100% of something that you own 10% of? It's like buying a new engine for a taxi that you work for someone, just to keep you in the taxi game :roll:

Yes it does sound like quite the gamble tbh. But let's not forget that even though they have 10% shareholding, they supply 100% of the gas. And just like ammonia and methanol, a sliding scale method would be used to tie the monthly price of lng to the cost train 1 pays per mmbtu of natgas from ngc. If the new contract allows ngc a greater margin of profitability between upstream and downstream, then ngc can make back that turnaround cost and also collect shareholding returns at the same time.

There are a lot of moving parts that need to come together perfectly for the ngc to be successful. Personally, I dont see the ngc's strategy working.

Precisely why it makes even less sense now. The sliding scale insulates plants against low commodity prices and maximizes GORTT revenue when prices high. Ammonia, lng and methanol prices are low, so NGC's margins are lower now, so to bankroll a TAR seems to defy business sense.

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby DreamWeaver » January 10th, 2021, 9:49 am

De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:
De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:
De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:anybody know how long is train 1 turnaround? whole ah 2021? cause i waiting to see where dey get gas

Ask JUHN Scarfy/LFDRFD PNM crew, after all they are bankrolling it :roll:

well for sure they cant let train 1 sit idle after its govt-funded turnaround otherwise govt will be looking rel bad after spending all that money and saying train 1 not shutting down and how they had negotiate an 'alleged' good revenue contract with train 1. I know bp say they have no gas for train 1 in 2021 though. Maybe touchstone gas is for train 1? Of course that all depends on how much they can process. Next thing touchstone find 1 tcf and could only process 100mmscf/d. lol. Train 1 need like 442mmscf/d to run normal

Agreed, but who negotiates to fund 100% of something that you own 10% of? It's like buying a new engine for a taxi that you work for someone, just to keep you in the taxi game :roll:

Yes it does sound like quite the gamble tbh. But let's not forget that even though they have 10% shareholding, they supply 100% of the gas. And just like ammonia and methanol, a sliding scale method would be used to tie the monthly price of lng to the cost train 1 pays per mmbtu of natgas from ngc. If the new contract allows ngc a greater margin of profitability between upstream and downstream, then ngc can make back that turnaround cost and also collect shareholding returns at the same time.

There are a lot of moving parts that need to come together perfectly for the ngc to be successful. Personally, I dont see the ngc's strategy working.

Precisely why it makes even less sense now. The sliding scale insulates plants against low commodity prices and maximizes GORTT revenue when prices high. Ammonia, lng and methanol prices are low, so NGC's margins are lower now, so to bankroll a TAR seems to defy business sense.


https://www.tv6tnt.com/news/7pmnews/ene ... 5e23b.html

I admit, a TAR is actually a pretty BAD idea, especially how Franklin Khan is hinting that train 1 will be in an "operations ready" mode until 2023 when they are expecting more gas. It makes no sense to do a TAR now in 2021 and then stay down until gas comes years in the future since you're going to have to do more maintenance to the plant in 2023 to even get it started. I've seen plants wither from lack of use and the term "operations ready" mode is just a fancy word for a plant that is shut down and personnel just doing routine condition monitoring and preventative maintenance jobs. It would make more sense for the plant and the economy, to shut down train 1 now and do the TAR in 2023 when the gas is available. You end up spending less money overall and let's face it, the govt doesnt have money to spend on the economy as it is, so why waste millions on a TAR now and then have to waste more millions on recommissioning costs in 2023? That being said, I strongly believe the govt has ulterior motives to place train 1 online after its tar in 2021 and make some money. This of course strongly depends on those outstanding gas contract negotiations that are yet to be concluded. And yes, the outstanding negotiations have sufficient supply to place train 1 back online. Maybe not at full rates, but it can make revenue for the govt.

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby De Dragon » January 10th, 2021, 10:14 am

DreamWeaver wrote:
De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:
De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:
De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:anybody know how long is train 1 turnaround? whole ah 2021? cause i waiting to see where dey get gas

Ask JUHN Scarfy/LFDRFD PNM crew, after all they are bankrolling it :roll:

well for sure they cant let train 1 sit idle after its govt-funded turnaround otherwise govt will be looking rel bad after spending all that money and saying train 1 not shutting down and how they had negotiate an 'alleged' good revenue contract with train 1. I know bp say they have no gas for train 1 in 2021 though. Maybe touchstone gas is for train 1? Of course that all depends on how much they can process. Next thing touchstone find 1 tcf and could only process 100mmscf/d. lol. Train 1 need like 442mmscf/d to run normal

Agreed, but who negotiates to fund 100% of something that you own 10% of? It's like buying a new engine for a taxi that you work for someone, just to keep you in the taxi game :roll:

Yes it does sound like quite the gamble tbh. But let's not forget that even though they have 10% shareholding, they supply 100% of the gas. And just like ammonia and methanol, a sliding scale method would be used to tie the monthly price of lng to the cost train 1 pays per mmbtu of natgas from ngc. If the new contract allows ngc a greater margin of profitability between upstream and downstream, then ngc can make back that turnaround cost and also collect shareholding returns at the same time.

There are a lot of moving parts that need to come together perfectly for the ngc to be successful. Personally, I dont see the ngc's strategy working.

Precisely why it makes even less sense now. The sliding scale insulates plants against low commodity prices and maximizes GORTT revenue when prices high. Ammonia, lng and methanol prices are low, so NGC's margins are lower now, so to bankroll a TAR seems to defy business sense.


https://www.tv6tnt.com/news/7pmnews/ene ... 5e23b.html

I admit, a TAR is actually a pretty BAD idea, especially how Franklin Khan is hinting that train 1 will be in an "operations ready" mode until 2023 when they are expecting more gas. It makes no sense to do a TAR now in 2021 and then stay down until gas comes years in the future since you're going to have to do more maintenance to the plant in 2023 to even get it started. I've seen plants wither from lack of use and the term "operations ready" mode is just a fancy word for a plant that is shut down and personnel just doing routine condition monitoring and preventative maintenance jobs. It would make more sense for the plant and the economy, to shut down train 1 now and do the TAR in 2023 when the gas is available. You end up spending less money overall and let's face it, the govt doesnt have money to spend on the economy as it is, so why waste millions on a TAR now and then have to waste more millions on recommissioning costs in 2023? That being said, I strongly believe the govt has ulterior motives to place train 1 online after its tar in 2021 and make some money. This of course strongly depends on those outstanding gas contract negotiations that are yet to be concluded. And yes, the outstanding negotiations have sufficient supply to place train 1 back online. Maybe not at full rates, but it can make revenue for the govt.

:shock: :shock: KY­RON REG­IS

ky­ron.reg­is@guardian.co.tt

At­lantic LNG Train 1 will not be moth­balled in Jan­u­ary 2021 and ap­proval has al­so been giv­en for a turn­around to done on the plant, En­er­gy Min­is­ter Franklin Khan has said.

Speak­ing at the House of Rep­re­sen­ta­tives yes­ter­day, Khan said: “At­lantic Train 1 will not be shut­ting down in Jan­u­ary 2021. Train 1 will con­tin­ue to op­er­ate in 2021 and will be part of wider ne­go­ti­a­tions, which have been tak­ing place among the At­lantic LNG share­hold­ers to form one uni­tised fa­cil­i­ty en­com­pass­ing all four Trains.”



Khan was re­spond­ing to ques­tion per­tain­ing to a Guardian Me­dia Ltd (GML) Re­port that not­ed there was a des­per­ate at­tempt by the gov­ern­ment and the Na­tion­al Gas Com­pa­ny of T&T (NGC) to save At­lantic LNG Train 1.

Khan not­ed that the NGC, act­ing on be­half of the gov­ern­ment, is tak­ing the re­quired ac­tions to main­tain the op­er­abil­i­ty of Train 1, pend­ing the fi­nal­iza­tion of the ne­go­ti­a­tions of the struc­ture for the uni­tised fa­cil­i­ty.

Khan not­ed: “On­ly last night (3rd De­cem­ber) the share­hold­ers of At­lantic Train 1, ap­proved the turn­around (TA)”.

Ac­cord­ing to Khan, the turn­around would take place in Jan­u­ary and would keep it in an “op­er­a­tions ready mode” for all of 2021 in­to 2022.

When asked if the share­hold­ers have agreed to sup­ply gas to Train 1, Khan said: “The is­sue of the op­er­ata­bil­i­ty of the plant will de­pend on the TA.”

On the gas sup­ply side, Khan not­ed ne­go­ti­a­tions are still un­der­way to source a con­tin­ued sup­ply be­cause the train was nor­mal­ly sup­plied 100 per cent by BPTT.

The En­er­gy Min­is­ter said: “BP is say­ing that they have a short­age and they can­not sup­ply, but BP is not the on­ly sup­pli­er of gas in Trinidad so we are in some sen­si­tive ne­go­ti­a­tions, let me make that point, with up­stream­ers to sup­ply gas to Train 1.”

Ear­li­er this year, BPTT told GML that its short-term sup­ply arrange­ments on Train 1 have been ex­tend­ed to the end of 2020 and the com­pa­ny was al­so re­view­ing its fore­cast pro­duc­tion for 2021 and be­yond while work­ing with the At­lantic stake­hold­ers to un­der­stand the op­tions for ex­tend­ing the the life of Train 1.

GML was told that the gov­ern­ment met with BPTT on Wednes­day 3rd De­cem­ber, to con­vince the multi­na­tion­al to sup­ply gas in­to Train 1.

GML al­so un­der­stands that the Na­tion­al Gas Com­pa­ny of T&T (NGC) want­ed to as­sume the role of lead op­er­a­tor of Train 1 to keep it run­ning.

A TAR takes YEARS to plan in order to successfully execute. Rushing a TAR is never a good idea unless you had a catastrophic failure, or other condition which forced your hand. Where are they even getting the equipment and parts? Unless this TAR was in the works from long before and these things were procured in advance to be delivered in 2021 :?
This has to be the stupidest statement EVER made by an Energy Minister, EVER!
Also a TAR takes years to plan and execute, so a January TAR suggests that this was in the works for a significant period of time prior to January. The smell on this is increasing........

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby DreamWeaver » January 11th, 2021, 8:52 pm

De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:
De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:
De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:
De Dragon wrote:
DreamWeaver wrote:anybody know how long is train 1 turnaround? whole ah 2021? cause i waiting to see where dey get gas

Ask JUHN Scarfy/LFDRFD PNM crew, after all they are bankrolling it :roll:

well for sure they cant let train 1 sit idle after its govt-funded turnaround otherwise govt will be looking rel bad after spending all that money and saying train 1 not shutting down and how they had negotiate an 'alleged' good revenue contract with train 1. I know bp say they have no gas for train 1 in 2021 though. Maybe touchstone gas is for train 1? Of course that all depends on how much they can process. Next thing touchstone find 1 tcf and could only process 100mmscf/d. lol. Train 1 need like 442mmscf/d to run normal

Agreed, but who negotiates to fund 100% of something that you own 10% of? It's like buying a new engine for a taxi that you work for someone, just to keep you in the taxi game :roll:

Yes it does sound like quite the gamble tbh. But let's not forget that even though they have 10% shareholding, they supply 100% of the gas. And just like ammonia and methanol, a sliding scale method would be used to tie the monthly price of lng to the cost train 1 pays per mmbtu of natgas from ngc. If the new contract allows ngc a greater margin of profitability between upstream and downstream, then ngc can make back that turnaround cost and also collect shareholding returns at the same time.

There are a lot of moving parts that need to come together perfectly for the ngc to be successful. Personally, I dont see the ngc's strategy working.

Precisely why it makes even less sense now. The sliding scale insulates plants against low commodity prices and maximizes GORTT revenue when prices high. Ammonia, lng and methanol prices are low, so NGC's margins are lower now, so to bankroll a TAR seems to defy business sense.


https://www.tv6tnt.com/news/7pmnews/ene ... 5e23b.html

I admit, a TAR is actually a pretty BAD idea, especially how Franklin Khan is hinting that train 1 will be in an "operations ready" mode until 2023 when they are expecting more gas. It makes no sense to do a TAR now in 2021 and then stay down until gas comes years in the future since you're going to have to do more maintenance to the plant in 2023 to even get it started. I've seen plants wither from lack of use and the term "operations ready" mode is just a fancy word for a plant that is shut down and personnel just doing routine condition monitoring and preventative maintenance jobs. It would make more sense for the plant and the economy, to shut down train 1 now and do the TAR in 2023 when the gas is available. You end up spending less money overall and let's face it, the govt doesnt have money to spend on the economy as it is, so why waste millions on a TAR now and then have to waste more millions on recommissioning costs in 2023? That being said, I strongly believe the govt has ulterior motives to place train 1 online after its tar in 2021 and make some money. This of course strongly depends on those outstanding gas contract negotiations that are yet to be concluded. And yes, the outstanding negotiations have sufficient supply to place train 1 back online. Maybe not at full rates, but it can make revenue for the govt.

:shock: :shock: KY­RON REG­IS

ky­ron.reg­is@guardian.co.tt

At­lantic LNG Train 1 will not be moth­balled in Jan­u­ary 2021 and ap­proval has al­so been giv­en for a turn­around to done on the plant, En­er­gy Min­is­ter Franklin Khan has said.

Speak­ing at the House of Rep­re­sen­ta­tives yes­ter­day, Khan said: “At­lantic Train 1 will not be shut­ting down in Jan­u­ary 2021. Train 1 will con­tin­ue to op­er­ate in 2021 and will be part of wider ne­go­ti­a­tions, which have been tak­ing place among the At­lantic LNG share­hold­ers to form one uni­tised fa­cil­i­ty en­com­pass­ing all four Trains.”



Khan was re­spond­ing to ques­tion per­tain­ing to a Guardian Me­dia Ltd (GML) Re­port that not­ed there was a des­per­ate at­tempt by the gov­ern­ment and the Na­tion­al Gas Com­pa­ny of T&T (NGC) to save At­lantic LNG Train 1.

Khan not­ed that the NGC, act­ing on be­half of the gov­ern­ment, is tak­ing the re­quired ac­tions to main­tain the op­er­abil­i­ty of Train 1, pend­ing the fi­nal­iza­tion of the ne­go­ti­a­tions of the struc­ture for the uni­tised fa­cil­i­ty.

Khan not­ed: “On­ly last night (3rd De­cem­ber) the share­hold­ers of At­lantic Train 1, ap­proved the turn­around (TA)”.

Ac­cord­ing to Khan, the turn­around would take place in Jan­u­ary and would keep it in an “op­er­a­tions ready mode” for all of 2021 in­to 2022.

When asked if the share­hold­ers have agreed to sup­ply gas to Train 1, Khan said: “The is­sue of the op­er­ata­bil­i­ty of the plant will de­pend on the TA.”

On the gas sup­ply side, Khan not­ed ne­go­ti­a­tions are still un­der­way to source a con­tin­ued sup­ply be­cause the train was nor­mal­ly sup­plied 100 per cent by BPTT.

The En­er­gy Min­is­ter said: “BP is say­ing that they have a short­age and they can­not sup­ply, but BP is not the on­ly sup­pli­er of gas in Trinidad so we are in some sen­si­tive ne­go­ti­a­tions, let me make that point, with up­stream­ers to sup­ply gas to Train 1.”

Ear­li­er this year, BPTT told GML that its short-term sup­ply arrange­ments on Train 1 have been ex­tend­ed to the end of 2020 and the com­pa­ny was al­so re­view­ing its fore­cast pro­duc­tion for 2021 and be­yond while work­ing with the At­lantic stake­hold­ers to un­der­stand the op­tions for ex­tend­ing the the life of Train 1.

GML was told that the gov­ern­ment met with BPTT on Wednes­day 3rd De­cem­ber, to con­vince the multi­na­tion­al to sup­ply gas in­to Train 1.

GML al­so un­der­stands that the Na­tion­al Gas Com­pa­ny of T&T (NGC) want­ed to as­sume the role of lead op­er­a­tor of Train 1 to keep it run­ning.

A TAR takes YEARS to plan in order to successfully execute. Rushing a TAR is never a good idea unless you had a catastrophic failure, or other condition which forced your hand. Where are they even getting the equipment and parts? Unless this TAR was in the works from long before and these things were procured in advance to be delivered in 2021 :?
This has to be the stupidest statement EVER made by an Energy Minister, EVER!
Also a TAR takes years to plan and execute, so a January TAR suggests that this was in the works for a significant period of time prior to January. The smell on this is increasing........


Yes I did find the way they just claimed "aye, we doing a TAR next month!" to be utterly ridiculous. I believe Franklin Khan has no idea how TAR scheduling and planning is done, which is unfortunate since he is the MOE. Most citizens have no clue about the local energy industry but I have found myself, more times than i wanted, shaking my head at the ridiculous statements by Khan. Take the 'operations ready mode' for example. That basically means your plant is down and waiting to start up. Yet still, Khan says that they arent shutting down train 1. but being shut down is part of being in 'operations ready mode'.

Alas I digress. I will not doubt the train 1 TAR was in the works since 2018 and the govt planned long before Dec 3rd 2020, to fund the TAR. Procurement and purchase orders would have needed to be done during 2020 in order to be ready for January 2021.
Does anyone even know if the TAR started and when it is catered to end? I want to see what Frankie will do then.

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby sMASH » January 11th, 2021, 8:55 pm

how de f* is spending 300m when u have no gas, tightening ur belt?

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby De Dragon » January 11th, 2021, 9:14 pm

sMASH wrote:how de f* is spending 300m when u have no gas, tightening ur belt?

Plastic et al say its value for money.

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby sMASH » January 11th, 2021, 10:16 pm

De Dragon wrote:
sMASH wrote:how de f* is spending 300m when u have no gas, tightening ur belt?

Plastic et al say its value for money.
ill just chalk that up to ignorance. they simply dont hvae industrial experience to know how that business works.

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby De Dragon » January 12th, 2021, 3:25 am

sMASH wrote:
De Dragon wrote:
sMASH wrote:how de f* is spending 300m when u have no gas, tightening ur belt?

Plastic et al say its value for money.
ill just chalk that up to ignorance. they simply dont hvae industrial experience to know how that business works.

Well these dummies, to a man defending Guy Smiley as MoE, so what do you expect?


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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby De Dragon » January 17th, 2021, 10:41 am

DreamWeaver wrote:https://guardian.co.tt/news/bptt-denies-shorting-atlas-gas-because-its-no-longer-a-shareholder-6.2.1275514.dbb6aa0825

Dbu, Train 1, minus the $300M, go be the new engine for the economy :roll: We eh need no Titan, or Atlas at full capacity.

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby sMASH » January 17th, 2021, 3:25 pm

500m profit x 10% share is 50m profit per year. Wo will take 6 years to recoup that investment.
At 50% capacity will be 25m profit.
If u get gas to run full 100 by 2025, thst means by 2028 u will recoup the 300m.

Wsit till gas in 2025, pay only 10%nof thr tar cost 30m and make it back by 2026.

Leave ngc with their 300m,

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby Redman » January 18th, 2021, 5:18 pm

Have train 1 up for when 2,3 and 4 come off contract ....

TnT has no shareholding...in 2 and 3.

Continue restructuring the entire structure of the LNG industry....
Deal with PTL as well.

As advised.

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby De Dragon » January 18th, 2021, 6:14 pm

Redman wrote:Have train 1 up for when 2,3 and 4 come off contract ....

TnT has no shareholding...in 2 and 3.

Continue restructuring the entire structure of the LNG industry....
Deal with PTL as well.

As advised.

By whom? And without gas?

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Re: Energy Sector Thread - Operators, Engineers, Technicians Et Al

Postby Redman » January 19th, 2021, 6:26 am

The Poten and Associates study done in 2015.

You would have to get past the executive summary though.

Farrell also did some analysis,
As did Tony Paul...although he was focused on the transfer pricing
And a multiple of articles in the press where all of the above are discussed.

ETA.

The gist is find more gas, get more out of what we sell by renegotiated agreements , get to a point where there is a balance between the users.

Poten actually says let plants close when they come off contract...don't extend the supply.
It's a necessary revamp of the whole NG sector.
All while staying open as best as possible.

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